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Probabilistic Approach to Assessing CCRS Capture System Performance Margin

In the aerospace industry, there are standard design principles and/or rule-of-thumb targets that define healthy levels of margins required at each developmental milestone for traditional metrics, such as mass, thermal, and power margins. When the technical resource is “non-traditional” in the sense that guiding margin principles are non-existent, systems engineering judgment is required to internally generate performance targets and methodologies to assess the system against the derived targets. This paper presents a probabilistic approach for assessing complex time-critical operations in order to apply global sensitivity analyses to identify input parameters that should (or should not) serve as design drivers.

Performance Margins↗

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Probabilistic Approach to Assessing Capture System Performance Margin in Mars Sample Return's Capture, Containment, and Return System

In the aerospace industry, there are standard design principles and/or rule-of-thumb targets that define healthy levels of margins required at each developmental milestone for traditional metrics, such as mass, thermal, and power margins. When the technical resource is “non-traditional,” in the sense that guiding margin principles are non-existent, systems engineering processes are required to internally generate performance targets and methodologies to assess the system against the derived targets. This paper presents a probabilistic approach for assessing complex time-critical operations which applies global sensitivity analyses to identify input parameters that should drive the design. This approach is used to design a critical payload required for the Mars Sample Return campaign aiming at bringing back rock and atmospheric samples from Mars.

Performance Margins↗