A Generalized Deep Neural Network for Estimating Severe Hail Likelihood from Satellite Infrared Cloud Top Patterns and Microwave Radiances
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Benjamin Scarino.
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The NASA CERES observed SW and LW fluxes are utilized by the climate community for monitoring the Earth’s energy imbalance and for climate model validation. To facilitate seamless flux and cloud properties across MODIS, VIIRS, and geostationary (GEO) imagers the CERES project intercalibrates the imagers directly comparing the coincident ray-matched analogous channel radiances. For CERES edition 4 products, the MODIS, VIIRS and GEO imagers were radiometrically scaled to the Aqua-MODIS C5 calibration reference. There are no direct comparison opportunities between NPP and NOAA20 VIIRS, since they are positioned a half an orbit apart. The previous usage of Aqua-MODIS as a transfer radiometer is coming to an end, since the Aqua orbit is slowly drifting towards the terminator and will be deorbited in 2026. The CERES project will utilize the Libya-4 and Dome-C invariant targets to radiometrically scale between MODIS and VIIRS reflective solar bands. The Libya-4 and Dome-C Earth invariant targets will be characterized by the repeat cycle angular configuration. The target spectral band adjustment factors (SBAF) will be derived using EMIT and DESIS hyper-spectral observations onboard the ISS and will be compared with the existing SCIAMACHY, GOME-2, and Hyperion SBAFs. The DESIS and EMIT SBAF approach can incorporate the future CLARREO CPF SI traceable hyper-spectral measurements allowing the targets to be referenced to an absolute calibration reference. Utilizing the BRDF and atmospheric corrected characterization of one sensor with another will provide the scaling factors. Consistent scaling factors between the two invariant target validates the method.
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The NASA Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES) project provides the scientific community with observed top-of-atmosphere (TOA) shortwave and longwave fluxes for climate monitoring and climate model validation. To achieve this goal, CERES relies on TOA broadband fluxes derived from geostationary satellite (GEO) imagery to account for the diurnal flux variations between the CERES observation intervals. Consistent global flux derivation depends on accurate and consistent cloud retrievals. Scene-dependent spectral measurement inconsistency of the instruments that make up the contiguous ring of GEO observations (GEO-Ring), as well as limb darkening effects, can cause discontinuities in derived cloud properties and radiative fluxes at the boundaries of adjacent imager domains. Although the algorithms utilize radiative transfer models to account for instrument-band-dependent atmospheric correction and viewing zenith angle (VZA) dependency, small discontinuities may persist due to uncertainties inherent to the multiple imager-specific algorithms. Furthermore, while hyperspectral-instrument-based spectral band adjustment factors may effectively account for spectrally induced bias, they are less effective at reducing variance owed to the specific composition of the viewed scene, which is challenging to robustly characterize. As such, this article highlights the use of a deep neural network (DNN) to resolve spectral-and VZA-induced biases between GEO-Ring imagers. The DNN uses available infrared (IR) channels from the GEO instruments, along with viewing and solar illumination geometry, to estimate homogenized, VIIRS-like IR radiances for use in the GEO cloud algorithm. This approach is effective at mitigating scene-dependent spectral variance and VZA dependency, resulting in consistent radiance measurements across the GEO-Ring, thereby leading toward a more seamless global cloud assessment.
The NASA CERES SYN1deg product provides the scientific community regional hourly TOA and surface broadband fluxes and clouds. For consistent geostationary (GEO) derived fluxes and clouds the GEO imagers are radiometrically scaled to the Aqua-MODIS calibration reference. The CERES project utilizes GEO and MODIS analogous channel coincident, collocated, and co-angled radiance pairs as the primary method to inter-calibrate the GEO imagers. Deep convective clouds (DCC) are bright tropical, near Lambertian, top of atmosphere pseudo invariant Earth targets that do not rely on coincident radiance pairs to radiometrically scale sensors to a common calibration reference. DCC pixels are identified by cold IR window channel brightness temperatures (BT). Successful DCC inter-calibration relies on sufficient sampling of comparable identified DCC pixels between sensors. The DCC identification thresholds, pixel resolution, local time, and geographical sampling should be consistent between sensors. Over 20 GEO imagers during the span of the CERES record have various visible and IR pixel resolutions. Unlike the MODIS and VIIRS imagers, where the visible and IR pixel resolutions are similar, the GEO visible pixel resolution is much finer than the IR pixel resolution. The study will examine the pixel resolution impact on the DCC calibration methodology. The resulting DCC calibration coefficients can be validated against the sensor pair calibration methodology. Accounting for the DCC calibration imager resolution differences will allow the CERES project to utilize the future CLARREO observations as the calibration reference for all GEO, MODIS, and VIIRS imagers across the CERES record.
The NASA CERES project provides the scientific community with regional broadband fluxes designed for long-term climate monitoring. The CERES climate quality dataset requires that the CERES instrument, as well as the MODIS and VIIRS imager records to be radiometrically stable over time. Deep Convective Clouds (DCCs) are spectrally uniform, near-Lambertian natural diffusers offering high signal-to-noise ratio and stable radiometric response in the VIS-NIR spectrum. For shortwave infrared (SWIR) wavelengths greater than 1.2µm, the DCC response is significantly influenced by cloud particle size and atmospheric absorption. Previous studies improved the characterization of the SWIR band DCC radiance, by using channel specific monthly empirical BRDFs as well as using the probability density function mean statistic to track the SWIR band stability. Also, that the DCC radiance is greater over land than over ocean and that the TWP DCC radiance has the lowest tropical DCC radiance. This study confirms and improves upon the previous studies. The study stratified the tropics regionally into land and ocean domains and applied their respective ocean-only and land-only empirical monthly BRDFs and normalized the land DCC BRDF corrected radiances with their ocean counterpart. This approach provided the most stable DCC response. The DCC BRDF corrected radiance monthly standard error was 0.24%, 0.62%, 0.59%, and 0.43% for the 1.24µm, 1.37µm, 1.61µm, and 2.25µm SWIR bands, which reduced the standard error 20%, 13%, 24%, and 26%, respectively when compared with the all-surface approach. The same approach was attempted over the Tropical Western Pacific and found not to be an improvement over the tropical domain. Further stratification of the tropical domain will need to balance sufficient sampling while accounting for regional DCC radiance differences.
The NASA CERES SYN1deg product provides the scientific community regional hourly TOA and surface broadband fluxes and clouds. For consistent geostationary (GEO) derived fluxes and clouds the GEO imagers are radiometrically scaled to the Aqua-MODIS calibration reference. The CERES project utilizes GEO and MODIS or VIIRS analogous channel coincident, collocated, and co-angled radiance pairs as the primary method to inter-calibrate the GEO imagers. Tropical deep convective clouds (DCC) are bright, near Lambertian, top of atmosphere pseudo invariant Earth targets that do not rely on coincident ray-matched radiance pairs to radiometrically scale sensors to a common calibration reference. The DCC invariant target (DCC-IT) methodology collectively analyzes all tropical DCC identified pixel radiances by way of probability density function (PDF) distributions. Perfectly inter-calibrated sensor pairs should reveal nearly identical PDF distributions given the same DCC identification criterion. The PDF median, mean, mode, and inflection point statistics were tested as a function of DCC identification criterion using SNPP-VIIRS and Himawari-8 AHI 0.65μm channel radiances during January 2019. It was found that the PDF inflection point provided inter-calibration factors within 0.25% that were nearly independent of DCC identification criterion. The PDF median provided inter-calibration factors within 0.25% for the coldest BT and most stringent homogeneity factors. The PDF mean and mode statistics were inadequate under any DCC conditions. It is critical for the DCC pixel radiances to be anisotropically corrected. The DCC-IT methodology will also be tested for other visible and SWIR bands.
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The modern-era GOES satellite series began in 1994 with the GOES-8 satellite, and was augmented in 2018 with higher spatial resolution and more frequent imaging when GOES-16 became operational. GOES imagery has provided forecasters and researchers new perspectives into cloud top patterns associated with severe convection, and the ability to better forecast convection in regions without adequate ground-based weather radar coverage. While much attention has been given to convection over North America, convection over South America can be equally, if not more, intense and frequent. Recent studies have demonstrated that overshooting cloud tops (OT) and surrounding anvil clouds can be detected within infrared satellite imagery. Relative storm updraft intensity metrics such as the tropopause-relative infrared brightness temperature, the prominence of an OT relative to its surrounding anvil, and cloud top height can also be derived using automated methods combined with reanalysis data. These automated OT detection and intensity estimation methods have recently been applied to all GOES images collected over South America, in combination with the MERRA-2 reanalysis, from 1995 to 2022 at NASA Langley within a project supported by the NASA Applied Sciences Disasters program. Innovative aggregation methods have merged these products into daily, monthly, annual, and multi-annual composites, with hourly time bins, at ~4 km pixel spacing to enable researchers a new opportunity to study South American convective processes throughout the diurnal cycle. These products have recently become publicly available from NASA. This presentation will overview this new dataset, and novel insights into South American convection depicted by the data.
Satellite inter-calibration often requires collocated observations with minimized discrepancies in sun-view angles, observation times, and sensor characteristics. The collocation criteria directly impact achievable inter-calibration accuracy. Addressing potential angular mismatches in inter-calibration samples is critical but not as fully recognized and addressed as spatial-temporal mismatches in many studies. To achieve high-accuracy corrections for errors due to mismatched sun-view geometry angles, an angular correction algorithm has been developed for the Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory Pathfinder (CPF) mission. This algorithm uses spectral correlation relationships to estimate differences in spectral radiances measured at different angles. This methodology can be extended for inter-calibrations between sensors measuring band radiances across a broad spectral region. We demonstrate its application in reducing angular mismatch errors between collocated measurements of multi-spectral imaging sensors, using the inter-calibration between the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) as an example. The angular correction allows for more relaxed collocation criteria so that more satellite-based inter-calibration samples can be utilized. Furthermore, implementing the angular correction algorithm improves inter-calibration accuracy in applications where angular mismatch errors have not been explicitly addressed previously.
The NASA CERES EBAF product provides the scientific community observed TOA fluxes to monitor the Earth’s energy imbalance and to validate climate models. To provide a seamless EBAF 24-year record, the CERES instrument calibration must be stable and consistent across satellite records. Once the Terra and Aqua spacecraft are decommissioned at the end of 2025, the CERES project will rely on CERES instrument observations on the SNPP and NOAA-20 1:30 PM sun-synchronous orbits. The SNPP and NOAA-20 satellite orbit placement will prevent any time matched observations for inter-calibration efforts. The future Libera instrument, which will continue the CERES record and scheduled for launch in 2028 onboard the NOAA-22 satellite, will also need to be inter-calibrated without the aid of time-matched observations. Deep convective clouds (DCC) are the most Lambertian, brightest, tropical Earth invariant targets located at the tropopause making them ideal to radiometrically scale the CERES SW observed radiance to a common reference. The SNPP, NOAA-20 and future NOAA-22 satellites are in the same 16-day repeatable orbits, allowing the DCC targets to be observed with the same angular configuration. The empirically derived SNPP CERES SW channel Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF) can be easily be applied to the NOAA-20 CERES SW channel radiances since they observe the nearly the same DCC systems. The DCC BRDF corrected radiances are analyzed collectively into radiance probability distribution functions (PDF). By comparing the PDF statistics, the SNPP and NOAA-20 CERES SW channel can be inter-calibrated. The inter-calibration coefficients are validated with the CERES instrument calibration team coefficients to optimize the methodology.