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Eric C. Stern

Publications and source records attributed to Eric C. Stern.

11 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2024

Sensitivity Study of Impact Risk Model Results to Thermal Radiation Damage Model for Large Objects

NASA’s Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessment model assesses the likelihood of potential damage for asteroid impact scenarios. Fast-running models are used to capture the effects of different hazards. This paper looks specifically at local ground damage hazards, including blast overpressure and thermal radiation damage, for large object impact scenarios. A sensitivity study is conducted to determine which parameters, and over what ranges, cause impact risks to become sensitive to thermal damage. Two additional thermal models with different approaches are used for comparison. The study determined the current thermal model is most sensitive to the luminous efficiency parameter that reflects the model’s uncertainty in the amount of energy contributing to the thermal radiation damage. This sensitivity was most apparent for the highest severity damage levels. Comparisons of the three models showed that in addition to sensitivities within the models, the impact risks are also sensitive to the choice of thermal model. The study results were applied to the 2023 Planetary Defense Conference hypothetical asteroid impact scenario and parameter ranges of interest determined. At the serious damage level, luminous efficiencies above 0.006 showed a small chance of thermal playing an important role, while luminous efficiencies above 0.0008 led to thermal playing a significant role at the unsurvivable damage severity level. Study results are used to identify key areas where additional model refinement and better knowledge of asteroid properties may be important for improving damage estimates.

SMD↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Simulating Meteor Ablation at the Hypersonic Materials Environmental Test System

The ablation mechanisms of stony meteorite material and a terrestrial analog were investigated at the Hypersonic Materials Environmental Test System (HyMETS) facility at NASA’s Langley Research Center. The primary analyte (Tamdakht-H5) and arc-jet test conditions were chosen to simulate the entry of an ordinary chondrite through the Earth’s mesosphere. Basalt was selected to compare the meteorite response against material with enhanced polymerization and an elevated concentration of volatile species. The initial ablation process for each material commences with the vaporization of volatile species and germination of a viscous melt layer on the stagnation surface. However, each material exhibited distinct mass loss mechanisms, with basalt recessing at twice the rate of Tamdakht. Inspection of high-speed video and chemical analysis of the post-test melt layer suggests the dominant mode of mass loss of Tamdakht is expressed through the vaporization of volatile compounds. Vaporization rates of Tamdakht are 18x higher than basalt under the most severe test conditions which provides enhanced thermal shielding. Furthermore, Tamdakht produces a relatively stable melt flow, as evidenced by perpetual growth at the sidewall and the exiguous detachment of molten material into the flow. The ablation mechanism of basalt is markedly different from Tamdakht and is governed by volatile species in the virgin material. The dominant mode of mass loss for basalt is attributed to the detachment of large sections of the stagnation surface near the edge radius. An additional but subordinate mode of mass loss is assigned to the removal of melt flow as it passes over the edge radius, where shear forces overcome the rheological properties of the molten matter. Finally, mechanistic details will be discussed in terms of designing future test campaigns, developing meteorite-based materials response models, and impacting the broader scope of the Asteroid Threat Assessment Project (ATAP).

Meteor Ablation↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Numerical Simulations of A Conceptual MSR-EES Shoulder Recession

The present study demonstrates our in-house material response solver, Icarus's capability to simulate the ablative conditions, including pyrolysis effects due to the interaction between hypersonic boundary layers and the thermal protection system (TPS). A conceptual aeroshell shoulder design, which undergoes mission-relevant flow and material conditions, is selected for the demonstration purpose. LAURA, a structured flow solver, is used to solve flow around the shoulder at several trajectory points of a flight path. The aerothermal dataset obtained from LAURA is used to enforce boundary conditions on the aeroshell wall to simulate ablation processes. The two-layered material system is stacked with HEEET (TPS) and Aluminum (actual material). A set of base parameters, such as the angle of material orientation with respect to the flow direction, convective heat-transfer co-efficient, and aerothermal boundary conditions on the rear end of the HEEET material layer, is selected to conduct a base-case simulation. A small amount of recession was observed, indicating that the design should be fine to go through the selected flow and material conditions. Furthermore, the parameters mentioned above are individually altered and are observed to affect the shoulder design's recession compared to the base case. Verification of our Icarus setup was also carried out using a one-dimensional grid and FIAT, a one-dimensional material-response solver, to build credibility for our results. As the current work is an uncoupled fluid-material-response simulation, a local sharp mesh deformation in the recessed surface near the shoulder corner is observed.

Prakash Shrestha↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sensitivity Study of Impact Risk Model Results to Thermal Radiation Damage Model for Large Objects

NASA’s Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessment model assesses the likelihood of potential damage for asteroid impact scenarios. Fast-running models are used to capture the effects of different hazards. This paper looks specifically at local ground damage hazards, including blast overpressure and thermal radiation damage, for large object impact scenarios. A sensitivity study is conducted to determine which parameters, and over what ranges, cause impact risks to become sensitive to thermal damage. Two additional thermal models with different approaches are used for comparison. The study determined the current thermal model is most sensitive to the luminous efficiency parameter that reflects the model’s uncertainty in the amount of energy contributing to the thermal radiation damage. This sensitivity was most apparent for the highest severity damage levels. Comparisons of the three models showed that in addition to sensitivities within the models, the impact risks are also sensitive to the choice of thermal model. The study results were applied to the 2023 PDC hypothetical asteroid impact scenario and parameter ranges of interest determined. At the serious damage level, luminous efficiencies above 0.006 showed a small chance of thermal playing an important role, while luminous efficiencies above 0.0008 led to thermal playing a significant role at the unsurvivable damage severity level. Study results are used to identify key areas where additional model refinement and better knowledge of asteroid properties may be important for improving damage estimates.

SMD↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Simulating Ordinary Chondrite (Tamdakht) Ablation at the Hypersonic Materials Environmental Test System (HyMETS) Facility.

NASA’s Science Mission Directorate (SMD) created the Asteroid Threat Assessment Project (ATAP) to inform decision-makers of risks associated with Potentially Hazardous Objects (PHOs), which may pose an existential threat to human civilization. ATAP assesses risk, in part, by developing analytical physics-based damage models which draw upon data collected during material property characterization efforts, entry simulations, hazard simulations, and ground-based arc-jet testing. Therefore, a pathfinder test campaign was con-ducted at the Hypersonic Materials Environmental Test System (HyMETS) at the NASA Langley Re-search Center to investigate the ablation mechanisms of an ordinary chondrite (Tamdakht H5) and a terrestrial analog (basalt). The HyMETS facility is a 400 kW constricted arc heater used to screen material performance under simulated aerothermal conditions of hypersonic flow.1 Facility conditions were chosen to simulate Earth entry conditions be-tween the upper-mesosphere and the lower thermo-sphere. The ablation mechanisms of Tamdakht and bas-alt are illustrated with still images collected from high-speed video cameras (fig. 1, Tamdakht). Tamdakht produces a relatively stable melt flow, as evidenced by the perpetual growth of a flange at the sidewall and the exiguous detachment of molten material into the flow. Furthermore, an inspection of high-speed video and chemical analysis of the post-test melt layer suggests that the dominant mode of mass loss for Tamdakht, at these test conditions, is expressed through the vaporization of volatiles (e.g., iron, potassium, sodium, phosphorus, and sulfur). The vaporization rates of Tamdakht are greater than basalt under the most extreme test conditions, which leads to an enhanced blowing layer, in-creased thermal shielding, and reduced recession. The ablation mechanisms of basalt are markedly different from Tamdakht and are attributed to the presence of hydrated minerals dispersed at irregular intervals throughout the silicate matrix. Rapid de-composition of secondary minerals and the subsequent formation of water lead to the ejection of the subsurface and overlying melt layer. Furthermore, the presence of water is suspected of lowering the viscosity of the melt layer resulting in increased mass loss near the edge of the test article where drag forces overcome rheological properties (fig. 1, bas-alt). Finally, the results will be discussed in the broader context of meteorite-based material response model development and the potential impact on the Asteroid Threat Assessment Project (ATAP).

Brody K. Bessire↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Ares: A Coupling Methodology for Ablation Modeling

To enable modeling of complex and coupled ablation problems, a multi-physics framework is developed. A methodology for modeling shape change in coupled systems is presented. The approach taken to model gas-surface interactions and translate coupled surface phenomena to physically meaningful boundary conditions in the distinct solvers is discussed. Particular emphasis is placed on the nature of coupled boundary conditions pertaining to surface energy and mass balances as well as surface chemistry modeling. The developed methodology is used to simulate a shear test in arc-jet conditions in order to assess the validity of the coupled approach as well as the implementation of the relevant physical processes.

EDL↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Scale-Resolving Simulations of Viking '75 Reentry Capsule Wake Flow

Scale resolving simulations of static wake tests of the '75 Viking capsule have been performed using two unstructured grid flow solvers, US3D and PyFR. Simulations with several resolutions have been performed at varying Mach numbers with the aim of solver validation for capsule wake flows as well as establishing simulation best practices.

Rathakrishnan Bhaskaran↗