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Foreman, Simon

Publications and source records attributed to Foreman, Simon.

Improving cosmological analyses of HI clustering by reducing stochastic noise

High-number-density tracers of large-scale structure, such as the HI-rich galaxies measured by 21 cm intensity mapping, have low sampling noise, making them particularly promising as cosmological probes. At large scales, this sampling noise can be subdominant to other scale-independent contributions to the power spectrum; such contributions arise from nonlinear bias, and exceed the sampling noise if at least one of the associated bias coefficients is sufficiently large. This has important consequences for cosmological constraints obtained from such tracers, since it indicates that using the power spectrum does not lead to optimal constraints even in the linear regime. In this paper, we provide a conservative estimate of the possible improvement in constraining power of a 21 cm survey if one were to use an optimal analysis strategy (such as field-level analysis), where only the true sampling noise enters the error budget. We find that improvements in uncertainties on some cosmological parameters can be as large as 50%, depending on redshift, foreground cleaning efficiency, scales used in the analysis, and instrumental noise. One byproduct of our work is measurements of bias parameters and stochasticity for neutral hydrogen in the IllustrisTNG simulation over a wide range of redshifts; we provide simple fitting formulas for these measurements. Furthermore, our results motivate further exploration of new optimal analysis techniques and provide important insights into the constraining power of current and future 21 cm surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Mapping the Universe in hydrogen deuteride

Hydrogen deuteride (HD) is prevalent in a wide variety of astrophysical environments, and measuring its large-scale distribution at different epochs can, in principle, provide information about the properties of these environments. In this paper we explore the prospects for accessing this distribution using line-intensity mapping of emission from the lowest rotational transition in HD, focusing on observations of the epoch of reionization (z~6–10) and earlier. We find the signal from the epoch of reionization to be most promising, through cross correlations within existing [CII] intensity mapping surveys. While the signal we predict is out of reach for current-generation projects, planned future improvements should be able to detect reionization-era HD without any additional observations, and would help to constrain the properties of the star-forming galaxies thought to play a key role in reionization. We also investigate several avenues for measuring HD during “cosmic dawn” (z~10–30), a period in which HD could provide one of the only complementary observables to 21 cm intensity maps. We conclude that existing and planned facilities are poorly matched to the specifications desirable for a significant detection, though such a measurement may be achievable with sustained future effort. Finally, we explain why HD intensity mapping of the intergalactic medium during the cosmic dark ages (z≳30) appears to be out of reach of any conceivable experiment.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Inflation and Dark Energy from spectroscopy at $\mathcal{z} > 2$

The expansion of the Universe is understood to have accelerated during two epochs: in its very first moments during a period of Inflation and much more recently, at $\mathcal{z} < 1$, when Dark Energy is hypothesized to drive cosmic acceleration. The undiscovered mechanisms behind these two epochs represent some of the most important open problems in fundamental physics. Most of the processes involved during Inflation impact observations on the very largest spatial scales. Traditionally, these have been accessed through observations of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). While very powerful, the CMB originates from a 2D surface and the finite number of modes that it contains will largely be measured by experiments over the next decade. Observations of large 3D volumes with large-scale structure (LSS) access similar scales and will dramatically increase the number of available modes. For example, LSS observations in the range $2 \lesssim z \lesssim 5$ can more than triple the volume surveyed at $z \lesssim 2$, and, together with the sufficiently high galaxy number in this interval, strongly motivates a future spectroscopic survey that exploits this opportunity. In addition, tomography allows mapping the growth of structure with redshift, which provides robust constraints on Dark Energy and neutrino masses while relaxing restrictive assumptions such as a power-law primordial power spectrum. Finally, cross-correlation with external tracers, such as CMB lensing, Intensity Mapping or the Lyman-$\alpha$ forest, immunises the constraints to the systematics that make measurement challenging and further improves the precision through ‘sample variance cancellation’ and degeneracy breaking.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗