Jarman, Kenneth D | Search NASA

DOE OSTI2013

CDF Solutions of Buckley-Leverett Equation with Uncertain Parameters

The Buckley-Leverett (nonlinear advection) equation is often used to describe two-phase flow in porous media. We develop a new probabilistic method to quantify parametric uncertainty in the Buckley-Leverett model. Our approach is based on the concept of fine-grained cumulative density function (CDF) and provides a full statistical description of the system states. Hence, it enables one to obtain not only average system response but also the probability of rare events, which is critical for risk assessment. We obtain a closed-form, semi-analytical solution and test it against the results from Monte Carlo simulations.

Wang, Peng↗

DOE OSTI2012

Modeling Dynamic Regulatory Processes in Stroke.

The ability to examine in silico the behavior of biological systems can greatly accelerate the pace of discovery in disease pathologies, such as stroke, where in vivo experimentation is lengthy and costly. In this paper we describe an approach to in silico examination of blood genomic responses to neuroprotective agents and subsequent stroke through the development of dynamic models of the regulatory processes observed in the experimental gene expression data. First, we identified functional gene clusters from these data. Next, we derived ordinary differential equations (ODEs) relating regulators and functional clusters from the data. These ODEs were used to develop dynamic models that simulate the expression of regulated functional clusters using system dynamics as the modeling paradigm. The dynamic model has the considerable advantage of only requiring an initial starting state, and does not require measurement of regulatory influences at each time point in order to make accurate predictions. The manipulation of input model parameters, such as changing the magnitude of gene expression, made it possible to assess the behavior of the networks through time under varying conditions. We report that an optimized dynamic model can provide accurate predictions of overall system behavior under several different preconditioning paradigms.

dynamic modeling↗