A New Method for Asteroid Impact Monitoring and Hazard Assessment
No abstract provided
Chesley, Steven R.↗
Engineering topics
Chesley, Steven R.
Publications and source records attributed to Chesley, Steven R..
Serendipitous Geodesy from Bennu's Short-Lived Moonlets
The Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security-Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx; or OREx) spacecraft arrived at its target, near-Earth asteroid (101955) Bennu, on December 3, 2018. The OSIRIS-REx spacecraft has since collected a wealth of scientific information in order to select a suitable site for sampling. Shortly after insertion into orbit on December 31, 2018, particles were identified in starfield images taken by the navigation camera (NavCam 1). Several groups within the OSlRlS-REx team analyzed the particle data in an effort to better understand this newfound activity of Bennu and to investigate the potential sensitivity of the particles to Bennu's geophysical parameters. A number of particles were identified through automatic and manual methods in multiple images, which could be turned into short sequences of optical tracking observations. Here, we discuss the precision orbit determination (OD) effort focused on these particles at NASA GSFC, which involved members of the Independent Navigation Team (INT) in particular. The particle data are combined with other OSIRIS-REx tracking data (radiometric from OSN and optical landmark data) using the NASA GSFC GEODYN orbit determination and geodetic parameter estimation software. We present the results of our study, particularly those pertaining to the gravity field of Bennu. We describe the force modeling improvements made to GEODYN specifically for this work, e.g., with a raytracing-based modeling of solar radiation pressure. The short-lived, low-flying moonlets enable us to determine a gravity field model up to a relatively high degree and order: at least degree 6 without constraints, and up to degree 10 when applying Kaula-like regularization. We can backward- and forward-integrate the trajectory of these particles to the ejection and landing sites on Bennu. We assess the recovered field by its impact on the OSIRIS-REx trajectory reconstruction and prediction quality in the various mission phases (e.g., Orbital A, Detailed Survey, and Orbital B).
Mazarico, Erwan↗
Development of a realistic set of synthetic earth impactor orbits
We present a refined method for creating orbits of fictitious Earth impactors that are representative of the actual impactor population. Such orbits are crucial inputs to a variety of investigations, such as those that seek to discern how well and how early a particular asteroid survey can detect impactors, or to understand the progression of impact probability as an object is tracked after discovery.
Jedicke, Robert↗
Linking Asteroid Detections from the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope
We have conducted a detailed simulation of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) in order to understand the system’s ability to link detections of asteroids within and across nights in order to populate a catalog of asteroid orbits. We show that LSST, using its baseline survey cadence, should be able to successfully link and catalog asteroids. In our simulation of a single monthly observing cycle, LSST produced 66 million candidate detections of main belt asteroids (MBAs) and near Earth objects (NEOs), of which 77% were spurious detections related to detector noise or image processing. Using the Moving Object Processing System, we were able to assemble single-night “tracklets” with negligible losses, but a purity of only 43%. The next stage of linking led to three-night orbits with data sets no more than 12 days in length, and it is at this stage that the false detections are readily removed from the data stream. Main-belt linkages were essentially complete and 99.8% pure. Similarly, only 0.02% of linked detections involving NEOs were spurious. On the other hand, NEO linking was 93.6% complete, indicating that 6.4% of potentially findable NEOs were not successfully linked. We believe that this rate can be improved with careful tuning of the MOPS linking algorithms. The NEO catalog was affected by main-belt confusion so that mis-linked MBAs appeared as NEOs, and many correctly linked MBAs were consistent with NEO orbits. We show that these cases arise primarily from MBAs detected at lower solar elongations and we postulate that this is an artifact of a one month simulation that will be readily resolved by surveying over many months.
Chesley, Steven R.↗
Projected Near-Earth Object Discovery Performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope
This report describes the methodology and results of an assessment study of the performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) in its planned efforts to detect and catalog near-Earth objects (NEOs).
Chesley, Steven R.↗
Projected near-earth object discovery performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope
This report describes the methodology and results of an assessment study of the performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) in its planned efforts to detect and catalog near-Earth objects (NEOs).
Veres, Peter↗
The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope: Projected Near-Earth Object Discovery Performance
The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST) is a large-aperture, wide-field survey that has the potential to detect millions of asteroids. LSST is under construction with survey operations slated to begin in 2022. We describe an independent study to assess the performance of LSST for detecting and cataloging near-Earth objects (NEOs). A significant component of the study will be to assess the survey's ability to link observations of a single object from among the large numbers of false detections and detections of other objects. We also will explore the survey's basic performance in terms of fraction of NEOs discovered and cataloged, both for the planned baseline survey, but also for enhanced surveys that are more carefully tuned for NEO search, generally at the expense of other science drivers. Preliminary results indicate that with successful linkage under the current baseline survey LSST would discover approximately 65% of NEOs with absolute magnitude H is less than 22, which corresponds approximately to 140m diameter.
NEOs↗
The ISIS Mission Concept: An Impactor for Surface and Interior Science
The Impactor for Surface and Interior Science (ISIS) mission concept is a kinetic asteroid impactor mission to the target of NASA's OSIRIS-REx (Origins-Spectral Interpretation-Resource Identification-Security-Regolith Explorer) asteroid sample return mission. The ISIS mission concept calls for the ISIS spacecraft, an independent and autonomous smart impactor, to guide itself to a hyper-velocity impact with 1999 RQ36 while the OSIRIS-REx spacecraft observes the collision. Later the OSIRIS-REx spacecraft descends to reconnoiter the impact site and measure the momentum imparted to the asteroid through the impact before departing on its journey back to Earth. In this paper we discuss the planetary science, human exploration and impact mitigation drivers for mission, and we describe the current mission concept and flight system design.
cratering experiment↗
Target Search and Selection for the DI/EPOXI Spacecraft
Upon completion of the Hartley 2 flyby in November 2010, the Deep Impact (DI) spacecraft resided in a solar orbit without possibility for gravity assist with any large body. Conservative estimates of remaining fuel were enough to provide only an 18 m/s impulse on the spacecraft. We present our method and results of our systematic scan of potential small body encounters for DI, and our criteria to narrow the selection to the asteroid 2002 GT as the target flyby body. The mission profile has two deterministic maneuvers to achieve the encounter, the first of which executed on November 25, 2011.
Deep Impact (DI)↗
Target Search & Selection for the DI/EPOXI Spacecraft
Upon completion of the Hartley 2 flyby in November 2010, the Deep Impact (DI) spacecraft resided in a solar orbit without possibility for gravity assist with any large body. Conservative estimates of remaining fuel were enough to provide only an 18 m/s impulse on the spacecraft. We present our method and results of our systematic scan of potential small body encounters for DI, and our criteria to narrow the selection to the asteroid 2002 GT as the target flyby body. The mission profile has two deterministic maneuvers to achieve the encounter, the first of which executed on November 25, 2011.
Grebow, Daniel J.↗
Ground Optical Navigation for the Stardust-Next Mission to Comet 9P/TEMPEL1
Ground-based optical navigation (OpNav) using pictures taken by the Naviga-tion camera on the Stardust spacecraft provided the target-relative information needed to design maneuvers during its approach to comet Tempel 1. Hardware problems, limited downlink bandwidth, and changes in the flight profile affected the OpNav picture schedule, sometimes in near-real time. The Stardust naviga-tion camera and attitude control presented challenges. Picture-processing techniques were developed during approach that included background estimation, co-addition, and co-registration. These techniques, along with adaptive picture scheduling, successfully addressed the challenges.
9P/Temple 1↗
EPOXI Trajectory and Maneuver Analyses
The EPOXI mission is a NASA Discovery Mission of Opportunity combining two separate investigations: Extrasolar Planet Observation and Characterization (EPOCh) and Deep Impact eXtended Investigation (DIXI). Both investigations reused the DI instruments and spacecraft that successfully flew by the comet Tempel-1 (4 July 2005). For EPOCh, the goal was to find exoplanets with the high resolution imager, while for DIXI it was to fly by the comet Hartley 2 (4 Nov 2010). This paper documents the navigation experience of the earlier ma-neuver analyses critical for the EPOXI mission including statistical ?V analyses and other useful analyses in designing maneuvers. It also recounts the trajectory design leading up to the final reference trajectory to Hartley 2.
trajectory design↗