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Flueck, J. A.

Publications and source records attributed to Flueck, J. A..

Clarification of confirmation in the FACE-2 experiment

Definitions of the data acquisition and interpretation goals which were sought in the Florida Area Cumulus Experiment (FACE) phase-II experiment as confirmation of results from FACE-I are presented. The FACE-1 trials in cloud seeding to increase rainfall were conducted in 1970, '71, '73, '75, and '76 and phase II proceeded from June 1978-August 1980. The data from the second set were to be treated with a block randomization scheme using the mean vector wind speed and direction and superposition of rainfall data, considering fixed and floating target clouds. A first level of probability was configured to eliminate cells from further investigation, and then two other levels are included in the analyses, each of continually increasing levels of likelihood. The instances of rainfall with seeding cover periods of either 60 or more or 60 or less seeding flares being ignited.

Woodley, W. L.

Sampling problems

Precipitation estimates from satellites are subject to a number of uncertainties involving design characteristics, satellite positioning, natural variability of precipitation, and the noncontinuous acquisition of data. The sources and sizes of these uncertainties are in need of proper evaluation and estimation. The present sampling and estima-theory seems to be adequate for some measurement problems (e.g., determining precipitation at a point), while others require further theoretical work (e.g., determining the time history of precipitation over large areas).

Flueck, J. A.

Some statistical problems inherent in measuring precipitation

A formula permitting calculation of the mean-square error of the mean value of a random variable due to periodic sampling is derived and applied to estimating the sampling error for satellite observation of the mean rainfall during the GARP Atlantic Tropical Experiment (GATE). The effects of both spatial resolution and frequency of observation on the sampling error are summarized in graphs. It is found that four observations per day are sufficient to determine the monthly mean rainfall over an area of 2.5 deg square (280km x 280km) to within a standard deviation of 5 percent of its mean value; two samples per day would yield an error with a standard deviation slightly less than 10 percent of the mean. A satellite instrument with less frequent sampling may produce significantly greater error in the estimate of monthly mean rainfall.

Flueck, J. A.