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Christy, John R.

Publications and source records attributed to Christy, John R..

33 records · Page 2

Monitoring global monthly mean surface temperatures

The accuracy of the global surface air temperature (SST) estimates for a particular month over the past decade is assessed using all of the in situ observations available today. The sources of noise in the data, the numbers of observations, and the spatial coverage are appraised for the comparison with the climate signal, and different analyzed results are compared to determine their reproducibility. The data are further evaluated by comparing anomalies of near-global monthly mean surface temperatures with those of global satellite channel 2 microwave sounding unit temperatures for 144 months from 1979 to 1990. The results indicate that the inherent noise level in an SST observation is about 1.0 C, and this is compounded when the observation is made in regions of large temperature gradient.

Trenberth, Kevin E.↗

Precision and radiosonde validation of satellite gridpoint temperature anomalies. I - MSU channel 2. II - A tropospheric retrieval and trends during 1979-90

Monthly 2.5-deg gridpoint anomalies in the Tiros-N satellite series Microwave Sounding Unit channel 2 brightness temperatures during 1979-1988 are evaluated with multiple satellites and radiosonde data for their climate temperature monitoring capability. The MSU anomalies are computed about a 10-yr mean annual cycle at each gridpoint, with the MSUs intercalibrated to a common arbitrary level. The monthly gridpoint anomaly agreement between concurrently operating satellites reveals single-satellite precision generally better than 0.07 C in the tropics and better than 0.15 C at higher latitudes. The removal from channel 2 of the temperature influence above the 30-kPa level is addressed, providing a sharper and thus potentially more useful weighting function for monitoring lower tropospheric temperatures.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Monitoring Global Temperatures From Satellites

Report provides evidence that passive microwave radiometry from satellites provides more-precise information on atmospheric temperatures than sparse distribution of thermometers. Accurate temperatures needed for detection of "greenhouse" warming, evaluation of computer models of change in climate, and for understanding important factors in climate system.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Global water cycle

The primary objective is to determine the scope and interactions of the global water cycle with all components of the Earth system and to understand how it stimulates and regulates changes on both global and regional scales. The following subject areas are covered: (1) water vapor variability; (2) multi-phase water analysis; (3) diabatic heating; (4) MSU (Microwave Sounding Unit) temperature analysis; (5) Optimal precipitation and streamflow analysis; (6) CCM (Community Climate Model) hydrological cycle; (7) CCM1 climate sensitivity to lower boundary forcing; and (8) mesoscale modeling of atmosphere/surface interaction.

Robertson, Franklin R.↗

Climate dynamics experiments using a GCM simulations

The study of surface-atmosphere interactions has begun with studies of the effect of altering the ocean and land boundaries. A ten year simulation of global climate using observed sea surface temperature anomalies has begun using the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM1). The results for low resolution (R15) were computed for the first 8 years of the simulation and compared with the observed surface temperatures and the MSU (Microwave Sounding Unit) observations of tropospheric temperature. A simulation at higher resolution (T42) was done to ascertain the effect of interactive soil hydrology on the system response to an El Nino sea surface temperature perturbation. Initial analysis of this simulations was completed.

Fitzjarrald, Dan↗

Global temperature variations

Intercalibration statistics of all Microwave Sounding Units (MSUs) operating through 1990 were computed and brightness temperature anomalies on various space and time scales were compiled for MSU channels 2 (troposphere) and 4 (lower stratosphere). A tropospheric retrieval was developed through combination of channel 2 data from various view angles across the MSU scan swath to achieve cancellation of the influence of the lower stratosphere, and much of the upper troposphere, on that channel. Radiosonde validation of the MSU channel 2 and tropospheric retrieval anomalies was performed with 10 years of data at all U.S. controlled stations.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Monitoring, analyzing, and modeling global climate

Diabatic heating rate estimates as residuals of the dry thermodynamic equation were generated for May 1, 1985 to December 1989 in pentad resolution. Published results show moderate correlations (approx. .6) between heating rate and outgoing long wave radiation for periods under 90 days in the tropics and many extratropical locations. Nine years of simulation with the Community Climate Model 1 (CCM1) using R15 and observed sea surface temperatures shows that the model retains significantly more heat at the surface and in the free atmosphere than does the actual earth system. A post-processor for the CCM1, with capabilities to produce simulated microwave sounding unit (MSU) brightness temperatures was written. Techniques were refined considerably and validation studies were carried out to verify the globally distributed free atmosphere temperature anomalies derived from MSU data. The precision is such that detailed, long-term climate monitoring is well within the capability of these data.

Christy, John R.↗

Diabatic heating rate estimates from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts analyses

Vertically integrated diabatic heating rate estimates (H) calculated from 32 months of European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts daily analyses (May 1985-December 1987) are determined as residuals of the thermodynamic equation in pressure coordinates. Values for global, hemispheric, zonal, and grid point H are given as they vary over the time period examined. The distribution of H is compared with previous results and with outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) measurements. The most significant negative correlations between H and OLR occur for (1) tropical and Northern-Hemisphere mid-latitude oceanic areas and (2) zonal and hemispheric mean values for periods less than 90 days. Largest positive correlations are seen in periods greater than 90 days for the Northern Hemispheric mean and continental areas of North Africa, North America, northern Asia, and Antarctica. The physical basis for these relationships is discussed. An interyear comparison between 1986 and 1987 reveals the ENSO signal.

Christy, John R.↗

A physical interpretation of brightness temperatures observed by the microwave sounding units based upon raobs

Ten years (1979-1988) of Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) data from five satellites were calibrated and processed using procedures described by Spence and Christy (1990) and Spenser et al. (1990). The data are averaged at one month and 2.5-deg grid resolution, and the monthly anomalies in channel 2 are computed from annual cycles measured at each gridpoint. The anomalies at gridpoints are then compared with anomalies computed from radiosonde data.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Global-scale, intraseasonal fluctuations of diabatic forcing of the atmosphere

Fields of diabatic heating rate estimates (H) for 5-day periods were calculated from the European Center for Medium Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analyses since 1985 as the residual of the dry thermodynamic equation. Included in these fields are the horizontal and vertical divergences of heat for both mean and eddy statistics. Previous work dealt with 4-day periods, however, with the emphasis in the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) for 5-day period totals the change was made to accommodate the GPCP product. H has long been associated with cold tropical cloud-top temperatures as measured by polar orbiting outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) sensors. Correlations between H and OLR fields on three time scales indicate a moderate amount of agreement. For periods less than 90 days, significant negative correlations are found between H and OLR for (1) tropical and NH midlatitude oceanic areas, and (2) for zonal and hemispheric mean values. Positive correlations are seen in NH mean and continental areas of N. Africa, N. America, N. Asia and Antarctica. These latter results reflect seasonal heating and cooling. Comparisons have been made between H as H as calculated from the ECMWF analyses and output from the CCM1 T42 simulations. The CCM1 tends to have a more cellular structure with more heating (precipitation) over land versus that observed (ECMWF) over oceans.

Christy, John R.↗

A preliminary analysis of the covariation of surface and midtropospheric temperatures

Monthly, seasonal, and annual averages of surface temperatures and midtropospheric (850-300 hPa) layer-mean temperatures for a global network of 100 stations are analyzed for the periods 1950-87 and 1979-88. The periods were selected on the basis of available data products. A preliminary analysis of the covariation between surface temperatures and midtroposphere layer-mean temperatures indicates a strong correlation in the winter hemispheres over midlatitudes and a much weaker correlation in most of the tropics. Results are compared with other in-situ data sets and with satellite Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) data.

Elms, Joe D.↗

Global atmospheric temperature monitoring with satellite microwave measurements - Method and results 1979-84

This paper describes a method for determining global atmospheric-temperature anomalies by means of satellite microwave radiometry. It is shown that microwave measurements of molecular oxygen thermal emission by the Microwave Sounding Units (MSUs) flying aboard the NOAA-6 and NOAA-7 can be used to monitor tropospheric temperature anomalies on global basis to a high level of precision. Comparisons between monthly MSU-derived hemispheric temperature anomalies with those computed from surface thermometer data show a very good agreement over the United States, although not for the hemispheres, especially the Southern Hemisphere. In this latter case, the poor agreement is ascribed to weaker thermal coupling between the ocean and the deep troposphere than that over the U.S. Annual anomalies for the hemispheres exhibit better correlations than do monthly anomalies.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Precise monitoring of global temperature trends from satellites

Passive microwave radiometry from satellites provides more precise atmospheric temperature information than that obtained from the relatively sparse distribution of thermometers over the earth's surface. Accurate global atmospheric temperature estimates are needed for detection of possible greenhouse warming, evaluation of computer models of climate change, and for understanding important factors in the climate system. Analysis of the first 10 years (1979 to 1988) of satellite measurements of lower atmospheric temperature changes reveals a monthly precision of 0.01 C, large temperature variability on time scales from weeks to several years, but no obvious trend for the 10-year period. The warmest years, in descending order, were 1987, 1988, 1983, and 1980. The years 1984, 1985, and 1986 were the coolest.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Global atmospheric temperature anomaly monitoring with passive microwave radiometers

The potential of microwave sounding units (MSU) for augmenting the surface-based thermometer record by providing a measurement representing a significant depth of the troposphere is considered. These radiometers measure the thermal emission by molecular oxygen in the atmosphere at different spectral intervals in the oxygen absorption complex near 60 GHz. Brightness temperature variations measured by NOAA-6 and NOAA-7 MSUs during a near-two year period are analyzed and compared with monthly averaged surface air temperature data. It is demonstrated that MSUs, while of limited use for vertical profiling of the atmosphere, provide stable measurements of vertically average atmospheric temperatures, centered at a constant pressure level.

Spencer, Roy W.↗

Global distribution of moisture, evaporation-precipitation, and diabatic heating rates

Global archives were established for ECMWF 12-hour, multilevel analysis beginning 1 January 1985; day and night IR temperatures, and solar incoming and solar absorbed. Routines were written to access these data conveniently from NASA/MSFC MASSTOR facility for diagnostic analysis. Calculations of diabatic heating rates were performed from the ECMWF data using 4-day intervals. Calculations of precipitable water (W) from 1 May 1985 were carried out using the ECMWF data. Because a major operational change on 1 May 1985 had a significant impact on the moisture field, values prior to that date are incompatible with subsequent analyses.

Christy, John R.↗