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Craig H Williams

Publications and source records attributed to Craig H Williams.

3 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2019

Prognostic Launch Vehicle Probability of Failure Assessment Methodology for Conceptual Systems Predicated on Human Causal Factors

Lessons learned from past failures of launch vehicle developments and operations were used to create a new method to predict the probability of failure of conceptual systems. Existing methods such as Probabilistic Risk Assessments and Human Risk Assessments were considered but found to be too cumbersome for this type of system-wide application for yet-to-be-flown vehicles. The basis for this methodology were historic databases of past failures, where it was determined that various faulty human-interactions were the predominant root causes of failure rather than deficient component reliabilities evaluated through statistical analysis. This methodology contains an expert scoring part which can be used in either a qualitative or a quantitative mode. The method produces two products: a numerical score of the probability of failure or guidance to program management on critical areas in need of increased focus to improve the probability of success. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of this new method, data from a concluded vehicle program (USAF's Titan IV with the Centaur G-Prime upper stage) was used as a test case. Although the theoretical vs. actual probability of failure was found to be in reasonable agreement (4.46% vs. 6.67% respectively) the underlying sub-root cause scoring had significant disparities attributable to significant organizational changes and acquisitions. Recommendations are made for future applications of this method to ongoing launch vehicle development programs.

Craig H Williams↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Nuclear Fusion Space Propulsion Research, Experimentation, Theory Development, and Systems Analysis Efforts Led by the NASA Glenn Research Center (1994-2004)

This review paper summarizes work performed from 1994 to 2004 by a several interrelated government, academic, and industry teams led by the NASA Glenn Research Center. The nuclear fusion space propulsion system concept was predicated on a spherical torus reactor, which enabled manned missions to the outer planets in less than one year. Moderate thrust levels (1,000’s lbf)from direct nuclear fusion exhaust plasma via a magnetic nozzle enabled high thrust-to-weight. An entire vehicle conceptual design, including an artificial gravity crew habitat, was created by the NASA Glenn Research Center. The proof of concept experiment test article and facility upgrade was performed at the Ohio State University which also included staff from the Ohio Aerospace Institute and Science Applications International Corporation.The governing equations for the plasma physics theory of magnetic nozzle operation were derived by the Los Alamos National Laboratory. A preliminary investigation of a proof of concept test utilizing Coaxial Helicity Ejection as a means to supply plasma for propulsion at the National Spherical Torus Experiment reactor was outlined by the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory. An industry standard on nuclear fusion propulsion conceptual design was created by two AIAA teams. Despite extremely modest funding levels, significant progress was made advancing the state of the art.The result was a coordinated conceptual, theoretical, and experimental design effort to guide fusion space propulsion development.

Nuclear fusion↗