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Caines, P. E.

Publications and source records attributed to Caines, P. E..

Cellular Decomposition Based Hybrid-Hierarchical Control Systems with Applications to Flight Management Systems

The work in this research project has been focused on the construction of a hierarchical hybrid control theory which is applicable to flight management systems. The motivation and underlying philosophical position for this work has been that the scale, inherent complexity and the large number of agents (aircraft) involved in an air traffic system imply that a hierarchical modelling and control methodology is required for its management and real time control. In the current work the complex discrete or continuous state space of a system with a small number of agents is aggregated in such a way that discrete (finite state machine or supervisory automaton) controlled dynamics are abstracted from the system's behaviour. High level control may then be either directly applied at this abstracted level, or, if this is in itself of significant complexity, further layers of abstractions may be created to produce a system with an acceptable degree of complexity at each level. By the nature of this construction, high level commands are necessarily realizable at lower levels in the system.

Caines, P. E.↗

A note on the consistency of maximum likelihood estimates for finite families of stochastic processes

The note considers families of stochastic processes indexed by a finite number of alternative parameter values. For general classes of stochastic processes, it is shown that maximum-likelihood estimates converge almost surely to the correct parameter value. This is established by use of a submartingale property of the sequence of maximized-likelihood ratios together with a technique first employed by Wald (1949) in the case of independent identically distributed random variables.

Caines, P. E.↗