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Bras, Rafael L.

Publications and source records attributed to Bras, Rafael L..

An Agenda for Land-Surface Hydrology Research and a Call for the Second International Hydrological Decade

An agenda for land-surface hydrology research is proposed to open the debate for more comprehensive prioritization of science and application activities in the hydrologic sciences. A set of science questions are posed and the observational requirements to achieve substantial progress are identified. In this context, the proposal to initiate the 2nd International Hydrologic Decade (IHD) is put forth. The benefits of this initiative for enhanced scientific understanding and improved capability in meeting societal needs are also identified.

Entekhabi, Dara↗

Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of Rainfall Considering the Effects of Wind and Nonprecipitating Clouds

It has long been shown both in theory and in observation that emission from rain drops in a raining cloud results in upwelling brightness temperature above that caused by the sea surface alone. High brightness temperatures at microwave frequencies (e.g. 37 and 19 GHz) have usually been quantitatively associated with rainfall using physical or statistical models. By comparing concurrent special sensor microwave/imager and radar data, however, we noticed many cases where there is no appreciable rainfall in a field of view (FOV) which exhibits high brightness temperature (T(sub B)) at 37 and 19 GHz. On the basis of calculations and past literature it is shown that such high brightness temperatures can be caused by nonprecipitating clouds and by wind. The effect of the wind is to create wave and high-emissivity foam on the sea surface. A model is developed to relate T(sub B) to the fractional coverage of rain, f, within a FOV. The parameters of the model are calibrated by fitting the model to the observed brightness temperature and fractional rain coverage data. The critical parameter of the model, T(sub B min.), which is the threshold brightness temperature for the presence of rain, depends on the strength of the storm. The strength of the storm is characterized by the fraction of the FOVs within a large area that have T(sub B) higher than 240 K, which is readily obtainable from satellite data alone. The instantaneous FOV rain rate R can then be obtained through the f approximately R relationship which is empirically derived using radar data. An algorithm has been proposed based on the T(sub B) approximately f and f approximately R relationship. Application of the algorithm to TOGA-COARE and Darwin storms results in reasonable instantaneous FOV rain estimate. When averaged over the entire radar scan, a more accurate and unbiased areal rain estimate can be achieved.

Qihang Li.↗

Precipitation Recycling

The water cycle regulates and reflects natural variability in climate at the regional and global scales. Large-scale human activities that involve changes in land cover, such as tropical deforestation, are likely to modify climate through changes in the water cycle. In order to understand, and hopefully be able to predict, the extent of these potential global and regional changes, we need first to understand how the water cycle works. In the past, most of the research in hydrology focused on the land branch of the water cycle, with little attention given to the atmospheric branch. The study of precipitation recycling which is defined as the contribution of local evaporation to local precipitation, aims at understanding hydrologic processes in the atmospheric branch of the water cycle. Simply stated, any study on precipitation recycling is about how the atmospheric branch of the water cycle works, namely, what happens to water vapor molecules after they evaporate from the surface, and where will they precipitate?

Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.↗

Analysis of Darwin Rainfall Data: Implications on Sampling Strategy

Rainfall data collected by radar in the vicinity of Darwin, Australia, have been analyzed in terms of their mean, variance, autocorrelation of area-averaged rain rate, and diurnal variation. It is found that, when compared with the well-studied GATE (Global Atmospheric Research Program Atlantic Tropical Experiment) data, Darwin rainfall has larger coefficient of variation (CV), faster reduction of CV with increasing area size, weaker temporal correlation, and a strong diurnal cycle and intermittence. The coefficient of variation for Darwin rainfall has larger magnitude and exhibits larger spatial variability over the sea portion than over the land portion within the area of radar coverage. Stationary, and nonstationary models have been used to study the sampling errors associated with space-based rainfall measurement. The nonstationary model shows that the sampling error is sensitive to the starting sampling time for some sampling frequencies, due to the diurnal cycle of rain, but not for others. Sampling experiments using data also show such sensitivity. When the errors are averaged over starting time, the results of the experiments and the stationary and nonstationary models match each other very closely. In the small areas for which data are available for I>oth Darwin and GATE, the sampling error is expected to be larger for Darwin due to its larger CV.

Rafael, Qihang Li↗

Sensitivity of Regional Climate to Deforestation in the Amazon Basin

The deforestation results in several adverse effect on the natural environment. The focus of this paper is on the effects of deforestation on land-surface processes and regional climate of the Amazon basin. In general, the effect of deforestation on climate are likely to depend on the scale of the defrosted area. In this study, we are interested in the effects due to deforestation of areas with a scale of about 250 km. Hence, a meso-scale climate model is used in performing numerical experiments on the sensitivity of regional climate to deforestation of areas with that size. It is found that deforestation results in less net surface radiation, less evaporation, less rainfall, and warmer surface temperature. The magnitude of the of the change in temperature is of the order 0.5 C, the magnitudes of the changes in the other variables are of the order of IO%. In order to verify some of he results of the numerical experiments, the model simulations of net surface radiation are compared to recent observations of net radiation over cleared and undisturbed forest in the Amazon. The results of the model and the observations agree in the following conclusion: the difference in net surface radiation between cleared and undisturbed forest is, almost, equally partioned between net solar radiation and net long-wave radiation. This finding contributes to our understanding of the basic physics in the deforestation problem.

Eltahir, Elfatih A. B.↗

Clustered or regular cumulus cloud fields - The statistical character of observed and simulated cloud fields

The spatial distribution of cumulus clouds is assumed to be the result of the effects of convective activity on the thermodynamic environment. The effects can be parameterized in terms of a stabilization function representing the time rate of change of convective available potential energy. Using these results, a new inhibition hypothesis explaining the expected characteristics of the spatial distribution of cumulus clouds is postulated. This paper performs a verification of the inhibition hypothesis on real and simulated cloud fields. In order to do so, an objective measure of the spatial characteristics of cumulus clouds is introduced. Multiple cloud experiments are performed with a three-dimensional numerical cloud model. Skylab pictures of real cumuli are also used in the verification. Results of applying this measure to simulated and observed cumulus cloud fields confirm the inhibition hypothesis.

Ramirez, Jorge A.↗

Stabilization functions of unforced cumulus clouds - Their nature and components

The nature and the spatial distribution of cumuli within an unforced cumulus cloud field are investigated. The thermodynamic effects of convection are quantified as functions of changes of convective available potential energy (CAPE) induced by the convective overturning, and the time rate of change of CAPE is parameterized in terms of a kernel of influence or stabilization function. A three-dimensional cloud model is used to infer and quantify stabilization functions by performing single-cloud experiments. On the basis of the results obtained, a new hypothesis with respect to the spatial distribution of cumuli is postulated, which states that, under completely homogeneous external conditions and assuming a spatially random distribution of cloud-triggering mechanisms, the spatial distribution of cumuli in the resulting cloud field must be regular, as opposed to either random or clustered, because cumulus clouds tend to reduce the available energy for convection, thereby inhibiting further convection nearby.

Ramirez, Jorge A.↗