Engineering topics

Epting, Justin [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000493054813)

Publications and source records attributed to Epting, Justin [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000493054813).

3 records

DOE OSTI2025

Leveraging Open-Source Satellite-Derived Building Footprints for Height Inference

At a global scale, cities are growing and characterizing the built environment is essential for deeper understanding of human population patterns, urban development, energy usage, climate change impacts, among others. Buildings are a key component of the built environment and significant progress has been made in recent years to scale building footprint extractions from satellite datum and other remotely sensed products. Billions of building footprints have recently been released by companies such as Microsoft and Google at a global scale. However, research has shown that depending on the methods leveraged to produce a footprint dataset, discrepancies can arise in both the number and shape of footprints produced. Therefore, each footprint dataset should be examined and used on a case-by-case study. In this work, we find through two experiments on Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Microsoft footprints within the same geographic extent that our approach of inferring height from footprint morphology features is source agnostic. Regardless of the differences associated with the methods used to produce a building footprint dataset, our approach of inferring height was able to overcome these discrepancies between the products and generalize, as evidenced by 98% of our results being within 3m of the ground-truthed height. This signifies that our approach can be applied to the billions of open-source footprints which are freely available to infer height, a key building metric. This work impacts the broader domain of urban science in which building height is a key, and limiting factor.

Stipek, Clinton [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000280501096)↗

DOE OSTI2024

At Risk Population Estimates for Belarus, Poland and Slovakia with Machine Learning

High-resolution gridded population modeling is crucial for various applications, including disaster response planning, infectious disease spread modeling, climate change impact estimation, policy development, and more. Multiple gridded population datasets have been developed, each tailored to meet specific objectives. Among them, LandScan Global dataset is designed to represent ambient and unwarned population distributions. However, this dataset relies on a statistical approach that requires manual adjustments, making it time consuming and labour intensive. Existing machine learning (ML) methods often train and test at different spatial resolutions, potentially leading to inflated results, and they rely on Census population totals for disaggregation. To address these limitations, in this study we developed population estimates using ML models trained and tested at a consistent 30 arc-second resolution (≈1 square kilometer), specifically using Random Forest (RF) and XGBoost. These models were trained on 2020 datum to predict for 2021 for three countries: Belarus, Poland, and Slovakia. Our findings show that both RF (MAE varies from 5.75 to 13.25) and XGBoost (MAE varies from 8.15 to 23.44) model performance is close to LandScan Global estimates. Furthermore, neither of the models performed the best across all grid cells: the RF model was more effective in areas with lower populations, while XGBoost excelled in more densely populated regions. The proposed approach can be used for countries where the Census data is not available.

Lebakula, Viswadeep [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000152935914↗

DOE OSTI2024

Detecting Important Drivers of Gridded Population Modeling With Machine Learning

High-resolution population datasets have been lever-aged across a broad swath of domains, such as climate change, public policy, humanitarian aid, and rescue operations, among others. Machine learning methods were adopted to generate high-resolution or gridded population estimates by using various geospatial input features such as buildings, roads, and nighttime lights. In this study, we evaluate the importance of population features using Random Forest models across three levels of analysis, utilizing permutation measures. Our research aims to address key questions to enhance our understanding of high-resolution population modeling, such as: Are certain features globally (10 countries collectively) more important than others? Do optimal features vary by country? Within each country, do feature importance differ across administrative units? What similarities exist in feature importance at the global, country, and administrative unit levels? To answer these questions, we leverage the Kneedle algorithm to automate the selection of optimum features. We find that there are patterns displayed by features across spatial boundaries, evidenced by the same feature being the most important indicator of population across 7 of the 10 countries modeled. Our findings indicate that while important features may vary across geographies, certain features consistently hold greater importance than others agnostic of geography.

Lebakula, Viswadeep [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000152935914↗