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Fortney, Jonathan

Publications and source records attributed to Fortney, Jonathan.

6 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Pathways to Discovery in Astronomy and Astrophysics for the 2020s

We live in an extraordinary period of discovery in astronomy and astrophysics. Six Nobel Prizes have been awarded over the past decade alone for discoveries based on astronomical data (dark energy, gravitational waves, neutrino oscillations, the discovery of exoplanets, cosmology, and supermassive black holes). Many of the ambitious scientific visions of the 2010 New Worlds, New Horizons (Astro2010)1 decadal survey are being fulfilled, but momentum has only grown. We stand on the threshold of new endeavors that will transform not only our understanding of the universe and the processes and physical paradigms that govern it but also humanity’s place in it. This report of the Committee for a Decadal Survey on Astronomy and Astrophysics 2020 (Astro2020) proposes a broad, integrated plan for space- and ground-based astronomy and astrophysics for the decade 2023–2032.2 It also lays the foundations for further advances in the following decade. This is the seventh in a sequence of decadal survey studies in this field from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. This survey examines the program of record, providing advice on the major projects from prior surveys that are yet to be completed. It also lays out priorities for future investments driven by scientific opportunities. The recommendations in this report advance foundational activities that support the people who drive innovation and discovery, and that promote the technologies and tools needed to carry out the science. The report also recommends sustaining activities on a broad range of cost and time scales, as well as activities that enable future visionary projects by maturing them scientifically and technically. Last, the recommendations set in motion the construction of frontier facilities that will change the view and understanding of the cosmos. The survey is bounded by plausible budget scenarios based on briefings from the sponsoring agencies— the Department of Energy (DOE), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and the National Science Foundation (NSF). Within these bounds, the survey aims high, reflecting this time of great scientific promise and progress, with opportunities to pursue some of the most compelling scientific quests of our times.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Updated Parameters and a New Transmission Spectrum of HD 97658b

Recent years have seen increasing interest in the characterization of sub-Neptune-sized planets because of their prevalence in the Galaxy, contrasted with their absence in our solar system. HD 97658 is one of the brightest stars hosting a planet of this kind, and we present the transmission spectrum of this planet by combining four Hubble Space Telescope transits, 12 Spitzer/IRAC transits, and eight MOST transits of this system. Our transmission spectrum has a higher signal-to-noise ratio than those from previous works, and the result suggests that the slight increase in transit depth from wavelength 1.1–1.7 μm reported in previous works on the transmission spectrum of this planet is likely systematic. Nonetheless, our atmospheric modeling results are inconclusive, as no model provides an excellent match to our data. Nonetheless, we find that atmospheres with high C/O ratios (C/O ≳ 0.8) and metallicities of ≳100× solar metallicity are favored. We combine the mid-transit times from all of the new Spitzer and MOST observations and obtain an updated orbital period of P = 9.489295 ± 0.000005, with a best-fit transit time center at T {sub 0} = 2456361.80690 ± 0.00038 (BJD). No transit timing variations are found in this system. We also present new measurements of the stellar rotation period (34 ± 2 days) and stellar activity cycle (9.6 yr) of the host star HD 97658. Finally, we calculate and rank the Transmission Spectroscopy Metric of all confirmed planets cooler than 1000 K and with sizes between 1 R {sub ⊕} and 4 R {sub ⊕}. We find that at least a third of small planets cooler than 1000 K can be well characterized using James Webb Space Telescope, and of those, HD 97658b is ranked fifth, meaning that it remains a high-priority target for atmospheric characterization.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS2018

Spitzer Secondary Eclipses of Qatar-1b

Aims: Previous secondary eclipse observations of the hot Jupiter Qatar-1B in the Ks band suggest that it may have an unusually high day-side temperature, indicative of minimal heat redistribution. There have also been indications that the orbit may be slightly eccentric, possibly forced by another planet in the system. We investigate the day-side temperature and orbital eccentricity using secondary eclipse observations with Spitzer. Methods: We observed the secondary eclipse with Spitzer/IRAC (Infrared Array Camera) in subarray mode, in both 3.6 and 4.5 micron wavelengths. We used pixel-level de-correlation to correct for Spitzer's intra-pixel sensitivity variations and thereby obtain accurate eclipse depths and central phases. Results: Our 3.6 micron eclipse depth is 0.149 plus or minus 0.051 percent and the 4.5 micron depth is 0.273 plus or minus 0.049 percent. Fitting a blackbody planet to our data and two recent Ks band eclipse depths indicates a brightness temperature of 1506 plus or minus 71 degrees Kelvin. Comparison to model atmospheres for the planet indicates that its degree of longitudinal heat redistribution is intermediate between fully uniform and day-side only. The day-side temperature of the planet is unlikely to be as high (1885 degrees Kelvin) as indicated by the ground-based eclipses in the Ks band, unless the planet's emergent spectrum deviates strongly from model atmosphere predictions. The average central phase for our Spitzer eclipses is 0.4984 plus or minus 0.0017, yielding [a model parameter] e cos omega equal to minus 0.0028 plus or minus 0.0027. Our results are consistent with a circular orbit, and we constrain e cos omega much more strongly than has been possible with previous observations.

Garhart, Emily↗
NASA NTRS2015

Characterizing Transiting Planets with JWST Spectra: Simulations and Retrievals

There are now well over a thousand confirmed exoplanets, ranging from hot to cold and large to small worlds. JWST spectra will provide much more detailed information on the molecular constituents, chemical compositions, and thermal properties of the atmospheres of transiting planets than is now known. We explore this by modeling clear, cloudy,and high mean molecular weight atmospheres of typical hot Jupiter, warm Neptune, warm sub-Neptune, and cool super-Earth planets and then simulating their JWST transmission and emission spectra. These simulations were performed for several JWST instrument modes over 1 - 11 microns and incorporate realistic signal and noise components. We then performed state-of the art retrievals to determine how well temperatures and abundances (CO, CO2, H2O, NH3) will be constrained and over what pressures for these different planet types. Using these results, we appraise what instrument modes will be most useful for determining what properties of the different planets, and we assess how well we can constrain their compositions, CO ratios, and temperature profiles.

extrasolar planets↗
NASA NTRS2013

Characterizing Uranus with an Ice giant Planetary Origins Probe (Ice-POP)

We now know from studies of planetary transits and microlensing that Neptune-mass planets are ubitquitous and may be the most common class of planets in the Galaxy. As such it is crucial that we understand the formation and evolution of the ice giant planets in our own solar system so that we can better understand planet formation throughout the galaxy. An entry probe mission to Uranus would help accomplish this goal. In fact the Planetary Decadal Survey recommended a Uranus orbiter with entry probe but did not explore in detail the specifications for the entry probe. NASA Ames is currently studying thermal protection system requirements for such a mission and this has led to questions regarding the minimum interesting science payload of such an entry probe. The single most important in-situ measurement for an ice giant entry probe is a measurement of atmospheric composition. For Uranus this would specifically include the methane and noble gas abundances. An in situ measurement of the methane abundance, from below the methane cloud, would constrain the atmospheric carbon abundance, which is believed to be roughly 30 to 50 times solar. There are hints from the transiting planets that extrasolar ice giants show comparable or even greater enhancements of heavy elements compared to their primary stars. However the origin of this carbon enhancement is controversial. Is Uranus a "failed core" of a larger gas giant or was the atmosphere enhanced by accretion of icy planetesimals' Constraining atmospheric abundances of C and perhaps S or even N from below 5 bars would provide badly needed data to address such issues. A measurement of the N abundance would provide clues on the origin of the planetesimals that formed Uranus. Low N-abundance indicates planetesimals from 'warmer' regions where N was mainly in form of NH3, whereas a strong enrichment could indicate planetesimals / cometary material from the colder outer regions of the nebula. Furthermore CO and HCN have been detected in Neptune but not in Uranus. A measurement of the abundance of either would constrain the source mechanisms for these molecules (exogenic or internal). A major surprise from the Galileo Entry Probe was that the heavier noble gases Ar, Kr, and Xe are enhanced in Jupiter's atmosphere at a level comparable to what was seen for the chemically active volatiles N, C, and S. It had been generally expected that Ar, Kr, and Xe would be present in solar abundances, as all were expected to accrete with hydrogen during the gravitational capture of nebular gases. Enhanced abundances of Ar, Kr, and Xe is equivalent to saying that these noble gases have been separated from hydrogen. There are several mechanisms that could accomplish this but these hypotheses require further testing. Measurement of noble gas abundances in an ice giant would constrain the planetary formation and nebular mechanisms responsible for this enhancement. Standard three-layer models of Uranus find that the outer, predominantly H/He layer of Uranus does not reach pressures high enough (approximately 1 Mbar) for H2 to transition to liquid metallic hydrogen. However, valid models can also be constructed with a smaller intermediate water-rich layer, with hydrogen then reaching the metallic hydrogen phase. If this occurs, He should phase separate from the hydrogen and ``rain out," taking along a substantial abundance of Ne, as suggested for Jupiter (and likely also for Saturn). Hence He and Ne depletions could be probes of the planet's structure in the much deeper interior. A determination of Uranus' atmospheric abundances, particularly of the noble gasses, is thus critical to understanding the formation of Uranus, and giant planets in general. These measurements can only be performed with an entry probe. The second key measurement would be a temperature-pressure sounding to provide ground truth for remote measurements of atmospheric temperature and composition and to constrain the internal heat flow. This would also establish that the methane abundance measurements have indeed been made below any possible methane cloud. Finally an ultra stable oscillator would measure wind speeds and constrain atmospheric dynamics. In our presentation we will discuss the importance of all of these measurements and argue that an entry probe is a crucial component of any ice giant mission.

Marley, Mark S.↗