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Gray, Avery

Publications and source records attributed to Gray, Avery.

Validation of Weather Forecasting Products

Meteorological modeling plays a pivotal role in operational safety and emergency response at the Savannah River Site (SRS). This study focuses on verifying the Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) Version 4.3 through Mean Bias Error (MBE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) analyses of temperature, dew point, and wind speed over a decade. Using observed data from SRS, we assessed RAMS' accuracy, revealing seasonal biases and error trends. Results indicate RAMS' strengths in mild weather conditions but challenges during seasonal extremes and wind speed predictions due to measurement disparities. Future research aims to expand verification to other models and parameters, advocating for enhanced forecasting accuracy crucial for safeguarding personnel and community well-being.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Validation of Weather Forecasting Products

Weather forecasting is a tool in which the Savannah River Site relies on to complete daily tasks. The importance and integrity of forecasting systems and models is of the utmost importance to safety at SRS. By comparing and contrasting model bias, the meteorologists and employees of the Atmospheric Technologies Group will be equipped with bias data to create more accurate forecasts. Thus, furthering the safety of individuals at SRS.

Gray, Avery↗