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Bottke, William F., Jr.

Publications and source records attributed to Bottke, William F., Jr..

Dynamical Evolution of Asteroids and Meteoroids Using the Yarkovsky Effect

The Yarkovsky effect is a thermal radiation force which causes objects to undergo semimajor axis drift and spin up/down as a function of their spin, orbit, and material properties. This mechanism can be used to (i) deliver asteroids (and meteoroids) with diameter D < 20 km from their parent bodies in the main belt to chaotic resonance zones capable of transporting this material to Earth-crossing orbits, (ii) disperse asteroid families, with drifting bodies jumping or becoming trapped in mean-motion and secular resonances within the main belt, and (iii) modify the rotation rates of asteroids a few km in diameter or smaller enough to explain the excessive number of very fast and very slow rotators among the small asteroids. Accordingly, we suggest that nongravitational forces, which produce small but meaningful effects on asteroid orbits and rotation rates over long timescales, should now be considered as important as collisions and gravitational perturbations to our overall understanding of asteroid evolution.

Bottke, William F., Jr.

1620 Geographos and 433 Eros: Shaped by Planetary Tides

Until recently, most asteroids were thought to be solid bodies whose shapes were determined largely by collisions with other asteroids. It now seems that many asteroids are little more than rubble piles, held together by self-gravity; this means that their shapes may be strongly affected by tides during close encounters with planets.

Asteroids 1620 Geographos 433 Eros

Tidal Breakup of Asteroids by the Earth and Moon

We report on preliminary results from simulations of the tidal breakup of 'rubble pile' asteroids by the Earth and Moon. We find that both bodies can disrupt 2 g/cm(exp -3) asteroids and the outcome depends on various adjustable factors, including the encounter distance and velocity. The results of the completed study will have implications for the origins of such geological features as crater chains.

Richardson, Derek C.

Velocity distributions among colliding asteroids

The probability distribution for impact velocities between two given asteroids is wide, non-Gaussian, and often contains spikes according to our new method of analysis in which each possible orbital geometry for collision is weighted according to its probability. An average value would give a good representation only if the distribution were smooth and narrow. Therefore, the complete velocity distribution we obtain for various asteroid populations differs significantly from published histograms of average velocities. For all pairs among the 682 asteroids in the main-belt with D greater than 50 km, we find that our computed velocity distribution is much wider than previously computed histograms of average velocities. In this case, the most probable impact velocity is approximately 4.4 km/sec, compared with the mean impact velocity of 5.3 km/sec. For cases of a single asteroid (e.g., Gaspra or Ida) relative to an impacting population, the distribution we find yields lower velocities than previously reported by others. The width of these velocity distributions implies that mean impact velocities must be used with caution when calculating asteroid collisional lifetimes or crater-size distributions. Since the most probable impact velocities are lower than the mean, disruption events may occur less frequently than previously estimated. However, this disruption rate may be balanced somewhat by an apparent increase in the frequency of high-velocity impacts between asteroids. These results have implications for issues such as asteroidal disruption rates, the amount/type of impact ejecta available for meteoritical delivery to the Earth, and the geology and evolution of specific asteroids like Gaspra.

Bottke, William F., Jr.

Asteroidal collision probabilities

Several past calculations of collision probabilities between pairs of bodies on independent orbits have yielded inconsistent results. We review the methodologies and identify their various problems. Greenberg's (1982) collision probability formalism (now with a corrected symmetry assumption) is equivalent to Wetherill's (1967) approach, except that it includes a way to avoid singularities near apsides. That method shows that the procedure by Namiki and Binzel (1991) was accurate for those cases where singularities did not arise.

Bottke, William F., Jr.