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Blum, Rick S.

Publications and source records attributed to Blum, Rick S..

Modeling and Detection of Future Cyber-Enabled DSM Data Attacks

Demand-Side Management (DSM) is an essential tool to ensure power system reliability and stability. In future smart grids, certain portions of a customer’s load usage could be under the automatic control of a cyber-enabled DSM program, which selectively schedules loads as a function of electricity prices to improve power balance and grid stability. In this scenario, the security of DSM cyberinfrastructure will be critical as advanced metering infrastructure and communication systems are susceptible to cyber-attacks. Such attacks, in the form of false data injections, can manipulate customer load profiles and cause metering chaos and energy losses in the grid. The feedback mechanism between load management on the consumer side and dynamic price schemes employed by independent system operators can further exacerbate attacks. To study how this feedback mechanism may worsen attacks in future cyber-enabled DSM programs, we propose a novel mathematical framework for (i) modeling the nonlinear relationship between load management and real-time pricing, (ii) simulating residential load data and prices, (iii) creating cyber-attacks, and (iv) detecting said attacks. In this framework, we first develop time-series forecasts to model load demand and use them as inputs to an elasticity model for the price-demand relationship in the DSM loop. This work then investigates the behavior of such a feedback loop under intentional cyber-attacks. We simulate and examine load-price data under different DSM-participation levels with three types of random additive attacks: ramp, sudden, and point attacks. We conduct two investigations for the detection of DSM attacks. The first studies a supervised learning approach, with various classification models, and the second studies the performance of parametric and nonparametric change point detectors. Results conclude that higher amounts of DSM participation can exacerbate ramp and sudden attacks leading to better detection of such attacks, especially with supervised learning classifiers. We also find that nonparametric detection outperforms parametric for smaller user pools, and random point attacks are the hardest to detect with any method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A trilevel model against false gas-supply information attacks in electricity systems

The interdependence between natural gas and electricity systems is increasing rapidly due to the growing reliance on natural gas-fired generating units. Availability of natural gas for gas-fired generating units can impact the secure operation of electricity systems. Fuel supply shortage for gas-fired units can be caused by uncertain interruptible supply contracts and incorrect supply information. This article proposes a trilevel min-max-min defender-attacker-operator optimization problem to provide the power system operator a screening methodology that allocates a limited budget for best protecting critical fuel supply information, and also the strategies to sign firm supply contract to reduce natural gas supply uncertainties. We utilize a column and constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm to solve the proposed problem. We illustrate the effectiveness of this trilevel formulation using a case study based on IEEE 24-node test system.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Distributed Outage Detection in Power Distribution Networks

Real time topology knowledge is essential for situational awareness of power distribution networks. Line outages change the topology of a distribution network. Hence, outage detection is an important task. Most of the existing outage detection algorithms are centralized, in which sensors communicate their data to a control center which performs outage detection using the received data. However, with the increasing size of the distribution network and with different areas of the network being monitored by different operators, communication is a bottleneck and scalability is a major concern. To address these issues, we propose a novel outage detection algorithm using a divide and conquer approach. First, we divide a distribution network into sub-networks, such that outage detection can be run in parallel in each sub-network independently ensuring scalability to large networks. Further, to reduce the latency, bandwidth and attenuation challenges associated with communications in a large network, we divide each sub-network into multiple control areas which communicate only with their neighbors. We employ a distributed iterative load estimation across the control areas of each sub-network and then use the load estimate for local outage detection in each control area. Here, the performance of our algorithm is evaluated for multiple feeder models and compared against traditional centralized outage detection algorithms.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗