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Goswami, B. N.

Publications and source records attributed to Goswami, B. N..

Predictability of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model

A study is presented to determine the limits on the predictability of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Following the classical methods developed for atmospheric predictability studies, the model used is one of the simplest that realistically reproduces many of the important features of the observed interannual variability of sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific Ocean when forced by observed wind stresses. As no reasonable analysis is available for all the fields, initial conditions for these prediction experiments were taken from a model control run in which the ocean model was forced by the observed surface winds. The atmospheric component of the coupled model is not capable of accurately simulating the large-scale components of the observed wind stress.

Goswami, B. N.↗

Quasi-periodic oscillations in a symmetric general circulation model

Observational evidence has been presented for the existence of quasi-periodic fluctuations of the tropical circulation with periods around two weeks and around 40 days. It is expected that an understanding of the mechanisms of these quasi-periodic oscillations in the tropical atmosphere will improve the predictability of the short range climate fluctuations in the tropics. The present study evolved as an outgrowth of an investigation conducted by Goswami et al. (1984). In this investigation remarkable oscillations of the Hadlay circulation for an ocean covered earth were observed. In the current study evidence is presented regarding the episodic behavior of the tropical circulation in general, and the propagation characteristics of these oscillations in the lower atmosphere. Attention is given to the results of six different experiments.

Goswami, B. N.↗

Theoretical study of multiple equilibria in simple axisymmetric tropical circulations

The possibility that the asymmetric part of the atmospheric circulation can possess multiple equilibrium states is examined using a two-layer axisymmetric model involving balance equations on an equatorial beta plane. Mountains are excluded from consideration and a Newtonian cooling formulation represents thermal forcing. A temperature maximum at 25 deg N is selected to simulate summer conditions in the Northern Hemisphere. Steady-state solutions obtained are investigated for stability with regard to first and second y-mode perturbations. A single stable mode is found, together with two other quasi-stable states. Attention is given to numerically modeling multiple equilibria in symmetric circulations, and one steady-state is determined for the two-layer model. A model employing primitive equations with the Boussinesq approximation is also examined, and it also furnishes only one steady state. The reasons for the lack of multiple steady-states as derived by the models are discussed.

Goswami, B. N.↗