Search NASA⌕ Search

Engineering topics

Katherine Emma Knowland

Publications and source records attributed to Katherine Emma Knowland.

Model-data Comparison of Stratospheric Intrusions Over Hampton, Virginia

Stratospheric intrusions are the transport of ozone from the stratosphere to the troposphere. These intrusions are frequent in spring; they can affect local air quality as well as satellites observations, notably limb sounding instruments such as SAGE III. Complex models such as GEOS-CF are used to assess the magnitude and the impact of SI. We present the model-data comparison of several stratospheric intrusion above Hampton, Virginia, in 2019, using the NASA Langley Mobile Ozone Lidar and the GEOS-CF model. We show the limits of the model-data agreement for these events and suggest a method to correct limb-sounding observations.

G. Gronoff↗

Near real-time air quality forecasts using the NASA GEOS model

NASA's Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) produces high-resolution global forecasts for weather, aerosols, and air quality. The NASA Global Earth Observing System (GEOS) model has been expanded to provide global near-real-time5-day forecasts of atmospheric composition at unprecedented horizontal resolution of 0.25 degrees (~25 km). This composition forecast system (GEOS-CF) combines the operational GEOS weather forecasting model with the state-of-the-science GEOS-Chem chemistry module (version 12) to provide detailed analysis of a wide range of air pollutants such as ozone, carbon monoxide, nitrogen oxides, and fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Satellite observations are assimilated into the system for improved representation of weather and smoke. The assimilation system is being expanded to include chemically reactive trace gases. We discuss current capabilities of the GEOS Constituent Data Assimilation System (CoDAS) to improve atmospheric composition modeling and possible future directions, notably incorporating new observations (TROPOMI, geostationary satellites) and machine learning techniques. We show how machine learning techniques can be used to correct for sub-grid-scale variability, which further improves model estimates at a given observation site.

Air Quality Forecast↗

Sub-City-Scale Air Quality Forecasts Combining Models, Satellites, and Surface Measures

Poor air quality is a global major concern, especially in cities with their higher emissions and large numbers of exposed people. Air quality monitoring has traditionally relied on ground-based measurements from a few accurate but expensive regulatory-grade monitors, leading to limited spatial data coverage. More recently, these have been supplemented with other data sources, including satellite observations of pollutants, atmospheric chemistry model simulations, and low-cost monitors allowing for denser spatial data collection at the expense of lower accuracy compared to regulatory-grade monitors. Each of these air quality data sources have their own benefits and drawbacks, and so there is an opportunity to combine these data together while respecting their relative strengths and weaknesses in order to generate a more comprehensive and detailed picture of local air quality. I will present our current work towards such a combination, with a focus on producing higher spatial resolution estimates and near-term forecasts of Nitrogen Dioxide in urban areas in the United States. Our method combines data from the GEOS Composition Forecasting (GEOS-CF) model system, TROPOMI tropospheric NO2 satellite data products, and ground measurements from the EPA regulatory monitoring network using a combination of simple intuitive relationships and machine learning techniques. I will show the performance of this proposed method in several urban areas in the United States, comparing it with baseline approaches using single data sources separately. Overall, we find that combining these disparate datasets together leads to more accurate air quality forecasts in the target areas than is possible using each data source separately.

Air quality↗

Improved Air Quality Forecasts using NASA’s Pandora and GEOS CF at International and Domestic Sites for SNWG Stakeholders

Air pollution prediction is complex due to the dynamic nature of atmospheric processes and the variability in data resolutions and availability. This project addresses these challenges by integrating and analyzing high-resolution ground-based measurements with global air quality models. Through this integration, we have gained a deeper understanding of how these processes interact under various conditions, which we then use to model and enhance the accuracy of forecasts.

Noussair Lazrak↗