Stochastic Guidance of Buoyancy Controlled Vehicles under Ice Shelves using Ocean Currents
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Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Branch, Andrew.
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We propose a novel technique for guidance ofbuoyancy-controlled vehicles in uncertain under-ice ocean flows.In-situ melt rate measurements collected at the grounding zoneof Antarctic ice shelves, where the ice shelf meets the underlyingbedrock, are essential to constrain models of future sea levelrise. Buoyancy-controlled vehicles, which control their verticalposition in the water column but have no means of horizontalpropulsion, offer an affordable and reliable platform for suchin-situ data collection. However, reaching the grounding zonerequires vehicles to traverse tens of kilometers under the iceshelf, with approximate position knowledge and no meansof communication, in highly variable and uncertain oceancurrents. To address this challenge, we propose a partiallyobservable MDP approach that exploits model-based knowledgeof the under-ice currents and, critically, of their uncertainty,to synthesize effective guidance policies. The approach usesapproximate dynamic programming to model uncertainty inthe currents, and QMDP to address localization uncertainty.Numerical experiments show that the policy can deliver upto 88.8% of underwater vehicles to the grounding zone – a33% improvement compared to state-of-the-art guidance techniques, and a 262% improvement over uncontrolled drifters.Collectively, these results show that model-based under-iceguidance is a highly promising technique for exploration ofunder-ice cavities, and has the potential to enable cost-effectiveand scalable access to these challenging and rarely observed environments.
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Antarctic ice shelves buttress the Antarctic Ice Sheet from sliding into the ocean and significantly raising global sea level. However, the accelerating dynamics of ice shelf melt in a warming environment are poorly understood, and the collapse of Antarctic ice shelves remains one of the largest sources of uncertainty in global sea level rise projections. The cavities below Antarctic ice shelves are notoriously difficult to access, making model-based hypotheses about the relationship between ocean warming and greater ice shelf melting difficult to verify because of a lack of in-situ data to constrain model parameters and examine key assumptions. We present early progress on IceNode, a novel vehicle under development at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory designed to acquire well-distributed, concurrent, long-duration melt rate measurements under ice shelves. IceNodes are deployed as an array from a ship at the shelf edge, and use variable buoyancy to ride melt-driven exchange currents far into the cavity. Once underneath their target, they release a ballast weight to become highly positively buoyant and attach to the underside of the ice shelf, where they acquire in-situ measurements of basal melt rate directly at the ice-ocean interface for a year or more. Finally, IceNodes detach from their landing structure and use variable buoyancy to ride melt-driven exchange currents back to open water, where they surface and transmit their mission data home. IceNodes are designed to be relatively low-cost, expendable, and have simple logistics, enabling scientists to deploy scalable arrays that simultaneously measure co-varying ice shelf melt and ocean conditions over large spatial areas, thereby providing an unprecedented view of ice shelf melt rate variability and its drivers.
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Exploration of Ocean Worlds requires a new type of mission to be developed, an ice penetrating submersible vehicle. Such a mission would present a number of new challenges, including long range autonomous under ice navigation. We have developed a method based on Golden Section Search for an AUV to home to a base station with a single range-only acoustic beacon and no absolute heading measurement capabilities. We demonstrate this method in simulation to home from 10km away to within 1km. Such capabilities would be required for a submersible to explore any substantial portion of the oceans on these Ocean Worlds.
Ocean Worlds represent one of the best chances for the dis- covery of extra-terrestrial life within our own solar system, particularly near sources of hydrothermal venting. To study the oceans on Ocean Worlds will require a new type of mis- sion to penetrate the icy shell, deploy an autonomous under- water vehicle (AUV), and travel potentially hundreds of kilo- both inspired by (Burian et al. 1996). We have improved a meters with minimal contact to Earth based operations teams. previously-developed nested search strategy (Branch et al. To maximize the science return, the AUV would need to be capable of fully autonomously locating and studying scien- tific features of interest. We have developed two strategies to locate sources of hydrothermal venting: a gradient ascent strategy and a greedy transect search strategy. We have im- proved a previously-implemented nested search strategy by adding a vertical search component. Each strategy is tested in a hydrothermal plume dispersion simulation. We compare the effectiveness of each method in this environment.
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Ocean Worlds represent one of the best chances for extra-terrestrial life in our solar system. A new mission concept must be developed to explore these oceans. This mission would require traversing the 10s of km thick icy shell and releasing a submersible into the ocean below. During the transit of the icy shell and the exploration of the ocean, the vehicle(s) would be out of contact with Earth for weeks or potentially months at a time. During this time the vehicle must have sufficient autonomy to locate and study scientific targets of interest. One such target of interest is hydrothermal venting. We have previously developed an autonomous nested search method to locate and investigate sources of hydrothermal venting by locating local maxima in hydrothermal vent emissions. In this work we demonstrate this approach on board an OceanServer Iver2 AUV in Chesapeake Bay, MD using simulated sensor data from a hydrothermal plume model. This represents the first step towards the deployment of this approach in conditions analogous to those that we might expect on an Ocean World.
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