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Abrecht, David

Publications and source records attributed to Abrecht, David.

Physics-Based Machine Learning Methods for U-235 Forensics Signatures

Signatures of low-intensity U-235 sources have been recently studied by utilizing a variety of machine learning (ML) classifiers using features derived from gamma spectral measurements collectedunder structured campaigns. Several ML classifiers, such as ensemble of tress and classification trees, revealed misleadingly-optimistic training error due to over-fitting, and furthermore,their performance is not directly relatable to the physical properties due to their data-driven, opaque designs. We present a regression-based ML method that first estimates the inverse distanceto the source and then utilizes a threshold to infer its presence, by representing the background as a source located at an infinite distance. For the inverse distance estimation, we study the ensembleof trees and Gaussian process regression methods, and a hyper parameter auto-tuning and selection method that employs five regression estimators. These methods avoid the over-fittingobserved in several ML classifiers, while providing the classification error nearly comparable to them based on independent test data. Their error is directly related to estimates of the inversephysical distance to source, and the precision of error determines the seperability property that determines the false alarm and missed detection rates. The property of monotonic decrease of thesource strength with increasing detector distance combined with Poisson distribution of measurements is utilized to analytically validate these methods by deriving the generalization equations ofunderlying regression methods.

Rao, Nageswara↗

Physics-Based Machine Learning Methods for U-235 Forensics Signatures

Signatures of low-intensity U-235 sources have been recently studied by utilizing a variety of machine learning (ML) classifiers using features derived from gamma spectral measurements collected under structured campaigns. Several ML classifiers, such as ensemble of tress and classification trees, revealed misleadingly-optimistic training error due to over-fitting, and furthermore, their performance is not directly relatable to the physical properties due to their data-driven, opaque designs. We present a regression-based ML method that first estimates the inverse distance to the source and then utilizes a threshold to infer its presence, by representing the background as a source located at an infinite distance. For the inverse distance estimation, we study the ensemble of trees and Gaussian process regression methods, and a hyper parameter auto-tuning and selection method that employs five regression estimators. These methods avoid the over-fitting observed in several ML classifiers, while providing the classification error nearly comparable to them based on independent test data. Their error is directly related to estimates of the inverse physical distance to source, and the precision of error determines the seperability property that determines the false alarm and missed detection rates. The property of monotonic decrease of the source strength with increasing detector distance combined with Poisson distribution of measurements is utilized to analytically validate these methods by deriving the generalization equations of underlying regression methods.

Rao, Nageswara↗

Classification Analytics of Pu-239 and U-235 Source Signatures Using Gamma Spectral Regions

Machine learning detection methods using gamma signatures from spectral measurements of low-intensity Pu-239 and U-235 sources are studied. NaI detectors located at different distances fromthe source have been used to collect the training and independent testing data sets. The source is introduced via a shielded conduit into the facility where it is surrounded by 21 NaI detectors deployed over 6 x 6 meters area in the formation of two concentric circles and a spiral. The counts in gamma spectral regions associated with these two sources are estimated at 1 second intervals for each NaI detector, and are used as classifier features for detecting the source presence. Eight different classifiers with five basic properties — namely, smooth, non-smooth, statistical, structural, and hyper-parameter tuning — are trained and tested using the background and source measurements collected over multiple experimental runs. While the overall classifier performance improved as detectors closer to the source are used, some identically produced detectors under-performed but differently between two sources. Some classifiers achieved lower training error but their testing error based on independent measurements is higher for both sources. Overall, these results indicate significant over-fitting by these methods, and illustrate the complexity of training and selecting the machine learning methods to solve these detection problems.

Rao, Nageswara↗

Optical modeling of a radioisotope atmospheric chamber

Abstract Volatile radioisotopes represent a substantial health risk when released into the environment. To better understand the environmental fate of radioisotopes, the authors constructed a cylindrical steel-walled chamber to simulate the atmospheric processing of volatile radioactive gases. Optical modeling was performed for the properties of simulated sunlight in the chamber to better characterize atmospheric reaction studies. Optical simulations were performed using two wall materials (steel and thin-film silica) and validated against experimental measurements. This optical analysis methodology can be used to improve the fidelity of atmospheric models by accounting for optical inhomogeneities enabling a firmer grasp of radioisotopes’ environmental fate. Graphical abstract

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A comparison of carbon impurities in pre- and post-melt uranium Part 1: Scanning electron microscopy analysis

Although C impurities in U have been studied for decades, fundamental questions regarding their incorporation, migration, and overall transformation during metal processing still exist. In two written Parts, we compare the chemical speciation, distribution, crystallography, and morphologies (size, shape, etc.) of carbon-containing impurities in U metal both before and after melting using high resolution analytical electron microscopy (AEM). This first Part demonstrates the variability of carbide inclusions in depleted U (DU) metal with respect to their chemical phases and morphologies as observed by scanning electron microscopy (SEM). Here, a variety of inclusion types, such as the pill-shaped U monocarbide (UC), previously only hypothesized, are summarized. Additionally, delineation between hopper-shaped U carbonitride U(C,N) and dendritic UC inclusions is discussed in relationship to archived literature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ab initio calculations of material properties for modeling debris (FY2021 Progress Report)

This report summarizes the work done during the first 6 months of the project “Ab initio calculations of material properties for modeling debris” that is part of the Rapid Response Research (R3) Venture. The main focus for this fiscal year (FY) has been the evaluation of classical interatomic potentials for the description of the condensation of uranium oxides in the regimes relevant to fireball conditions. We also delineate how these functions will be used within the molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo frameworks to compute thermodynamic properties of these materials. These descriptions are to be utilized within continuum modeling formulations to generate a more accurate characterization of the homogeneous nucleation process.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗