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Chodas, P. W.

Publications and source records attributed to Chodas, P. W..

At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2001

Quantifying the risk posed by potential Earth impacts

Predictions of future potential Earth impacts by near-Earth objects (NEOs) have become commonplace in recent years, and the rate of these detections is likely to accelerate as asteroid survey efforts continue to mature. In this paper we describe the metrics introduced, and we give numerous examples of their application. This enables us to establish in rough terms the levels at which events become interesting to various parties.

asteroid impact hazard↗
NASA NTRS1998

Asteroid 4179 Toutatis: 1996 Radar Observations

We report initial results of daily delay/Doppler observations of Toutatis with the Goldstone 8510-MHz (3.5-cm) radar during November 25 - December 3, 1996. Using the physical model of Toutatis derived form 1992 radar observations (Hudson and Ostro 1995, Science 270, 84-86) to analyze the new data, we obtain refined estimates of the asteroid's orbit, spin state, and surface properties.

Asteroid Toutatis Radar Observations↗
NASA NTRS1998

Secondary Fragmentation of Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 and the Ramifications for the Progenitor's Breakup in July 1992

Comprehensive analysis of discrete events of secondary fragmentation leads to a conceptually new understanding of the process of disintegration of comet Shoemaker-Levy 9. We submit that the jovian tidal forces inflicted extensive cracks throughout the interior of the original nucleus but did not split it apart. The initial disruption was apparently accomplished by stresses exerted on the cracked object by its fast rotation during the early post-perijove period of time. We argue that this disruption was in fact a rapid sequence of episodes during July 1992 that gave birth to the 12 on-train, or primary, fragments: A, C, D, E, G, H, K, L, Q (later Q(sub 1)), R, S, and W. The discrete events of secondary fragmentation, which gave birth to the off-train fragments, are understood in this scenario as stochastic manifestations of the continuing process of progressive disintegration. Of the 13 off-train fragments considered, nine were secondary--B, F, G(sub 2), M, N, P (later P(sub 2) or P(sub 2a)), Q(sub 2), U, and V--and four tertiary (J, P(sub 1), P(sub 2b), and T). The separation parameters of 11 off-train fragments were determined. The vectorial distribution of separation velocities of these fragments shows a strong concentration toward a great circle, unquestionably an effect of the approximately conserved angular momentum of the progenitor comet since the time of its initial disruption. Also apparent is their clumping (except for P(sub 1)) to a segment along the great circle, implying that the fragments were consistently released from one side of their parents, thus explaining for the first time why the off-train fragments preferentially appeared on one side of the nuclear train. In order to obtain a consistent solution, our model requires that the points of separation be on the antisolar side of the parent fragments, where thermal stresses are likely to enhance the effect of rotation. The episodes of secondary fragmentation are found to have nine months after the close encounter with Jupiter in early July 1992, and the separation velocities ranged between 0.36 and 1.7 m/s. The spin-axis position is determined to have been nearly in the jovicentric orbit plane, which rules out the Asphaug-Benz-Solem strengthless aggregate model as a plausible breakup hypothesis. Since the separation velocities are rotational in nature, they cannot substantially exceed the critical limit for centrifugal breakup and offer an estimate for the original nuclear dimensions. The comet's nucleus is found to have been approximately 10 km in diameter and spinning rapidly. With the exception of P(sub 1) and apparently also P(sub 2) and F, no nongravitational deceleration was detected in the motions of the off-train fragments. Serious doubts are cast on continuing appreciable activity of any of these fragments. Indeed, when it was necessary to introduce a deceleration into the equations of motion, the effect appears to have been due to the action of solar radiation pressure on the centroid of centimeter-sized particulates in the disintegrating condensations.

Sekanina, Z.↗
NASA NTRS1997

Impact Warning Times for Earth Crossing Asteriods

Of the ~100 numbered Earth crossing asteriods (ECAs), none is predicted to impact the Earth within the next 200 years. It is more difficult to make definitive predictions for unnumberted ECAs because their orbits are not accurately known.

Earth Crossing Asteriods Earth collision trajector↗
NASA NTRS1995

Orbital Analysis for Near-Earth Objects

For recently discovered Near-Earth Objects (NEO) two body computations can be used to determine the minimum distance between the object's orbit and that of the Earth. Determinations can then be made for potential near-term threats to the Earth. This preliminary orbit analysis must be followed with planetary perturbation computations of the object's future motion to predict actual close Earth approaches.

Near-Earth Objects Comets Meteors Astronomy↗
NASA NTRS1994

Tidal disruption and the appearance of periodic comet Shoemaker-Levy 9

A unified model is formulated to interpret quantitatively the observed characteristics of the nuclear train, the two dust trails, and the tail region of P/Shoemaker-Levy 9 in terms of a collisionally modified rotation velocity distribution of the comet's debris. Since there is no evidence for the comet's out-gassing, the model does not assume activity. The discruption of the parent comet was due primarily to tidal stesses during its extremely close approach to Juptier in July 1992. The original nucleus is found to have been most probably approximately 5 km in radius or, equivalently, approximately 10(exp 17) g in mass. The dynamical separation of the debris occurred apparently approximately 2.2 hr after the perijove passage, even though the actual fragmentation of the original mass is likely to have begun before closest approach. Physical breakp was accompanied by ubiquitous low-velocity collisions among the particulates, resulting in a rearrangement of the initial rotaional velocities into a rapidly 'thermalized' distribution, characterized by a long tail of relatively high velocities for the debris that populates the dust trails far from the nuclear train. Compelling evidence is presented for secondary fragmentation events, indicative of the comet's continuing disintegration. Secondary fragmentation may be caused by rotational bursting of the massive fragments that had been cracked but unbroken during the tidal disruption. Impact conditions and possible interactions of the comet's debris with the jovian system during the encounter in July 1994 are described.

Sekanina, Z.↗