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Atlas, Robert

Publications and source records attributed to Atlas, Robert.

99 records · Page 6

Current and Future Plans of the NASA Data Assimilation Office (DAO)

The mission of the Data Assimilation Office (DAO) is to advance the state of the art of data assimilation and produce research-quality assimilated data sets which make optimal use of space-based observations. Development efforts over the last few years have focused on delivering a production data assimilation system in support of NASA's Terra platform. That system, called the Goddard Earth Observing System - version 2 or GEOS-2, represents a major upgrade to the baseline GEOS-1 system employed in NASA's first reanalysis effort. GEOS-2 includes a physical-space three dimensional variational analysis algorithm (the Physical-space Statistical Analysis System or PSAS) and numerous improvements to the general circulation model. The latter include a Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere Transfer (SVAT) land surface scheme, a level 2.5 moist turbulence scheme and new Short Wave (SW) and Long Wave (LW) radiation code. The system also includes an off-line ozone assimilation system, and the capability to assimilate scatterometer surface winds, and TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) and Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) moisture data. GEOS-2 is currently run at 1 degree horizontal resolution and 48 levels extending to O.Olmb. Experimental versions of GEOS-2 are run with a global stretched grid allowing enhanced (e.g. 1/4 deg) regional resolution. Other capabilities being developed include, the assimilation of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation and Global Positioning System (GPS) data, an off-line land surface assimilation system, and a retrospective analysis scheme. The DAO is also engaged in a number of collaborative efforts to help accelerate the development of the next generation data assimilation system. These include, a joint modeling effort between the DAO and NCAR/CGDD to develop a new Global Circulation Model (GCM), and a Department of Energy Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (DOE/LLNL) collaboration on model parallelization. Plans for the next reanalysis will be discussed in the context of current and near term system quality and computing capabilities, and the need for multiple reanalysis products.

Atlas, Robert

Application of Lidar Winds to Data Assimilation

One of the major applications of space-based doppler wind lidar is to improve atmospheric analyses and numerical weather prediction (NWP). Since the mid 198,0's, Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSE's) have been conducted in order to evaluate the potential impact of lidar winds on NWP. These experiments have shown tremendous potential for satellite lidar observations to improve atmospheric analyses and forecasts. In addition, the OSSE's are providing an evaluation of trade-offs in lidar design, and are currently being used to define the specific requirements for lidar winds in terms of horizontal and vertical coverage and accuracy. At the meeting the methodology for these experiments and the main results relating to proposed lidars will be presented.

Atlas, Robert

Assimilation of SeaWinds Scatterometer Data in the GEOS Data Assimilation System

The first SeaWinds scatterometer was launched in to space aboard the Quikscat satellite on June 19, 1999 at 7:15 p.m. PDT. Flying in a near polar orbit 800 km above the earth's surface, SeaWinds uses an advanced scatterometer design to measure surface wind velocity over 90 percent of the ice free oceans ever 24 hours. This first SeaWinds mission is designed to replace the NASA Scatterometer (NSCAT) which ceased providing wind velocity data when the ADEOS I satellite failed. A second SeaWinds is scheduled to be launched late in 2000 aboard ADEOS II. Previous scatterometer assimilation experiments conducted by the NASA Data Assimilation Office, using both ERS and NSCAT wind observations, have demonstrated considerable potential for this type of data to improve both atmospheric analyses and forecasts, however much of the smaller scale information content of the scatterometer data could not be taken into account in the early coarse resolution versions of the Goddard (GEOS) Data Assimilation System (DAS) or in operational data assimilation systems. In this paper, we will describe data assimilation experiments in which the new higher resolution versions of the GOES DAS are used to assimilate SeaWinds scatterometer winds. Following a brief discussion of the SeaWinds design and the methodology used to assimilate scatterometer data in the GOES DAS, the quality of the SeaWinds data and the impact of SeaWinds on GOES analyses and forecasts at different resolutions will be presented.

Atlas, Robert

The Special Sensor Microwave Imager Wind Dataset: A Source of Quantitative Information for the Ocean-to-Land Advection

It is well recognized that advection from the North Atlantic has a profound effect on the climatic conditions in central Europe. A new dataset of the ocean-surface winds, derived from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager, SSM/1, is now available. This satellite instrument measures the wind speed, but not the direction. However, variational analysis developed at the Data Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, by combining the SSM/I measurements with wind vectors measured from ships, etc., produced global maps of the ocean surface winds suitable for climate analysis. From this SSM/I dataset, a specific index I(sub na) of the North Atlantic surface winds has been developed, which pertinently quantifies the low-level advection into central Europe. For a selected time-period, the index I(sub na) reports the average of the amplitude of the wind, averaging only the speed when the direction is from the southwest (when the wind is from another direction, the contribution counts to the average as zero speed). Strong correlations were found between February I(sub na) and the surface air temperatures in Europe 50-60 deg N. In the present study, we present the correlations between I(sub na) and temperature I(sub s), and also the sensitivity of T(sub s), to an increase in I(sub na), in various seasons and various regions. We specifically analyze the flow of maritime-air from the North Atlantic that produced two extraordinary warm periods: February 1990, and early-winter 2000/2001. The very cold December 2001 was clearly due to a northerly flow. Our conclusion is that the SSM/I dataset is very useful for providing insight to the forcing of climatic fluctuations in Europe.

Otterman, J.

Responses of the Tropical Pacific to Wind Forcing as Observed by Spaceborne Sensors and Simulated by an Ocean General Circulation Model

In this study, satellite observations, in situ measurements, and model simulations are combined to assess the oceanic response to surface wind forcing in the equatorial Pacific. The surface wind fields derived from observations by the spaceborne special sensor microwave imager (SSM/I) and from the operational products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are compared. When SSM/I winds are used to force a primitive-equation ocean general circulation model (OGCM), they produce 3 C more surface cooling than ECMWF winds for the eastern equatorial Pacific during the cool phase of an El Nino-Southern Oscillation event. The stronger cooling by SSM/I winds is in good agreement with measurements at the moored buoys and observations by the advanced very high resolution radiometer, indicating that SSM/I winds are superior to ECMWF winds in forcing the tropical ocean. In comparison with measurements from buoys, tide gauges, and the Geosat altimeter, the OGCM simulates the temporal variations of temperature, steric, and sea level changes with reasonable realism when forced with the satellite winds. There are discrepancies between model simulations and observations that are common to both wind forcing fields, one of which is the simulation of zonal currents; they could be attributed to model deficiencies. By examining model simulations under two winds, vertical heat advection and uplifting of the thermocline are found to be the dominant factors in the anomalous cooling of the ocean mixed layer.

Liu, W. Timothy

Analysis of the impact of Seasat scatterometer data and horizontal resolution on GLA model simulations of the QE II storm

The impact of the Seasat-A satellite scatterometer wind data and the increased horizontal resolution on the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres model predictions of the Queen Elizabeth II (QE II) storm of 9-11 September 1978 was evaluated for four different GLA model simulations of the QE II storm. It is shown that the largest impact on the simulation was caused by doubling the model's horizontal resolution from 4 deg x 5 deg to 2 deg x 2.5 deg. The increased resolution resulted in a storm track which was much closer to the one observed, with a much deeper surface development, a stronger mass circulation, stronger heating, and stronger increase of angular momentum.

Lenzen, Allen J.

Diagnostic evaluation of numerical model simulations using the tendency equation

A procedure is proposed to expand the diagnostic capabilities of the pressure tendency equation of a primitive equation NWP model by computing the pressure tendency in physical coordinates. The advantages of isolating the density advection as a diagnostic tool to understand pressure changes is shown. By simple thermodynamic arguments it is demonstrated that in areas of synoptic-scale cyclonic development, the vertically integrated density advection is more than sufficient to explain the depletion of mass over a growing depression. Consequently, the joint contribution of the net divergence and vertical motion opposes the pressure fall. This is illustrated for a case of rapid cyclogenesis in southern South America.

Jusem, Juan C.

Research highlights of the global modeling and simulation branch for 1986-1987

This document provides a summary of the research conducted in the Global Modeling and Simulation Branch and highlights the most significant accomplishments in 1986 to 1987. The Branch has been the focal point for global weather and climate prediction research in the Laboratory for Atmospheres through the retrieval and use of satellite data, the development of global models and data assimilation techniques, the simulation of future observing systems, and the performance of atmospheric diagnostic studies.

Baker, Wayman

A simple diagnostic tool for the investigation of persistent phenomena with application to the summer 1980 U.S. heat wave

A simple and readily-computed index for diagnostic and numerical weather prediction studies of heat waves and other persistent anomalies has been developed. The index takes into account the two important factors of intensity and persistence and it is highly correlated to the surface air temperature on a variety of time-scales. The utilization of this index for investigating the severe, summer 1980 U.S. heat wave and drought results in an instructive description of the spatial and temporal development of the phenomenon. An assessment of the skill of the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) model in forecasting the initiation and breakdown of the heat wave in terms of the index is also illustrated.

Wolfson, Noah