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Farrara, J. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Farrara, J. D..

Parallel Optimization of an Earth System Model (100 Gigaflops and Beyond?)

We are developing an Earth System Model (ESM) to be used in research aimed to better understand the interactions between the components of the Earth System and to eventually predict their variations. Currently, our ESM includes models of the atmosphere, oceans and the important chemical tracers therein.

Parallel Optimization Earth System Model

Simulations of the February 1979 stratospheric sudden warming: Model comparisons and three-dimensional evolution

The evolution of the stratopsheric flow during the major stratospheric sudden warming of February 1979 is studied using two primitive equation models of the stratosphere and mesosphere. The United Kingdom Meteorological Office Stratosphere-Mesosphere Model (SMM) uses log pressure as a vertical coordinate. A spectral, entropy coordinate version of the SMM (entropy coordinate model, or ECM) that has recently been developed is also used. Comparison of SMM simulations with forecasts performed using the University of California, Los Angeles general circulation model confirms the previously noted sensitivity of stratospheric forecasts to tropospheric forecasts and emphasizes the importance of adequate vertical resolution in modeling the stratosphere. The ECM simulations provide a schematic description of the three-dimensional evolution of the polar vortex and the motion of air through it. During the warming, the two cyclonic vortices tilt westward and equatorward with height. Strong upward velocities develop in the lower stratosphere on the west (cold) side of a baroclinic zone as it forms over Europe and Asia. Strong downward velocities appear in the upper stratosphere on the east (warm) side, strengthening the temperature gradients. After the peak of the warming, vertical velocities decrease, downward velocities move into the lower stratosphere, and upward velocities move into the upper stratosphere.

Manney, G. L.

Planetary-scale waves in the Southern Hemisphere winter and early spring stratosphere - Stability analysis

A barotropic stability model linearized about a zonally symmetric flow is used to examine the stability characteristics of horizontal zonal-mean flow profiles representative of the Southern Hemisphere middle stratosphere during winter and early spring, with emphasis on periods when planetary wave growth appears confined to the stratosphere. Unstable modes of eastward-travelling waves 2 and 3 are found to have period sand spatial structures, similar to observations. Wave-2 and wave-3 momentum fluxes are similar in observations and model results and are consistent with the transfer of kinetic energy from the zonal-mean flow to the wave. When a barotropic model with a zonally symmetric basic flow is used, wave 3 is usually most unstable. Including a stationary wave 1 in the basic flow destabilizes both wave 2 and wave 3, but has little effect on their periods or spatial structures. The similarity between observed fields and model results in a number of cases when wave 2 appears to grow within the stratosphere suggests that in situ instabilities play a role in the evolution of the eastward-traveling wave-2 characteristic of the Southern Hemisphere winter and early spring stratosphere.

Manney, G. L.

The behavior of wave 2 in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere during late winter and early spring

The behavior of wave 2 in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) winter and early spring stratosphere has been examined in detail using 10 years of NMC data. Wave 2 is characterized by a broad meridional structure peaking between 55 and 65 S, and regular eastward propagation, with periods ranging from 5 to 40 days. The range of maximum geopotential height amplitudes is from 600 to 1000 m for a year. Consideration is also given to the relationship of wave 2 to other features of stratospheric circulation, Eliassen-Palm fluxes, and synoptic maps. The results obtained show that the zonal mean state of the SH stratosphere frequently satisfies conditions for instability. It is concluded that both instability of zonally symmetric and asymmetric states, and nonlinear interactions between wave 1 and wave 2 are of importance for determining the behavior of wave 2 in the SH winter and spring stratosphere.

Manney, G. L.

A study of the stratospheric final warming of 1982 in the Southern Hemisphere

Data obtained from stratospheric sounding units on board the NOAA-6 satellite were used to investigate the three-dimensional evolution of the final warming that takes place in the stratosphere of the Southern Hemisphere during spring, with particular attention given to the events of spring 1982. Evidence is presented for a strong influence of the topography of the Southern Hemisphere on the evolution of the final warming. An association was found between the location of anticylones in the upper stratosphere, warm pools of air in the lower stratosphere, and a climatological split of the westerly jet stream in the upper troposphere.

Mechoso, C. R.