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Kelley Murphy

Publications and source records attributed to Kelley Murphy.

14 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Applications and Performance of a Lightning Risk Assessment using Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Data

Lightning is a hazard globally, particularly in lesser-developed countries. Cloud-to-ground lightning strikes are a threat to human safety, motivating a desire to monitor location-based lightning risk to mitigate harm. A lightning risk assessment for human safety was created that uses a combination of probabilistic risk calculation and spatial lightning mapping data to produce a risk magnitude. This risk magnitude evolves with time and changing conditions and is compared to tolerability thresholds in order to evaluate safety. The risk assessment using lightning mapping array (LMA) flash extent density (FED) data was found to perform comparatively (with respect to issuing lightning warnings) to a more standard method of monitoring lightning safety where National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) flashes were monitored within a 5 nautical mile radius of a location of interest. This research investigates the replacement of LMA FED with FED from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) within the risk assessment framework. Using GLM FED would allow for risk to be calculated outside of LMA domains and anywhere within the GLM field of view, including areas outside of the United States (US). A few applications of the risk method with GLM FED are shown and discussed for locations both in and outside of the US. Additionally, the performance of the risk method is compared based on the type of lightning input source (LMA vs GLM). The end goal of this work is to provide forecasters and end users with a tool to help monitor lightning risk in decision support scenarios.

Kelley Murphy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

An Analysis of Depolarization Streaks for Anticipating Lightning in Thundersnow

Infrequent lightning events, particularly in stratiform precipitation, present a unique decision-support challenge to National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters and core partners. Anticipating thundersnow events, which are rare compared to warm season lightning, are especially difficult to anticipate due to slanted updrafts within the comma-head region of a mid-latitude cyclone. Researchers and operational forecasters have observed depolarization streaks in differential reflectivity (ZDR) as a result of ice crystal layers prior to thundersnow initiation. These depolarization streaks form as a result of ice crystals aligning themselves with enhancements in the electric field in stratiform precipitation and are associated with ZDR values near zero. During the 7 March 2018 winter storm, a teacher in New Jersey was struck by lightning while dismissing students and depolarization streaks were observed in weather radar observations. Therefore, it is advantageous to examine depolarization streaks in ZDR to determine whether it can be used to anticipate lightning potential in winter-time events. Multiple events will be analyzed using the National Lightning Detection Network (NLDN) and the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) to determine if thundersnow flashes coincide with ZDR depolarization streaks in weather radars. This study also expands on collaboration between the NWS Huntsville Forecast Office and NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) program to determine how depolarization streaks can be used operationally to anticipate lightning within stratiform regions. Preliminary work has indicated noticeable potential in correlating depolarization streak as a precursor to thundersnow flashes in a variety of geographical regions.

Autumn Millard↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Operational Evaluation of NASA SPoRT Lightning Safety Applications for Impact Based Decision Support Services

The NWS Office in Huntsville is tasked with monitoring and predicting the threat for lightning within its County Warning Area. These impact-based decision support services (IDSS) are provided routinely for aviation operations, irregularly for large-scale, outdoor events, and can have varying safety requirements, such as proximity to location and duration. Lightning monitoring and prediction can require the rapid synthesis of a plethora of data, so products that make this process more efficient and effective are sought by the operational community. The Huntsville NWS Office benefits from close collaboration with the NASA SPoRT Center, which is developing several products to address these operational challenges in concentrated R2O/O2R efforts. One example of this is the StopLight product, which uses Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) flash extent density (FED) to provide an easy-to-interpret visual aid of lightning occurring within the last 30 minutes. The StopLight product shows both the age and location of the last lightning flash within each GLM pixel, which can be particularly useful for IDSS with determining when to resume activities or operations that have been shut down due to lightning. This presentation highlights results of collaboration between NASA SPoRT and NWS Huntsville, including testing of the Stoplight product, and additional experimental products in development. A brief summary of the lightning products are provided while the main focus will discuss product evaluation and forecaster perspective during real-time weather watch activities to support aviation operations and events where IDSS was necessary.

Kristopher White↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

End-user Assessment of the NASA SPoRT GLM Stoplight Product

National Weather Service (NWS) offices monitor and forecast the threat for lightning within their County Warning Areas for various impact-based decision support services (IDSS). These forecasts are provided routinely for aviation operations, but irregularly for large-scale, outdoor events, which typically have varying safety requirements with regards to lightning. Lightning monitoring and forecasting can require synthesizing a plethora of data, so products that make this process more efficient and effective are sought by the operational community. The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has begun to develop several products to address these operational challenges during the lifecycle of lightning activity, and conduct evaluations in concentrated (Research-to-Operations/Operations-to-Research) efforts. The product evaluated for this study is the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Stoplight product, which addresses lightning safety specifically with regards to lightning recency and cessation. The GLM Stoplight product displays the spatial extent of lightning and uses color-coded pixels to show the recency of lightning in 10-minute increments. This presentation highlights results from an assessment of the GLM Stoplight product by select NWS offices, as well as emergency managers, that took place over a 5-week period from May 1st to June 2nd. Feedback was collected on the GLM Stoplight product and on a new and interactive lightning viewer, which allowed participants to tailor visualization of the product based on their location and desired application. Results will help NASA SPoRT gain a better understanding of how forecasters and emergency managers use lightning data for safety applications. In addition, the assessment will inform research on any necessary modifications to this and future lightning products to assist end users.

Kelley Murphy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

End-User Assessment of the NASA SPoRT Lightning AI Product

The NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center has begun to develop products to address operational challenges and enhance safety during the lifecycle of lightning activity, and conduct evaluations in concentrated R2O/O2R efforts. The product evaluated for this study is Lightning Artificial Intelligence (A.I.), which predicts the probability of lightning out to 15 minutes in advance and spatially maps it using filled color contours. Lightning A.I. uses reflectivity, differential reflectivity, and correlation coefficient data from a subset of radars within the NEXRAD network to generate lightning probabilities at approximately 2 km resolution. The domains, spanning 145 x 145 km are centered over NASA-affiliated centers across the CONUS and use radar data which are closest in proximity. Lightning A.I. was developed with intended use by emergency managers at NASA centers. However, National Weather Service (NWS) offices are also often tasked with monitoring and forecasting the threat for lightning within their County Warning Areas for various impact-based decision support services. These forecasts are typically provided for aviation operations and large-scale, outdoor events, which may have varying safety requirements for decision-making based on lightning proximity and recency. The NASA SPoRT center conducted an assessment of the operational uses of Lightning A.I by various collaborative NWS Offices from late July into early September. This assessment included feedback from participants on both the product itself as well as its accessibility within the new, interactive NASA SPoRT Lightning Viewer. This presentation will include background information about Lightning A.I. and highlight results from this assessment. The feedback from the assessment will be used to inform research on any necessary modifications to this and future lightning products to assist end users.

Kelley Murphy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Upping the TEMPO on Air Pollution Observations from Space for Enhanced Science Applications

The Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) mission was launched into Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO) to 91°W longitude on April 7, 2023, and had a successful First Light period from July 31 – August 2 where the first hourly daytime scans across the TEMPO Field of Regard (FoR) covering greater North America were performed. First light images of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) were released to the public on August 24. In addition to NO2, TEMPO will provide hourly daytime observations of formaldehyde (HCHO), sulfur dioxide (SO2), ozone (O3), bromine (BrO), water vapor (H2O), and aerosols, at high spatial resolution (~2.0 x 4.75 km2) across the FoR. The hyperspectral ultraviolet-to-visible measurements from the TEMPO imaging grating spectrometer will permit an ozone profile retrieval capable of monitoring the diurnal evolution of ozone in the planetary boundary layer. The non-standard or special scan operations of TEMPO at sub-hourly frequency (e.g., 2-10 minutes) over selected slices of the FoR will further enhance monitoring capabilities during air quality disasters (e.g., wildfires, volcanic eruptions, dust storms, industrial accidents), research studies, and field campaign operations. A large diversity of stakeholders and end-users have been engaged in the TEMPO Early Adopters Program, supported by the NASA Applied Sciences Program, which aims to enhance health and air quality applications and maximize the societal benefit of TEMPO data when operational data becomes publicly available in the spring of 2024. Key outcomes from the Early Adopters Program include the pre-launch use of TEMPO proxy data to prepare the community for operational data, tailoring the data dissemination and visualization tools for the mission based on user needs, and enhancing the TEMPO special operations component of the mission through early adopter studies. This presentation will provide the latest TEMPO mission and Early Adopters Program updates, initiatives from the TEMPO special operations, and early demonstrations of science applications enabled through TEMPO data, while also showcasing the First Light imagery.

Air Quality↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Development of TEMPO Products and Tools to Support Air Quality Management Decisions

The TEMPO mission has been observing air pollutants every hour during the daytime across its Field of Regard (FoR) covering greater North America since First Light on August 2, 2023. The highly anticipated public release of TEMPO data occurred on May 20, 2024, consisting of level 2 and level 3 trace gas data products of nitrogen dioxide, formaldehyde, and ozone. Our project at the NASA SPoRT Center is developing value-added products and tools to support the TEMPO mission and Early Adopters program with special attention on the air quality management community. The initial focus of this project is evaluating the TEMPO products over stakeholder target areas using Pandora and surface monitor observations. Methods for oversampling TEMPO data to 1 km resolution are being applied over the target areas to resolve fine-scale emission sources and pollutant gradients. Machine learning techniques using TEMPO, surface monitor, and model data to estimate surface-level nitrogen dioxide concentrations are being developed over the target areas. Our SPoRT viewer has been updated to include visualizations of the TEMPO products and an ArcGIS dashboard is being designed for enabling air quality management stakeholders to efficiently analyze TEMPO data. Training materials including user guides are being developed to ensure the effective and sustained use of TEMPO data in air quality management applications. The major outcome of this project is to support the inclusion of TEMPO data in exceptional event demonstrations by active engagement with stakeholders and ultimately enable more informed air quality management decisions in the future. This talk will provide an update on our project activities and showcase use cases of TEMPO data for monitoring different emission sources including wildland fire smoke.

air quality↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Use of the SPoRT Stoplight Product to Support NWS Decision Support Services

The National Weather Service Forecast Offices (NWSFOs) use many weather tools and observational datasets to provide support for critical decision-making by core partners such as public safety officials, emergency managers, and first responders. These core partners who need weather decision support services (DSS) for outdoor events require up-to-the-minute weather information to ensure the safety and protection of attendees and workers. Storms and lightning, potentially deadly, pose a significant threat during outdoor events and are among the weather phenomena frequently cited as a DSS requirement. According to the National Lightning Safety Council, from 2014 up to August 2024, lightning resulted in 222 fatalities in the U.S. For outdoor events with hundreds to thousands of attendees, having the right tools to detect and monitor lightning activity is of utmost importance to protect lives. Common guidelines for lightning safety include moving inside a substantial structure at the first sight of threatening skies or the first sound of thunder, and waiting 30 minutes after the last lightning flash or thunder before returning outside. Using this guidance as a framework, scientists at the NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) center have developed the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) Stoplight tool. This experimental tool uses the GLM Flash Extent Density imagery to display the location and recency of lightning flashes. To simplify interpretation, these lightning pixels are color-coded in 10-minute bins, ranging from red (lightning detected 0 to 10 minutes ago) to yellow (10 to 20 minutes ago) to green (20 to 30 minutes ago). The Stoplight tool also allows users to place markers at the location of outdoor events with range rings around the location to help in assessing the location and relative age of lightning flashes near and upstream of the event. The goal is to help NWS forecasters provide core partners with the necessary information to make the best decisions possible. While the Stoplight tool is experimental, forecasters at NWSFO Raleigh, NC, have periodically used the Stoplight guidance to evaluate its utility within NWS DSS. This presentation will discuss how the Stoplight tool was successfully used for DSS for four outdoor events in central NC in 2023 and 2024. Future improvements to this tool, including the addition of AI applications and the merging of ground-based lightning data with GLM data, will be reviewed.

Gail Hartfield↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Transitioning TEMPO Data for Air Quality Management Applications at the NASA SPoRT Center

The TEMPO mission has been observing air pollutants every hour during the daytime across its Field of Regard (FoR) covering greater North America since First Light on August 2, 2023. The highly anticipated public release of TEMPO data occurred on May 20, 2024, consisting of level 2 and level 3 trace gas data products of nitrogen dioxide, formaldehyde, and ozone. The NASA SPoRT Center is developing value-added products and tools to support the TEMPO mission and Early Adopters program with special attention on stakeholder from air agencies. One component of our work is focused on evaluating the TEMPO products over stakeholder target areas using Pandora and surface monitor observations to characterize the uncertainties and develop best practices for processing and analyzing TEMPO data. Methods for oversampling TEMPO data to 1 km resolution are being applied over the target areas to resolve fine-scale emission sources and pollutant gradients. Machine learning techniques using TEMPO, surface monitor, and model data to estimate surface-level nitrogen dioxide concentrations are being developed over the target areas. A SPoRT viewer for TEMPO has been launched for providing visualizations of the TEMPO products and an ArcGIS dashboard is being designed for enabling air agency stakeholders to efficiently analyze TEMPO data. Training materials including user guides are being developed to ensure the effective and sustained use of TEMPO data at our stakeholder agencies. One major goal of our TEMPO initiatives at SPoRT is to better enable the inclusion of TEMPO data in air quality management applications such as exceptional event demonstrations through our close engagement with stakeholders. This talk will provide an update on our SPoRT activities and showcase use cases of TEMPO data for monitoring different emission sources including wildland fire smoke.

Air Quality↗