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Ingles, Kevin

Publications and source records attributed to Ingles, Kevin.

Charm meson and charm-meson molecule in an expanding hadron gas

We present our studies on the evolution of charm mesons after the kinetic freeze-out of the expanding hadron gas produced in a heavy-ion collision and the thermal correction to a loosely bound charm-meson molecule in a pion gas. The πD* → πD* reaction rates have t-channel singularities that give contributions inversely proportional to the thermal width of the D. The ratio of the D 0 and D + production rate can differ significantly from those predicted using the measured D* branching fractions. The thermal correction to a loosely bound charm-meson molecule in a pion gas comes primarily from the complex thermal energy shift of the charm-meson constituents.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Taweret: a Python package for Bayesian model mixing

Uncertainty quantification using Bayesian methods is a growing area of research. Bayesian model mixing (BMM) is a recent development which combines the predictions from multiple models such that the fidelity of each model is preserved in the final result. Practical tools and analysis suites that facilitate such methods are therefore needed. Taweret introduces BMM to existing Bayesian uncertainty quantification efforts. Currently, Taweret contains three individual Bayesian model mixing techniques, each pertaining to a different type of problem structure; we encourage the future inclusion of user-developed mixing methods. Taweret’s first use case is in nuclear physics, but the package has been structured such that it should be adaptable to any research engaged in model comparison or model mixing.

Ingles, Kevin

Physical initialization using SSM/I rain rates

Following our recent study on physical initialization for tropical prediction using rain rates based on outgoing long-wave radiation, the present study demonstrates a major improvement from the use of microwave radiance-based rain rates. A rain rate algorithm is used on the data from a special sensor microwave instrument (SSM/I). The initialization, as before, uses a reverse surface similarity theory, a reverse cumulus parameterization algorithm, and a bisection method to minimize the difference between satellite-based and the model-based outgoing long-wave radiation. These are invoked within a preforecast Newtonian relaxation phase of the initialization. These tests are carried out with a high-resolution global spectral model. The impact of the initialization on forecast is tested for a complex triple typhoon scenario over the Western Pacific Ocean during September 1987. A major impact from the inclusion of the SSM/I is demonstrated. Also addressed are the spin-up issues related to the typhoon structure and the improved water budget from the physical initialization.

Krishnamurti, T. N.