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Emily Monroe

Publications and source records attributed to Emily Monroe.

The Influence of Sea ice on Arctic Cloud Properties: What Can We Learn by Applying a In Situ Observational Strategy to Satellite Data?

Sea ice is declining because of anthropogenic climate change. This change alters many aspects of the Arctic climate system, including the way that the surface and atmosphere interact. Atmosphere-surface coupling processes represent an important cloud feedback mechanism that can alter the Arctic surface energy budget. For the Arctic, it has been hypothesized that a reduction in sea ice cover could lead to an increase in clouds. If this process were to occur as originally hypothesized, sea ice loss in all seasons would lead to an increase in clouds. Recent observational studies find a cloud response to sea ice loss in non-summer months and no cloud response in summer months. However, previous studies rely on inter-annual variability and reanalysis to control for the influence of meteorology, reducing the confidence in the resulting conclusions. We adopt a phenomenological, event-based approach that does not need to use meteorological reanalysis. The approach analyzes cloud properties derived from CALIPSO-CloudSat over sea ice and adjacent ice-free footprints by compositing individual satellite ground tracks that cross the Arctic sea ice edge. The underlying assumption, which we verify, is that footprints that are close to each other in space and time experience similar large-scale meteorological conditions. Our results show larger cloud fraction and more cloud liquid water over ice-free than over sea ice footprints and provide additional evidence for a seasonal dependence of cloud-sea ice coupling that is in line with previous work. We find a different result where the maximum cloud property differences between sea ice and ice-free ocean occurs in spring, not fall as earlier studies suggest. We argue that these cloud differences between sea ice and ice-free ocean are primarily caused by the influence of the surface type on the thermodynamic stability of the lower troposphere and not principally from an increase in surface evaporation. In addition, we explore the sensitivity of these results to marginal ice zone width, season, Atlantic vs. Pacific sector, and the cloud property dependence on the distance from the sea ice edge. Overall, our results provide further evidence that cloud-sea ice coupling processes are not offsetting the observed surface energy budget perturbation due to sea ice loss in summer; thus, the cloud response to declining sea ice appears to contribute to amplified Arctic warming.

Patrick C Taylor↗

Isolating the Surface Type Influence on Arctic Cloud Properties

In response to anthropogenic climate change, substantial declines in sea ice have been observed. An urgent question is whether and how clouds respond to the changing Arctic surface. Due to the important radiative influence of clouds, the response of clouds to sea ice cover change constitutes a potentially important climate feedback within the Arctic. The sign of this feedback is strongly influenced by the seasonality of the cloud response to sea ice loss. Given the importance of this phenomenon, previous research focused on using observations of inter-annual variability to quantify the cloud-sea ice relationship. However, the reliance on inter-annual variability to assess the covariance between clouds and sea ice make it challenging to control for the influence of large-scale meteorology on the clouds. We have devised an approach that applies an in situ, airborne observational strategy to quantify the influence of surface type on Arctic clouds to satellite data. Our event-based method composites cloud property differences for ocean, marginal ice zone, and sea ice surface types for >5000 MIZ crossing events. We find that cloud properties in non-summer months below ~1.5 km are influenced by surface type such that greater cloud fraction and water content are found over ocean relative to sea ice regions. Results are statistically significantly at the 95% confidence level. During summer, the surface type does not influence the cloud properties. The primary cause of the surface type dependent cloud property differences is the thermodynamic profiles differences that occur between the two surface types: namely, ocean footprints are warmer, moister, have more positive surface turbulent fluxes and are less stable than their sea ice counterparts. We find that the differences in thermodynamic profiles by surface type that correspond to the cloud property differences also explains a significant portion of the variability across events. Our analysis provides evidence that the influence of surface type on cloud properties fundamentally occurs due to the inherent surface temperature differences between the surface types. Significant surface type influences on cloud properties are only found in the presence of surface temperature differences between the surface types and only non-summer months meet this criterion. A conceptual model of this process is as follows, fundamental properties of the ocean and sea ice surface types (e.g., surface albedo, heat capacity/thermal inertia, surface roughness, and thermal conductance) lead to systematic differences in the surface temperature by surface type. In response to this surface temperature difference, atmosphere boundary layer processes (including turbulent mixing and radiation) communicate the surface temperature differences to the lower atmosphere driving the greater stability over sea ice than ocean. These differences in the background thermodynamic state profiles between the surface types yield atmospheric conditions that are more conducive to cloud development over ocean than sea ice. The details of these boundary layer processes are sensitive to the surface type but may not be fundamental to the resulting thermodynamic structure and cloud differences. Thus, our results indicate that to accurately model that cloud response to sea ice loss in climate models the surface type properties that yield the systematic differences in ocean and sea ice temperature (e.g., surface albedo, surface turbulent fluxes parameters, and thermal conductance) must be accurately represented.

Arctic radiation budget↗

Comparison of Observed Longwave, Shortwave Irradiance and Surface Temperature from “MOSAiC” to CERES Radiative Transfer Calculations and Inputs

As atmospheric temperatures rise due to increased anthropogenic forcing, the effect is expected to be larger over the arctic than midlatitude and tropics, known as polar amplification. A multi-national program, the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) was ran between Sept 2019 and Oct 2020. The project deployed scientific instruments on board the German research vessel Polarstern with the ship remaining across a year to observe all aspects of polar climate. The US DOE deployed the ARM AMF2 aboard the ship along with several off-ship sites for extended spatial observations. Of particular importance was the measurement of the energetics of the ice/ocean/atmosphere interactions through observations of surface irradiance and surface temperatures. NASA’s Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project produces the SYN1deg Edition 4 data product. This product provides high quality, hourly, globally gridded and temporally complete maps of top of atmosphere (TOA), in atmosphere, and surface irradiances. TOA fluxes are derived from CERES instruments and geostationary satellites. In addition, TOA, in atmosphere, and surface irradiances are computed using the Langley Fu and Liou radiative transfer model. The radiative transfer model is run hourly at 1 degree ~equal area spatial resolution. Meteorological profiles are provided by Global Modeling and Assimilation Office’s GEOS-541 reanalysis product. Cloud properties are derived solely from Terra and Aqua MODIS imagers northward of 60°. Here we compare SYN1deg hourly calculations of surface irradiance to observations from the AMF2 to validate the products estimates of surface irradiance in this challenging area. Along with the irradiance comparisons we take a close look at the surface temperature record in the GEOS-541 product and compare it over both time and space to several surface observations provided by MOSAiC. Along with the comparison to the re-analysis record we will compare these observed surface temperatures to those derived from the AIRS product, which is known to have some difficulty in extreme high latitude areas. The goals of this study are 1) understand computed surface downward irradiance and temperature error separated by surface type (e.g. sea ice or open water) and by season, and 2) error covariance in spatial and temporal space. We seek to use this information to extrapolate the error from the MOSAiC domain to a larger arctic region.

David A Rutan↗

An Observationally-Based Determination of the Arctic Sea Ice-Cloud Feedback Since 2000: Isolating the Arctic Cloud Response to Sea Ice Loss

Arctic sea ice responds to and drives Arctic climate change. The interactions between Arctic sea ice and clouds represent a mechanism through which sea ice can drive climate change. We composite active remote sensing satellite cloud properties for ice-free, marginal ice zone (MIZ), and ice-covered surfaces during MIZ crossing events to investigate the influence of the transition from an ice-covered to an ice-free surface on low-level clouds. We demonstrate that the event-based methodology controls for large-scale meteorological factors and isolates the sea ice effect on clouds. We find larger cloud fraction and total water content below ~1.5 km over ice-free relative to ice-covered surfaces during non-summer months, indicating a low-level cloud sensitivity to Arctic sea ice decline. During summer, results show larger cloud fraction and water content over ice-free surfaces, however the differences are statistically indistinguishable. Evidence is provided that atmospheric thermodynamic profile differences cause the cloud property differences, namely that ice-free footprints are warmer, moister, have more positive surface turbulent fluxes and are less stable than their ice-covered counterparts. Ice-free and ice-covered surface cloud property differences scale with surface temperature differences such that cloud property differences are only found in the presence of a surface temperature difference. We conclude that surface temperature differences modulate the cloud response to sea ice loss through influences on surface turbulent fluxes and lower tropospheric stability. The results imply a positive non-summer sea ice-cloud feedback and that up to a 0.02 cloud fraction and 0.05 g m 3 total water content increase in fall are due to the observed sea ice decline.

Patrick C Taylor↗

Estimating the Arctic Cloud-Sea Ice Feedback With Observations during the EOS Period

Arctic sea ice responds to and drives Arctic climate change. The interactions between Arctic sea ice and clouds represent a mechanism through which sea ice can drive climate change. We composite active remote sensing satellite cloud properties for ice-free, marginal ice zone (MIZ), and ice-covered surfaces during MIZ crossing events to investigate the influence of the transition from an ice-covered to an ice-free surface on low-level clouds. We demonstrate that the event-based methodology controls for large-scale meteorological factors and isolates the sea ice effect on clouds. We find larger cloud fraction and total water content below ~1.5 km over ice-free relative to ice-covered surfaces during non-summer months, indicating a low-level cloud sensitivity to Arctic sea ice decline. During summer, results show larger cloud fraction and water content over ice-free surfaces, however the differences are statistically indistinguishable. Evidence is provided that atmospheric thermodynamic profile differences cause the cloud property differences, namely that ice-free footprints are warmer, moister, have more positive surface turbulent fluxes and are less stable than their ice-covered counterparts. Ice-free and ice-covered surface cloud property differences scale with surface temperature differences such that cloud property differences are only found in the presence of a surface temperature difference. We conclude that surface temperature differences modulate the cloud response to sea ice loss through influences on surface turbulent fluxes and lower tropospheric stability. The results imply a positive non-summer sea ice-cloud feedback and that up to a 0.02 cloud fraction and 0.05 g m 3 total water content increase in fall are due to the observed sea ice decline.

Patrick C. Taylor↗

Illuminating Albedo: Using MOSAiC Data to Assess the CERES Cloud Radiative Swath (CRS) Albedo Quantification Process

Increasing surface and lower tropospheric air temperatures as a result of rising greenhouse gases are expected to be most pronounced over the Arctic. Such rapid changes alter the surface climate of the region, and impacts can be observed atmospherically, oceanographically, and biogeophysically. Accurately quantifying the impact of decreasing surface albedo on the surface energy budget with satellite observations alone is complicated by a lack of shortwave radiation during winter and seasonal/spatial heterogeneity of surface type and associated spectral albedo. NASA’s Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) project features the Cloud Radiative Swath (CRS) product, which builds upon the Single Scanner Footprint (SSF) product by using the NASA Langley Fu-Liou radiative transfer model to calculate a robust and high-quality array of surface and atmospheric radiative fluxes on an instantaneous, footprint-level scale. This study aims to use MOSAiC and CRS data to illuminate potential uncertainties in the CERES albedo production process, with goals of determining 1) spectral albedo under clear sky conditions when stratified by ice concentration, 2) the uncertainty associated with CERES surface albedo “history maps” when compared against observations captured during MOSAiC, and 3) the magnitude of variation between meteorological inputs compared to those from MOSAiC.

Emily Monroe↗

Role of Arctic Low Clouds in the Arctic Climate System: Isolating the Surface Type Influence on Arctic Low-Clouds

Interactions between sea ice and clouds represent a mechanism through which sea ice influences climate. Understanding the cloud response to the rapidly changing Arctic surface properties is necessary for improving climate simulations and projection of future change inside and outside the Arctic. Towards the goal of understanding the cloud response to sea ice, we composite cloud properties for ice-free, marginal ice zone (MIZ), and ice-covered surfaces during MIZ crossing events to analyze the cloud property differences between surface types. Restricting the analysis to MIZ crossing events enables the isolation of the sea ice effect on clouds from meteorological factors. We find larger cloud fraction and total water concentration below ~1.5 km over ice-free relative to ice-covered surfaces during non-summer months. During summer, the results suggest larger cloud fraction and total water concentration over ice-free surfaces, however differences do not exceed observational uncertainty. Cloud property differences are linked to atmospheric thermodynamic profile differences, namely ice-free surfaces are warmer, moister, less stable, and have more positive surface turbulent fluxes than ice-covered surfaces. Ice-free minus ice-covered cloud property differences scale with surface temperature differences and are only found in the presence of a surface temperature difference. Our results suggest a 0.02 cloud fraction and 0.005 g m 3 total water concentration increase (~5%) at the level of maximum cloud fraction between 2000-2021 due to the observed Arctic sea ice decline in fall, corresponding to ~2 Wm 2 increase in the net surface radiative flux supporting a positive sea ice-cloud radiative feedback in fall and winter and a negative sea ice-cloud radiative feedback in spring. We propose an updated conceptual model where the average surface type influence on cloud properties is mediated by surface temperature differences between ice-free and ice-covered surfaces.

Arctic climate↗