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Allen, Melissa R.

Publications and source records attributed to Allen, Melissa R..

Energy-Water Nexus Knowledge Discovery Framework, Experts’ Meeting Report

Energy and water generation and delivery systems are inherently interconnected. With worldwide demandfor energy growing, the energy sector is experiencing increasing competition for water. With increasingpopulation and changing environmental, socioeconomic, and demographic scenarios, new technology andinvestment decisions must be made for optimized and sustainable energy-water resource management. These decisions require novel scientific insights into the complex interdependencies of energy-water infrastructures across multiple space and time scales.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Energy-Water Nexus Knowledge Discovery Framework, Experts' Meeting

Energy and water generation and delivery systems are inherently interconnected. With demand for energy growing, the energy sector is experiencing increasing competition for water. With increasing populationand changing environmental, socioeconomic, and demographic scenarios, new technology and investmentdecisions must be made for optimized and sustainable energy-water resource management. These decisionsrequire novel scientific insights into the complex interdependencies of energy-water infrastructures acrossmultiple space and time scales.On June 13, 2017 an Experts’ Meeting was convened for the purpose of informing the design of an integrateddata driven modeling, analysis, and visualization capability that can enable ecient local and regional decisionmakingregarding present and future energy-water infrastructure. This first multi-institute collaborativeEnergy-Water Nexus Knowledge Discovery Framework (EWN-KDF) will be informed by fundamentalscience and guided with strategic (federal) policy decisions in the service of ensuring national energyresilience.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Developing 3D morphologies for simulating building energy demand in urban microclimates

In order to simulate the effect of interactions between urban morphology and microclimate on demand for heating and cooling in buildings, we utilize source elevation data to create 3D building geometries at the neighborhood and city scale. Additionally, we use urban morphology concepts to design virtual morphologies for simulation scenarios in an undeveloped land parcel. Using these morphologies, we compute building-energy parameters such as the density for each surface and the frontal area index for each of the buildings to be able to effectively model the microclimate for the urban area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Workshop on Human Activity at Scale in Earth System Models

Changing human activity within a geographical location may have significant influence on the global climate, but that activity must be parameterized in such a way as to allow these high-resolution sub-grid processes to affect global climate within that modeling framework. Additionally, we must have tools that provide decision support and inform local and regional policies regarding mitigation of and adaptation to climate change. The development of next-generation earth system models, that can produce actionable results with minimum uncertainties, depends on understanding global climate change and human activity interactions at policy implementation scales. Unfortunately, at best we currently have only limited schemes for relating high-resolution sectoral emissions to real-time weather, ultimately to become part of larger regions and well-mixed atmosphere. Moreover, even our understanding of meteorological processes at these scales is imperfect. This workshop addresses these shortcomings by providing a forum for discussion of what we know about these processes, what we can model, where we have gaps in these areas and how we can rise to the challenge to fill these gaps.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MIRAGE: A Framework for Data-Driven Collaborative High-Resolution Simulation

Information about how human populations shift in response to various stimuli is limited because no single model is capable of addressing these stimuli simultaneously, and integration of the best existing models has been challenging because of the vast disparity among constituent model purposes, architectures, scales, and execution environments. To demonstrate a potential model coupling for approaching this problem, three major model components are integrated into a fully coupled system that executes a worldwide infection-infected routine where a human population requires a food source for sustenance and an infected population can spread an infection when it is in contact with the remaining healthy population. To enable high-resolution data-driven model federation and an ability to capture dynamics and behaviors of billions of humans, a high-performance computing agent-based framework has been created and is demonstrated in this chapter.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Assessing the Costs and Benefits of Resilience Investments: Tennessee Valley Authority Case Study

This report describes a general approach for assessing climate change vulnerabilities of an electricity system and evaluating the costs and benefits of certain investments that would increase system resilience. It uses Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) as a case study, concentrating on the Cumberland River basin area on the northern side of the TVA region. The study focuses in particular on evaluating risks associated with extreme heat wave and drought conditions that could be expected to affect the region by mid-century. Extreme climate event scenarios were developed using a combination of dynamically downscaled output from the Community Earth System Model and historical heat wave and drought conditions in 1993 and 2007, respectively.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗