Engineering topics

Elsberry, Russell L.

Publications and source records attributed to Elsberry, Russell L..

4 records

NASA NTRS2016

A New Tropical Cyclone Dynamic Initialization Technique Using High Temporal and Spatial Density Atmospheric Motion Vectors and Airborne Field Campaign Data

Background: Initialization of tropical cyclones in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems is a great challenge: Mass-wind ﬁeld balance; Secondary circulation and heating; Asymmetries. There can be large adjustments in structure and intensity in the ﬁrst 24 hours if the initial vortex is not in balance: Spurious gravity waves; Spin-up (model and physics). Existing mesoscale NWP model TC (Tropical Cyclone) initialization strategies: Bogus vortex, cold start from global analyses; 3DVAR or 4DVAR, possibly with synthetic observations; EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter); Dynamic initialization. Dynamic initialization allows vortex to have improved balance and physics spin-up at the initial time (e.g., Hendricks et al. 2013, 2011; Nguyen and Chen 2011; Fiorino and Warner 1981; Hoke and Anthes 1976). Himawari-8 geostationary satellite has capability of continuous imagery (10-minutes) over the full disk: New GOES-R satellites will have same capability. This will allow for unprecedented observations of tropical cyclones. However, current data assimila1on systems are not capable of ingesting such high temporal observations (Atmospheric Mo1on Vectors - AMVs). Hourly AMVs are produced, and thinned to 100-kilometer spacing in the horizontal. An entirely new data assimilation concept is required to utilize these observations.

remote sensing↗

NASA NTRS2016

Analysis of High Temporal and Spatial Observations of Hurricane Joaquin During TCI-15

Objectives: Provide an example of why analysis of high density soundings across Hurricane Joaquin also require highly accurate center positions; Describe technique for calculating 3-D zero-wind center positions from the highly accurate GPS positions of sequences of High-Density Sounding System (HDSS) soundings as they fall from 10 km to the ocean surface; Illustrate the vertical tilt of the vortex above 4-5 km during two center passes through Hurricane Joaquin on 4 October 2015.

wind↗

NASA NTRS1987

Heat budgets of analyses and forecasts of an explosively deepening maritime cyclone

The contribution of different physical processes to the explosive maritime cyclogenesis event in western North Pacific during January 12-15, 1979 was estimated by calculating quasi-Lagrangian heat budgets based on the ECMWF analyses and the numerical predictions by the UCLA general circulation model. The heat budgets suggest that the explosive cyclogenesis event was associated with very strong latent heat release in the lower troposphere, with the heating rate about twice as large as was found in studies of nonexplosively deepening extratropical cyclones. An experimental integration of the UCLA model without latent heat release indicates that 75 percent of the deepening in this cyclogenesis event can be explained by dry dynamics alone. The latent heat release serves to enhance and modulate the rapid cyclogenesis.

Liou, Chi-Sann↗

NASA NTRS1986

A diagnostic study of baroclinic disturbances in polar air streams

Quasi-Lagrangian budgets of mass, vorticity and heat are calculated following disturbances that form within polar air streams. Observed cases are extracted from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts analyses during the First GARP Global Experiment. Model-generated cases are extracted from the simulations of extratropical cyclogenesis by Sandgathe. These polar lows grow primarily through basic baroclinic instability processes and exhibit many features of larger maritime extratropical cyclones. Polar lows that originate on the poleward (or Cyclonic - Type C) side of the jet and have considerable midtropospheric positive vorticity advection at formation time are contrasted with lows that form on the equatorward (or Anticyclonic - Type A) side of a nearly straight upper-level jet. The midtropospheric positive vorticity advection must be present to enhance the vertical circulation when the large surface fluxes that are associated with strong outbreaks act to damp the thermal wave amplification. Although latent heat release is an important factor in both types, it is an essential energy source for the Type A low developments on the equatorward side. Although the vorticity balance is initially different for the two types of polar lows, the vorticity budgets during later stages are similar. The heat budget and the thickness tendency equation demonstrated that the self-development process that is present in larger maritime cyclones is also important for polar low intensification. The absence of favorable coupling to a jet stream is the missing factor in a model-generated Type A polar low that failed to develop. Consequently, the mid- and upper-tropospheric wind fields determine which polar lows will intensify to significant amplitudes.

Sinclair, Mark R.↗