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Fritz, Brad G.

Publications and source records attributed to Fritz, Brad G..

Seismic DAS observations of a large underground chemical explosion in dry tuff

On 18 October 2023 a 16.3-ton TNT equivalent chemical explosion was detonated underground at the Nevada National Security Site, generating a seismic event with a magnitude of 1.7 (Meyers et al., 2024). The associated seismic wavefield was measured on a Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) array with slant range distances from 27 m – 1123 m. The first arriving phase traveled at an apparent velocity of about 2640 m s -1 from 27 m to 420 m slant range and about 2470 m s -1 from 505 m to 1123 m slant range according to the first arrival moveouts on the DAS data. The first arrival from the explosion temporarily saturated the cable from a slant range of 27 m – 186 m and 0.009 s to 0.084 s post detonation. From 186 m slant range to 420 m slant range, peak strain rates of 5.6 x 10 6 nm m -1 s -1 were observed for the first arrival phase. For the first arrival from 505 m slant range to 1123 m slant range, peak strain rates reduced to 8.0 x 104 nm m -1 s -1 . A comparison of the scaled accelerations computed from DAS, the geophone pairs, and the measurements of co-located accelerometer pairs show common agreement at the scaled ranges of the single point sensors. This study adds to the body of work reporting near-source DAS observations of the seismic wavefields generated by underground chemical explosions. These results indicate that near-source DAS observations can refine interpretations of phase identification from single-point sensor observations. Phase identification could be one mechanism that contributes scatter to single point seismic measurements which would confound the performance of empirical relationships for small explosions. Removing that mechanism may therefore reduce interstation variability and increase empirical relationship performance for small explosions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Conversion of Site-Specific Meteorological Data for use in CAP-88 PC

CAP-88 PC is a commonly used radiological atmospheric dispersion model. This US EPA-approved model is used to demonstrate compliance with atmospheric emission regulations for radionuclides. While the model includes a large library of meteorological data for use across the United States, there are applications when users may wish to use onsite meteorological data as an input to the CAP-88 PC model. Here, in this work, we present a work-around process for preparing and converting onsite data for use in CAP-88 PC. However, the use of local data should provide a more realistic estimate of doses to members of the public in the immediate vicinity of a facility, although the regulatory agency having jurisdiction may not accept the use of local data for compliance. Additionally, the historical meteorological records from 20+ years ago (at a site many kilometers away) might not be representative of current local weather patterns, highlighting another benefit of using local meteorological data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Low Yield Nuclear Monitoring Physics Experiment 1 – Integrated Data Acquisition System Design and Initial Observations

The report documents the design of the Integrated Data AcQuisition (IDAQ) system and observations recorded during the first in a series of underground chemical explosions conducted on the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) in southern Nevada. Experiments are funded as part of Low Yield Nuclear Monitoring (LYNM) research and development within the United States National Nuclear Security Administration NA-22 nuclear non-proliferation program. The series is part of the broader Physical Experiment 1 (PE1) being conducted in and around the P-tunnel facility on the NNSS. Each explosive experiment utilizes several tons of comp-B to generate signals recorded by a broad suite of instrumentation. The IDAQ serves as the backbone for all subsurface instrumentation providing precise time synchronization, remote control, data exfiltration and backup, along with recording several sensing modalities throughout the underground complex that includes ground motion, environmental conditions, and electromagnetic signals.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Measurements of Argon-39 from locations near historic underground nuclear explosions

Measurement of radioactive gas seepage from an underground nuclear explosion is one of the primary methods to confirm whether an event was nuclear in nature. Radioactive noble gas indicators that are commonly targeted by such measurements (e.g. 133Xe, 37Ar) have half-lives of 35 days or less. Argon-39, an activation product similar to 37Ar, is produced by the interaction between neutrons and potassium in the surrounding geology and has a half-life of 269 years. Measurements taken at three sites near three historic underground nuclear test locations at the Nevada National Security Site have all shown highly elevated levels of 39Ar in subsurface air decades after the test events. Elevated levels of 39Ar (30-50 times background) were also detected in atmospheric air collected roughly 30 cm above ground level near two of these sites, and outside the entrance of the one tunnel site. These measurements demonstrate that 39Ar has the potential to be a long-term signature of an underground nuclear event which can be reliably detected at the surface or in the shallow subsurface. This radionuclide detection of an underground nuclear event decades after the event takes place is in contrast to the commonly held assumption that detecting underground nuclear events via radionuclides at the surface needs to be done in a matter of months. Depending upon what further studies show about the robustness of this signature in a variety of geological settings, it may in fact be easy to detect underground nuclear events at the surface for a very long time post-detonation.

Johnson, Christine M.↗

Guidance for Monitoring Passive Groundwater Remedies Over Extended Time Scales

Passive remediation can be appropriate where natural processes and actions such as institutional controls mitigate exposure to contaminated groundwater, achieving remedial action objectives and protectiveness of human health and the environment. Monitored natural attenuation (MNA) is a prevalent passive remediation strategy supported by a regulatory framework and monitoring design guidance. However, long-term passive remedies are usually selected in combination with at least one active remedy, such as source removal, in situ treatment, or pump-and-treat, functioning as a complementary method for achieving remediation objectives and meeting the applicable statutory and regulatory requirements. However, MNA and existing monitoring guidance primarily target situations where the remedial action objectives are met within a few decades. When time scales for passive remediation extend to many decades (50 years or more), a corresponding change in monitoring strategy is needed to adapt to the extended time scale. This document provides guidance for implementing an extended-scale monitoring (ESM) approach appropriate for long-duration passive remediation. Extended-scale is defined in this document with respect to time (i.e., a long duration of remediation) and a large enough physical scale such that downstream receptors will not be impacted within the remediation timeframe. ESM applies to slow-moving groundwater contaminant plumes and emphasizes monitoring primarily for potential exposure pathways. For this approach, the primary monitoring objective is to demonstrate that the plume diminishes before reaching the receptor zone or point of compliance and/or a receptor does not receive concentrations above the compliance limit. While the overall objectives of protecting human health and the environment are the same as for plumes where remediation can occur over a shorter time period, the time scales between decisions are longer and the dynamics of plume evolution are slower. To this end, a scenario-based strategy is described for different plume and source conditions, defining a containment and receptor zones. The containment zone is the area where the risk of exposure to groundwater contamination can be mitigated (e.g., through institutional controls) during the remediation time period. The receptor zone is defined as the area where exposure to groundwater contamination cannot be mitigated and compliance concentration standards must be met. Within the containment zone, slow plume migration may occur, leading to concentrations that exceed compliance standards. However, where distance to the receptor zone is large relative to plume migration and attenuation rate, this approach can be protective of the receptor zone. Selection of a long-duration passive remedy needs to be based on sufficient understanding of contaminant sources, hydrogeology, and contaminant plumes. A strong technical basis, supported by predictive analysis, is recommended to substantiate that contamination is expected to stay within the containment zone during the active remediation and attainment phase of the remedy, and diminish to meet compliance standards within the extended timeframe prior to reaching the receptor zone (e.g., many decades or even centuries). The ESM approach is based on verification of plume behavior and not on detailed plume dynamics. Monitoring is conducted to confirm expected behavior with an emphasis on exposure pathways to verify that plumes remain contained in areas where the protectiveness objectives can be met. ESM should not be adopted if there is significant risk of the plume extending beyond the containment zone. Given the slow movement within the containment zone, less frequent sampling is required relative to approaches used for conventional-scale remediation.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Comparison of near-background concentrations of Argon-37 and Xenon-133 in the Atmosphere

Radioisotopes of noble gases xenon and argon can be important indicators of underground nuclear explosions. The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) includes monitoring capabilities to identify potential nuclear explosions conducted in violation of the CTBT. This monitoring currently focuses on measurement of the xenon isotopes 133Xe, 135Xe, 131mXe and 133mXe. However, it is predicted that within 100 days of an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) 37Ar would be released to the atmosphere at higher concentrations than xenon isotopes (Haas et al. 2010) and with a higher signal to background ratio, depending on the radioxenon background levels. Therefore, inclusion of 37Ar measurement capabilities at atmospheric International Monitoring System (IMS) stations may represent an improvement in the capability to detect a nuclear explosion. At an IMS station, it could be difficult to determine what constitutes an elevated concentration as a result of an UNE without first understanding the expected range of background concentrations. This work describes our analysis of atmospheric samples for 37Ar to evaluate the range of background concentrations. Samples were collected at multiple locations, with approximately half coming from a sampler co-located with an IMS xenon monitoring station (RN75). The range of 37Ar concentrations measured in atmospheric air samples was relatively narrow; for samples considered detectable, the minimum and maximum measured concentrations were 0.56 and 2.3 mBq/m3, respectively. Comparison of 37Ar and 133Xe concentrations measured at the IMS station indicated some correlation between the measured concentrations. The results presented here demonstrate the capability to detect background concentrations of 37Ar in atmospheric air and provide a basis for potential implementation of 37Ar monitoring at IMS stations.

Fritz, Brad G.↗

Background Concentrations of Argon-39 in Shallow Soil Gas

While radioisotopes of noble gases are known to be indicators of underground nuclear explosions (UNE), McIntyre et al. (2017) was the first to report the presence of 39Ar in shallow soil gas in association with a decades old UNE. While this finding hinted at the potential application of 39Ar to be used as an indicator of an UNE, doing so would also require an understanding of the natural concentrations of 39Ar present in soil gas. Without knowing the expected range and variability of naturally occurring concentrations of 39Ar, it is difficult to determine what measured concentrations would be indicative of an elevated concentration. This paper presents results from 16 soil gas samples and three atmospheric air samples collected from various locations across the western United States. Shallow soil gas samples were collected into self-contained underwater breathing apparatus (SCUBA) tanks using a custom-built soil gas sampling system and then processed and analyzed for 39Ar. The measured concentrations of 39Ar varied from atmospheric air concentrations to about 3.5 times atmospheric air concentrations. The variation in concentration was primarily attributed to the latitude the sample was collected at, which was consistent with previous work (Johnson et al. 2015). The results presented here represent the first measurements of natural background 39Ar concentrations in shallow soil gas. This data will be necessary if 39Ar is to be used as an indicator of UNE.

Fritz, Brad G.↗

Guidance for Monitoring Passive Groundwater Remedies Over Extended Time Scales

Passive remediation can be appropriate where natural processes and actions such as institutional controls mitigate exposure to contaminated groundwater, achieving remedial action objectives and protectiveness of human health and the environment. Monitored natural attenuation (MNA) is a prevalent passive remediation strategy supported by a regulatory framework and monitoring design guidance. MNA can also be used after active remediation has been completed (e.g., pump-and-treat) as a polishing step to reach ultimate remedial action objectives. However, MNA and existing monitoring guidance primarily target situations where the remedial action objectives are met within a few decades. When timescales for passive remediation extend to many decades, a corresponding change in monitoring strategy is needed to adapt to the extended time scale. This document provides guidance for implementing an extended-scale monitoring (ESM) approach appropriate for long-duration passive remediation. Extended-scale is defined in this document with respect to time (i.e., a long duration of remediation) and a large enough physical scale such that receptors will not be impacted within the remediation timeframe.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Measurement of Argon-37 Background Concentrations in the Atmosphere

Radioisotopes of noble gases, primarily xenon and argon, are important indicators of underground nuclear explosions. The Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) includes monitoring capabilities to identify potential nuclear explosions conducted in violation of the CTBT. This monitoring currently focuses on measurement of the xenon isotopes 133 Xe, 135 Xe, 131 mXe and 133 mXe. However, it is predicted that within 100 days of an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) 37 Ar would be released to the atmosphere at higher concentrations than xenon isotopes (Haas et al. 2010). Therefore, inclusion of 37 Ar measurement capabilities at atmospheric International Monitoring System (IMS) stations could improve the capability to detect a nuclear explosion. At an IMS station, it could be difficult to determine what constitutes an elevated concentration as a result of an UNE without first understanding the expected range of background concentrations. This work describes our analysis of atmospheric samples for 37 Ar to evaluate the range of background concentrations. The range of 37 Ar concentrations measured in atmospheric air samples was relatively narrow ranging between less than 1 mBq/m 3 to greater than 2 mBq/m 3 . The average atmospheric concentration of all samples was 0.98 mBq/m 3 , with a standard deviation of 0.5 mBq/m 3 . This is consistent with previous published results. The results presented here demonstrate the capability to detect background concentrations of 37 Ar in atmospheric air.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

UNESE Phase 2: Injection and measurement of gaseous tracers at U-12p Tunnel

In June 2018 radioactive ( 37 Ar and 127 Xe) and stable (SF 6 ) tracers were injected into the chimney of the Disko Elm underground nuclear explosion, located in the U-12p tunnel complex. After the injection sampling was performed from locations within the tunnel, a borehole drilled from the surface, and from the surface of the mesa. Additionally, the 127 Xe activity within the chimney was continuously monitored for two months after the injection. While none of the injected radiotracers were detected in the monitoring borehole, elevated levels of 39 Ar (an activation product produced by underground nuclear explosions) were detected and quantified in each sample.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Evaluation of a Geotechnical Compaction Model to Estimate Sediment Deformation

When surface ruts from vehicle activity occur above archeological deposits, there is a potential for an impact to the archeological record to occur. While impacts to the soil surface are relatively straightforward to describe, sub-surface disturbances are more difficult to quantify. In particular, disturbances to buried archeological materials can be difficult to characterize. Materials can be damaged by surface disturbances, but they can also be impacted even if they stay intact. Interpretation of intact materials relocated within the sediment column can be problematic. Traditional characterization methods (e.g. excavation) can also disturb archaeological materials. Here, we present a geotechnical compaction model that can be used to assist with sub-surface characterization under vehicle ruts formed during off-road travel. The model is based on a Boussinesq analysis of stress increase below a surface load. The change in bulk density resulting from compaction is assumed to be proportional to the stress increase. The model results were compared against pilot scale tests conducted with homogeneous sediment and field scale in-situ tests. The results indicate that the model generally agreed with measurements to within 20%, although only a single soil type was evaluated in these studies, with a narrow range of initial bulk densities and rut depths. While application of the model across a broader matrix of soil types, bulk densities and rut depths would increase confidence in the model, it appears that the model may be suitable for use in archeological field investigations. Potential uses include both compliance and research based field applications.

Fritz, Brad G.↗