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Bhattacharya, Tanmoy

Publications and source records attributed to Bhattacharya, Tanmoy.

High dimensional predictions of suicide risk in 4.2 million US Veterans using ensemble transfer learning

We present an ensemble transfer learning method to predict suicide from Veterans Affairs (VA) electronic medical records (EMR). A diverse set of base models was trained to predict a binary outcome constructed from reported suicide, suicide attempt, and overdose diagnoses with varying choices of study design and prediction methodology. Each model used twenty cross-sectional and 190 longitudinal variables observed in eight time intervals covering 7.5 years prior to the time of prediction. Ensembles of seven base models were created and fine-tuned with ten variables expected to change with study design and outcome definition in order to predict suicide and combined outcome in a prospective cohort. The ensemble models achieved c-statistics of 0.73 on 2-year suicide risk and 0.83 on the combined outcome when predicting on a prospective cohort of ~4.2 M veterans. The ensembles rely on nonlinear base models trained using a matched retrospective nested case-control (Rcc) study cohort and show good calibration across a diversity of subgroups, including risk strata, age, sex, race, and level of healthcare utilization. In addition, a linear Rcc base model provided a rich set of biological predictors, including indicators of suicide, substance use disorder, mental health diagnoses and treatments, hypoxia and vascular damage, and demographics. Similar content being viewed by others

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Prevention efficacy of the broadly neutralizing antibody VRC01 depends on HIV-1 envelope sequence features

In the Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials (HVTN 704/HPTN 085 and HVTN 703/HPTN 081), prevention efficacy (PE) of the monoclonal broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) VRC01 (vs. placebo) against HIV-1 acquisition diagnosis varied according to the HIV-1 Envelope (Env) neutralization sensitivity to VRC01, as measured by 80% inhibitory concentration (IC80). Here, we performed a genotypic sieve analysis, a complementary approach to gaining insight into correlates of protection that assesses how PE varies with HIV-1 sequence features. We analyzed HIV-1 Env amino acid (AA) sequences from the earliest available HIV-1 RNA-positive plasma samples from AMP participants diagnosed with HIV-1 and identified Env sequence features that associated with PE. The strongest Env AA sequence correlate in both trials was VRC01 epitope distance that quantifies the divergence of the VRC01 epitope in an acquired HIV-1 isolate from the VRC01 epitope of reference HIV-1 strains that were most sensitive to VRC01-mediated neutralization. In HVTN 704/HPTN 085, the Env sequence-based predicted probability that VRC01 IC80 against the acquired isolate exceeded 1 µg/mL also significantly associated with PE. In HVTN 703/HPTN 081, a physicochemical-weighted Hamming distance across 50 VRC01 binding-associated Env AA positions of the acquired isolate from the most VRC01-sensitive HIV-1 strain significantly associated with PE. These results suggest that incorporating mutation scoring by BLOSUM62 and weighting by the strength of interactions at AA positions in the epitope:VRC01 interface can optimize performance of an Env sequence-based biomarker of VRC01 prevention efficacy. Future work could determine whether these results extend to other bnAbs and bnAb combinations.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Nucleon Isovector Axial Form Factors

We present results for the isovector axial vector form factors obtained using thirteen 2 + 1 + 1-flavor highly improved staggered quark (HISQ) ensembles generated by the MILC collaboration. The calculation of nucleon two- and three-point correlation functions has been done using Wilson-clover fermions. In the analysis of these data, we quantify the sensitivity of the results to strategies used for removing excited state contamination and invoke the partially conserved axial current relation between the form factors to choose between them. Our data driven analysis includes removing contributions from multihadron $Nπ$ states that make significant contributions. Our final results are $g_A$ = 1.292(53) stat (24) sys for the axial charge; $g_S$ = 1.085(50) stat (103) sys and $g_T$ = 0.991(21) stat (10) sys for the scalar and tensor charges; $\langle{r^2_A}\rangle$ = 0.439(56) sta t(34) sys fm 2 for the mean squared axial charge radius, $g^*_P$ = 9.03(47) stat (42) sys for the induced pseudoscalar charge; and $g_{πNN}$ = 14.14(81) stat (85) sys for the pion-nucleon coupling. We also provide a parametrization of the axial form factor $G_A(Q^2)$ over the range 0 ≤ $Q^2$ ≤ 1 GeV 2 for use in phenomenology and a comparison with other lattice determinations. We find that the various lattice data agree within 10% but are significantly different from the extraction of $G_A(Q^2)$ from the $ν$-deuterium scattering data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Deep learning uncertainty quantification for clinical text classification

Machine learning algorithms are expected to work side-by-side with humans in decision-making pipelines. Thus, the ability of classifiers to make reliable decisions is of paramount importance. Deep neural networks (DNNs) represent the state-of-the-art models to address real-world classification. Although the strength of activation in DNNs is often correlated with the network’s confidence, in-depth analyses are needed to establish whether they are well calibrated. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of DNN-based classification tools to benefit cancer registries by automating information extraction of disease at diagnosis and at surgery from electronic text pathology reports from the US National Cancer Institute (NCI) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) population-based cancer registries. In particular, we introduce multiple methods for selective classification to achieve a target level of accuracy on multiple classification tasks while minimizing the rejection amount—that is, the number of electronic pathology reports for which the model’s predictions are unreliable. We evaluate the proposed methods by comparing our approach with the current in-house deep learning-based abstaining classifier. Overall, all the proposed selective classification methods effectively allow for achieving the targeted level of accuracy or higher in a trade-off analysis aimed to minimize the rejection rate. On in-distribution validation and holdout test data, with all the proposed methods, we achieve on all tasks the required target level of accuracy with a lower rejection rate than the deep abstaining classifier (DAC). Interpreting the results for the out-of-distribution test data is more complex; nevertheless, in this case as well, the rejection rate from the best among the proposed methods achieving 97% accuracy or higher is lower than the rejection rate based on the DAC. We show that although both approaches can flag those samples that should be manually reviewed and labeled by human annotators, the newly proposed methods retain a larger fraction and do so without retraining—thus offering a reduced computational cost compared with the in-house deep learning-based abstaining classifier.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Topological terms with qubit regularization and relativistic quantum circuits

Qubit regularization provides a rich framework to explore quantum field theories. The freedom to choose how the important symmetries of the theory are embedded in the qubit regularization scheme allows us to construct new lattice models with rich phase diagrams. Some of the phases can contain topological terms which lead to critical phases. In this work we introduce and study the SU(3)-F qubit regularization scheme to embed the SO(3) spin-symmetry. We argue that qubit models in this regularization scheme contain several phases including a critical phase which describes the k = 1 Wess-Zumino-Witten (WZW) conformal field theory (CFT) at long distances, and two massive phases one of which is trvially gapped and the other which breaks the lattice translation symmetry. We construct a simple space-time Euclidean lattice model with a single coupling U and study it using the Monte Carlo method. We show the model has a critical phase at small U and a trivially massive phase at large U with a first order transition separating the two. Another feature of our model is that it is symmetric under space-time rotations, which means the temporal and spatial lattice spacing are connected to each other. The unitary time evolution operator obtained by a Wick rotation of the transfer matrix of our model can help us compute the physics of the k = 1 WZW CFT in real time without the need for tuning the temporal lattice spacing to zero. We use this idea to introduce the concept of a relativistic quantum circuit on a discrete space-time lattice.

Bhattacharya, Tanmoy↗