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Del Genio, A. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Del Genio, A. D..

Possible Climate Histories of Venus Type Worlds

There are two well-known scenarios for Venus’ climate evolution. In one Venus had a long-lived magma ocean phase in its first 100Myr with a steam and CO2 dominated atmosphere. The faint young sun with its high XUV flux would cause photodissociation of the steam atmosphere and hydrodynamic escape would cause most of the hydrogen to escape & left-over oxygen would be absorbed by the magma ocean. Hence Venus would have started out hot and dry and the high D/H ratio measured by Pioneer Venus would be from this period of water loss. The other scenario is that Venus’ magma ocean lifetime would have been roughly the same length of time as Earth’s (~1Myr) and water would have condensed on its surface in its early history and had a short period of habitability before increasing solar insolation through time drove it into a runaway greenhouse. However, results from 2016 showed that if Venus remains in the slowly rotating climate dynamics regime (as seen in exoplanet related climate studies) its cloud albedo feedback would have kept it temperate for possibly billions of years. The only way to confirm which one of these scenarios occurred for Venus is to visit it and make the necessary measurements of noble and volatile gases. But exoplanet observations of young exo-Venus type worlds around young F,G,K dwarf stars may constrain which scenario is more probable for a population of such planets. We present a vision of Venus’ climate history that places it and its exoVenus cousins in an ‘Optimistic Venus Zone’ for ~3 billion years within the conventionally named ‘Venus Zone’ and hence encourage the exoplanet communit as possible habitable environments.

Way, M. J.↗

The Future of Planetary Climate Modeling and Weather Prediction

Modeling of planetary climate and weather has followed the development of tools for studying Earth, with lags of a few years. Early Earth climate studies were performed with 1-dimensionalradiative-convective models, which were soon fol-lowed by similar models for the climates of Mars and Venus and eventually by similar models for exoplan-ets. 3-dimensional general circulation models (GCMs) became common in Earth science soon after and within several years were applied to the meteorology of Mars, but it was several decades before a GCM was used to simulate extrasolar planets. Recent trends in Earth weather and and climate modeling serve as a useful guide to how modeling of Solar System and exoplanet weather and climate will evolve in the coming decade.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Analysis of snow feedbacks in 14 general circulation models

Snow feedbacks produced by 14 atmospheric general circulation models have been analyzed through idealized numerical experiments. Included in the analysis is an investigation of the surface energy budgets of the models. Negative or weak positive snow feedbacks occurred in some of the models, while others produced strong positive snow feedbacks. These feedbacks are due not only to melting snow, but also to increases in boundary temperature, changes in air temperature, changes in water vapor, and changes in cloudiness. As a result, the net response of each model is quite complex. We analyze in detail the responses of one model with a strong positive snow feedback and another with a weak negative snow feedback. Some of the models include a temperature dependence of the snow albedo, and this has significantly affected the results.

Randall, D. A.↗

Tropical cloud feedbacks and natural variability of climate

Simulations of natural variability by two general circulation models (GCMs) are examined. One GCM is a sector model, allowing relatively rapid integration without simplification of the model physics, which would potentially exclude mechanisms of variability. Two mechanisms are found in which tropical surface temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) vary on interannual and longer timescales. Both are related to changes in cloud cover that modulate SST through the surface radiative flux. Over the equatorial ocean, SST and surface temperature vary on an interannual timescale, which is determined by the magnitude of the associated cloud cover anomalies. Over the subtropical ocean, variations in low cloud cover drive SST variations. In the sector model, the variability has no preferred timescale, but instead is characterized by a 'red' spectrum with increasing power at longer periods. In the terrestrial GCM, SST variability associated with low cloud anomalies has a decadal timescale and is the dominant form of global temperature variability. Both GCMs are coupled to a mixed layer ocean model, where dynamical heat transports are prescribed, thus filtering out El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and thermohaline circulation variability. The occurrence of variability in the absence of dynamical ocean feedbacks suggests that climatic variability on long timescales can arise from atmospheric processes alone.

Miller, R. L.↗

Unforced decadal fluctuations in a coupled model of the atmosphere and ocean mixed layer

Global average temperature in a 100-year control run of a model used for greenhouse gas response simulations showed low-frequency natural variability comparable in magnitude to that observed over the last 100 years. The model variability was found to be barotropic in the atmosphere, and located in the tropical strip with largest values near the equator in the Pacific. The model variations were traced to complex, low-frequency interactions between the meridional sea surface temperature gradients in the eastern equatorial Pacific, clouds at both high and low levels, and features of the tropical atmospheric circulation. The variations in these and other model parameters appear to oscillate between two limiting climate states. The physical scenario accounting for the oscillations on decadal time scales is almost certainly not found in the real world on shorter time scales due to limited resolution and the omission of key physics (e.g., equatorial ocean dynamics) in the model. The real message is that models with dynamical limitations can still produce significant long-term variability. Only a thorough physical diagnosis of such simulations and comparisons with decadal-length data sets will allow one to decide if faith in the model results is, or is not, warranted.

Barnett, T. P.↗

Intercomparison and interpretation of surface energy fluxes in atmospheric general circulation models

Responses of the surface energy budgets and hydrologic cycles of 19 atmospheric general circulation models to an imposed, globally uniform sea surface temperature perturbation of 4 K were analyzed. The responses of the simulated surface energy budgets are extremely diverse and are closely linked to the responses of the simulated hydrologic cycles. The response of the net surface energy flux is not controlled by cloud effects; instead, it is determined primarily by the response of the latent heat flux. The prescribed warming of the oceans leads to major increases in the atmospheric water vapor content and the rates of evaporation and precipitation. The increased water vapor amount drastically increases the downwelling IR radiation at the earth's surface, but the amount of the change varies dramatically from one model to another.

Randall, D. A.↗

Interpretation of snow-climate feedback as produced by 17 general circulation models

Snow feedback is expected to amplify global warming caused by increasing concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases. The conventional explanation is that a warmer earth will have less snow cover, resulting in a darker planet that absorbs more solar radiation. An intercomparison of 17 general circulation models, for which perturbations of sea surface temperature were used as a surrogate climate change, suggests that this explanation is overly simplistic. The results instead indicate that additional amplification or moderation may be caused both by cloud interactions and longwave radiation. One measure of this net effect of snow feedback was found to differ markedly among the 17 climate models, ranging from weak negative feedback in some models to strong positive feedback in others.

Cess, R. D.↗

Intercomparison and interpretation of climate feedback processes in 19 atmospheric general circulation models

The present study provides an intercomparison and interpretation of climate feedback processes in 19 atmospheric general circulation models. This intercomparison uses sea surface temperature change as a surrogate for climate change. The interpretation of cloud-climate interactions is given special attention. A roughly threefold variation in one measure of global climate sensitivity is found among the 19 models. The important conclusion is that most of this variation is attributable to differences in the models' depiction of cloud feedback, a result that emphasizes the need for improvements in the treatment of clouds in these models if they are ultimately to be used as reliable climate predictors. It is further emphazied that cloud feedback is the consequence of all interacting physical and dynamical processes in a general circulation model. The result of these processes is to produce changes in temperature, moisture distribution, and clouds which are integrated into the radiative response termed cloud feedback.

Cess, R. D.↗

Temporal variability of ultraviolet cloud features in the Venus stratosphere

The observed temporal variability of ultraviolet cloud brightness in over two months of Pioneer Venus Orbiter Cloud Photopolarimeter imaging is considered. It is found that the longitudinal mean brightness record shows evidence of two planetary-scale waves. One appears to be centered on the equator but has significant amplitude at all latitudes. The other is centered at midlatitudes and is more confined latitudinally. Visually, the two waves correspond to the longitudinal motion of the dark equatorial band and the oscillation in latitude of the bright polar bands, respectively. The slope of the longitudinal cloud brightness power spectrum at intermediate wavenumbers fluctuates with a periodicity of approximately 2-3 weeks in southern midlatitudes. The polar regions in both hemispheres vary in brightness on a time scale of approximately two months. The disk-integrated brightness increased with time throughout the nominal mission.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Cloud morphology and motions from Pioneer Venus images

The horizontal and vertical cloud structures, atmospheric waves, and wind velocities at the cloud top level were determined by the Pioneer Venus photopolarimeter images in the UV from January through March 1979. The images indicate long-term evolution of cloud characteristics, the atmospheric dynamics, and rapid small changes in cloud morphology. The clouds show a globally coordinated oscillation relative to latitude circles; retrograde zonal winds of 100 m/s near the equator are determined from the tracking of small-scale cloud properties, but two hemispheres show important variations. The zonal wind velocity in the southern hemisphere is reduced toward the poles at a rate similar to solid body rotation; the midlatitude jet stream noted by Mariner 10 is not observed.

Rossow, W. B.↗

Acoustic-gravity waves in the thermosphere of Venus

The paper studies the properties of acoustic-gravity waves in the upper atmosphere of Venus by means of a two fluid model which includes the effects of wave-induced diffusion in a diffusively separated atmosphere. It is maintained that in conjunction with neutral mass spectrometer data from the Pioneer Venus orbiter, the theory should provide information on the distribution of wave sources in the Venus upper atmosphere. In addition observed wave structure in species density measurements should generally have periods less than or equal to 30-35 min, small N2, CO, and O amplitudes, and highly variable phase shifts relative to CO2. Finally, it is noted that large-density oscillations in stratospheric cloud layer constituents are also possible and may be detectable by the Pioneer Venus large probe neutral mass spectrometer.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Gravity wave propagation in a diffusively separated atmosphere with height-dependent collision frequencies

Numerical calculations of gravity wave propagation through a two-component thermosphere with vertically-varying inter-species collision frequencies are performed using a direct integration method. Reflection of upgoing gravity wave energy into downgoing gravity waves appears to be small though nonnegligible at typical thermospheric periods and wavelengths. Coupling into diffusion waves is completely insignificant in most cases and may be determined in part by the relative abundance of the minor species. Temperature perturbation differences between species can be greater than 10% above 300 km altitude even though coupling into diffusion waves is small. Diffusive dissipation of gravity wave energy can be significant in the lower thermosphere and may be comparable to dissipation by viscosity and heat conduction below about 225 km altitude. Heating by diffusive dissipation may also be comparable to direct heating by solar radiation in the lower thermosphere. As a result of dissipative filtering of long-period and short-wavelength waves and the sensitivity of He-N2 density perturbation phase differences to diffusion, the AE-C satellite wave observations can only be fit by internal gravity waves with periods no greater than about 25 min and horizontal wavelengths no less than about 200 km.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Cloud images from the Pioneer Venus Orbiter

Ultraviolet images of Venus obtained over a 3-month period show marked evolution of the planetary-scale features in the cloud patterns. The dark horizontal 'Y' feature recurs quasi-periodically at intervals of about 4 days, but has also been absent for periods of several weeks. Bow-shaped features observed in Pioneer Venus images are farther upstream from the subsolar point than those in Mariner 10 images

Travis, L. D.↗

Characteristics of acoustic-gravity waves in a diffusively separated atmosphere

The effects of wave-induced diffusion on the characteristics of plane acoustic gravity waves in the earth's thermosphere are investigated by means of a two fluid model atmosphere in diffusive equilibrium. At wave periods greater than the shortest characteristic diffusion time for the minor gas, diffusion induced by the wave is considered to act to eliminate amplitude and phase differences between the wave-induced density fluctuations of individual gases and restore the perturbed fluid to diffusive equilibrium. Vertical diffusion is most important at large scale sizes, but horizontal diffusion dominates for horizontal wavelengths of less than several hundred kilometers. As a result of wave-induced diffusion, AE-C satellite measurements of neutral density fluctuations of thermospheric constituents are only compatible with relatively small scale internal gravity waves. Velocity and temperature differences for acoustic-gravity waves are greatest at periods near the mean collision time and diffusion time and lead to the dissipation of wave energy. The predictions of the theory are consistent with a high latitude, low altitude source for the medium scale waves and a more localized random source for the waves observed by AE-C.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Effects of wave-induced diffusion on thermospheric acoustic-gravity waves

When wave-induced diffusion is included in the equations governing acoustic-gravity wave propagation in an atmosphere in diffusive equilibrium, it is found that phase and amplitude relationships between the density fluctuations of individual atmospheric constituents agree with AE-C satellite observations of wavelike structure only over a narrow range of wave periods. For a 400-km horizotal wavelength, the observations are consistent with internal gravity waves of periods 11.5-22 minutes propagating at phase speeds 300-600 m/sec.

Del Genio, A. D.↗

Cloud patterns, waves and convection in the Venus atmosphere

Detailed descriptions and interpretations are provided for phenomena seen in the UV markings on Venus during the Mariner 10 encounter with that planet. The phenomena include the dark horizontal Y, circumequatorial belts, bowlike waves, the subsolar disturbance, midlatitude spiral streaks, the polar ring, and the polar region. Interpreting some of these phenomena in terms of physical processes that are familiar in earth's atmosphere, it is proposed that the large-scale brightness distribution can be most simply described in terms of a pattern with zonal wavenumber of unity which extends between about + and - 50 deg latitude and which progresses around the planet in about 4.2 days. The large-scale UV markings are interpreted as a wave phenomenon, and it is shown how the observed Y pattern could be produced by the superposition of a Rossby-Haurwitz wave dominant at middle latitudes and a Kelvin wave dominant near the equator. It is suggested that the bowlike waves may be true bow waves formed by the interaction of the rapid supercritical zonal flow with internal gravity waves of lower horizontal phase speeds generated by the subsolar disturbance.

Belton, M. J. S.↗