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Friz, Paul D.

Publications and source records attributed to Friz, Paul D..

Blind Study Validating Parametric Costing Tools PRICE True Planning and SEER-H for NASA Science Missions

Two of the primary parametric costing tools used to estimate the development and production cost of future spacecraft hardware are PRICE True Planning - Space Missions Catalog by PRICE Systems, and SEER-H by Galorath. These are standard tools used by NASA and industry to estimate the cost of new aerospace hardware. However, no independent verification of the accuracy of these tools is publicly available. Both PRICE Systems and Galorath have completed internal validation studies of their parametric cost estimating tools; however, they only provided the results of the studies and did not detail the exact methods used to perform the validation. In the present study, cost estimators used PRICE True Planning and SEER-H to estimate the cost of twelve different past NASA science missions. The estimators were prevented from knowing the actual cost of the missions in an effort to minimize cognitive biases. In the present study, SEER had an average error of 23%, median error of -0.3%, with a standard deviation of 43%. PRICE had an average error of 52%, median error of 50%, and standard deviation of 45%. There were several factors independent of PRICE and SEER which may have affected the accuracy of the results in the present study including: uncertainty in the technical data used for the estimates, the methods used to estimate uncertainty in spacecraft component mass and numbers of prototypes, and the experience of the estimators.

Friz, Paul D.↗

New Method for Systems and Cost Analysis of Human Mars Entry Vehicles

Cost is one of the biggest obstacles to sending humans to Mars. However, spacecraft costs are typically not estimated until after the preliminary vehicle and mission concepts have been designed. By automating the cost estimation process, the effect of any change in vehicle or mission design on the mission cost can be determined more efficiently. This paper describes an extension to the tool SAPE (Systems Analysis for Planetary Entry, Descent, and Landing). This extension integrates the cost modeling software SEER-H (System Estimation and Evaluation of Resources-Hardware) with a number of systems analysis tools. This new method is used to analyze several trade spaces of a HIAD (Hypersonic Inflatable Aerodynamic Decelerator) entry vehicle for human Mars missions. Key findings include quantifying the impacts of ballistic coefficient, main engine specific impulse, and thrust-to-weight ratio on the overall cost of the vehicle, and how the payload per lander and number of landers affects the cost of a campaign to Mars.

Friz, Paul D.↗

Plasmonic Force Propulsion Revolutionizes Nano/Picosatellite Capability

This project investigated a new type of small spacecraft propulsion for attitude control, specifically proximity and precision pointing control. Plasmonic force propulsion uses solar light focused on deep-subwavelength nanostructures to excite strong optical forces that accelerate and expel nanoparticle propellant. The goal of the project was to assess the feasibility of plasmonic force propulsion for nano/pico-satellite applications by evaluating key mission parameters for a nano/pico-satellite using plasmonic force propulsion in a NASA-relevant mission context. We achieved this goal and objective by evaluating plasmonic force propulsion within a NASA mission that required attitude control and precision pointing of a small satellite. We numerically simulated plasmonic force fields with asymmetric/gradient geometry and relevant solar light constraints, predicted nanoparticle velocity, mass flow rate, and resulting propulsion performance (thrust, specific impulse), and evaluated spacecraft position control resolution and pointing precision. Additionally we compared the precision pointing capabilities of plasmonic propulsion, as well as the mass, volume, and power requirements, with other state-of-the-art control techniques, such as reaction wheels and colloid/electrospray electric propulsion. The results are very exciting. Plasmonic force propulsion can significantly enhance the state-of-the-art in small spacecraft position and attitude control by 1-2 orders of magnitude. This is most succinctly shown in the figure below, which compares proximity and attitude control of plasmonic force propulsion (PFP) with other state-of-the-art thruster systems (μCAT, VAT, electrospray). Additionally this figure also shows the proximity and attitude control required for different existing (James Webb Space Telescope, Hubble) and future (LISA and Stellar Imager) NASA missions. While some of these NASA missions are not small spacecraft missions, the requirements serve to illustrate the fact that more precise proximity and attitude control will be required for future NASA science missions. Stellar imager is a proposed NASA missions that requires an extremely high pointing precision of 0.1 milliarcseconds (2.7x10(exp -7) deg.) for an ultraviolet telescope that has over 200× the resolution of the Hubble Space Telescope, is able to take images showing details on the surfaces of other stars, consists of 20-30 small "mirror sats" flying in formation to produce a giant mirror, and requires each mirror-sat to be placed with nanometer precision and control its attitude with milliarcsecond precision.

Rovey, Joshua L.↗