Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Forney, J. A..
SHCOST program assesses economic feasibility of solar energy for single-family residences and light commercial applications. Program analyzes life-cycle costs as well as sensitivity studies to aid designer in selecting most economically attractive solar system for single-family residence or light commercial application. SHCOST includes fairly comprehensive list of cost elements from which user may select.
A cost per flight computer model is described which considers: traffic model, component attrition, hardware useful life, turnaround time for refurbishment, manufacturing rates, learning curves on the time to perform tasks, cost improvement curves on quantity hardware buys, inflation, spares philosophy, long lead, hardware funding requirements, and other logistics and scheduling constraints. Additional uses of the model include assessing the cost per flight impact of changing major space shuttle program parameters and searching for opportunities to make cost effective management decisions.
Computer program, SHCOST, was used to perform economic analyses of operational test sites. The program allows consideration of the economic parameters which are important to the solar system user. A life cycle cost and cash flow comparison is made between a solar heating system and a conventional system. The program assists in sizing the solar heating system. A sensitivity study and plot capability allow the user to select the most cost effective system configuration.
The uncertainty in heating predictions derived from ground test data correlations has been used to define the corresponding uncertainties in TPS weight for the Space Shuttle. A completely reusable Shuttle system consisting of an aluminum heat sink booster and orbiter with reusable surface insulation for thermal protection was evaluated. The largest contribution to the uncertainty in the weight of the thermal protection system for the orbiter occurred on lower surface areas due to heating and boundary layer transition uncertainties. Extension of this work to the current Shuttle system concept showed reduced weight uncertainty for the external tank compared to the reusable booster.
Review of the respective contributions from the atmospheric physicist, trajectory analyst, and aerothermodynamist to the design problem underlying the selection of the space-shuttle booster mode to be developed, i.e., either expendable booster, recoverable booster, or flyback booster, and the configuration and composite configuration. The interrelationships between atmospheric variables, trajectory parameters, and aerodynamic heating loads are discussed.
Comparison of space shuttle aerodynamic heating analyses for metallic heat shield and surface insulation concepts