pvdeg - Advanced Degradation Prediction Tool and Database
pvdeg is an open-source python library that provides set of tools to calculate degradation responses and degradation related parameters for PV.
Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Brown, Matthew.
pvdeg is an open-source python library that provides set of tools to calculate degradation responses and degradation related parameters for PV.
When photovoltaic (PV) modules are installed on rooftops, the module temperature depends primarily on the geographic location and the mounting configuration. If the mounting structure does not provide sufficient airflow in a hot environment, the 98th percentile temperature will exceed 70°C, which according to IEC TS 63126 ED. 1, requires higher levels of thermal stability testing. However, there is no clear way to determine the temperature level needed for a particular location and system design. Here, in this work, we identify a relationship between the module standoff to the rooftop and the module temperature and propose methods to describe a minimum standoff for typical PV modules in a simple mounting configuration installed in a given location. For more complex system designs, we show how to determine an equivalent “effective standoff” that can be applied to generic calculations. Lastly, we show measurements and calculations from several systems to demonstrate how this method could work.
This open-source tool functions for calculating degradation of photovoltaic modules. For example, functions to calculate front and rear relative Humidity, as well as Acceleration Factors. A degradation calculation function is also being developed, considering humidity and spectral irradiances models.
The photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs, higher-efficiency cells, and improved module designs. These trends lead to using new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, resulting in a continually changing technological landscape. These changes can potentially introduce new, unknown degradation mechanisms and failure modes that are difficult to diagnose, analyze, test, and model. This introduces uncertainty into the expected lifetime of PV modules of 25 to 50 years. research efforts aim to achieve this while keeping performance degradation at a minimum for decades. This puts considerable pressure on improving the accuracy of long-term durability and reliability assessments. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. Because the core of this type of analysis involves calculations that are complicated but ubiquitous for many degradation processes, an enhanced predictive modeling framework will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this work, we present an online tool that can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. The tool will simplify many of the routine computational operations that are common to many degradation studies. The prediction tool will be built modular and published as open source, enabling users to expand on the existing framework. This repository will contain various degradation models and material parameters suitable for the reliability and durability assessment of materials and components deployed outdoors.
Assessing the durability of photovoltaic (PV) module backsheet is critical to increasing module lifetime. Historically, laboratory-based accelerated testing has insufficient in predicting large-scale failures of commercial polymeric materials. Additionally, there is growing concern that standard condition tests do not reflect non-uniformities in field exposure, and that certain modules experience more severe degradation due to their location. Anisotropy in field exposures is installation-dependent and reflects different levels of exposure to irradiance due to mounting geometry, ground surface albedo, and climatic zone. "Bificial_Radiance" [1], simulates the amount of reflected irradiance on the Polyethylene Naphthalate (PEN) backsheet of a PV array located in Maryland. In our work, site specific weather data are gathered for the entire length of exposure for the modules. The total full-spectrum dose for the incident irradiance on the backsheet was then determined. The simulation results are integrated with historical field survey data to better understand real orld outdoor degradation.
Around 90% of current photovoltaic (PV) modules are less than ten years old. New PV technologies and materials are deployed without documented durability and performance histories. Accelerated testing attempts to capture degradation modes but can produce false results with such rapid deployment of new materials. Current testing assumes UV dosage on the rear of a module to be 10% of that incident on the front. We present a method to quantify degradation on PV backsheets in the field. We aim to evaluate if current acceleration factors for UV damage in chambers are properly estimating degradation for different PV site installations. The method leverages bifacial_radiance to ray-trace and evaluate irradiance on the front and the rear of the modules. Then an equation to estimate the relative degradation is proposed.
Assessing photovoltaic module backsheet durability is critical to increasing module lifetime. Lab based accelerating testing has recently failed to predict large scale failures of widely adopted polymeric materials. Field surveyed data is critical to assess the performance of component lifetime. Using a documented field survey protocol, 13 field surveys where conducted. Each measurement is encoded with it's spatial location in respect to the other modules. By combining field survey data on degradation predictors with real time satellite weather data, data-driven predictive models of backsheet degradation were trained. LOESS models were constructed to investigate the spatial dependence of measurements. It was found that micro-climatic effects like tree-lines, ground surface changes, and elevation changes effected the magnitude and variance of the measurements. A GAM model was created to predict the value of degradation based on measured predictors. The model includes variables on the climate of the system and the location of each measurement in the PV mounting structure. The model performed well with an adj.R 2 of 0.95 for yellowness index prediction. The model was cross-validated using k-folds.
Evolutionary multi-objective algorithms have great potential for scheduling in those situations where tradeoffs among competing objectives represent a key requirement. One challenge, however, is runtime performance, as a consequence of evolving not just a single schedule, but an entire population, while attempting to sample the Pareto frontier as accurately and uniformly as possible. The growing availability of multi-core processors in end user workstations, and even laptops, has raised the question of the extent to which such hardware can be used to speed up evolutionary algorithms. In this paper we report on early experiments in parallelizing a Generalized Differential Evolution (GDE) algorithm for scheduling long-range activities on NASA's Deep Space Network. Initial results show that significant speedups can be achieved, but that performance does not necessarily improve as more cores are utilized. We describe our preliminary results and some initial suggestions from parallelizing the GDE algorithm. Directions for future work are outlined.
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