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Kristopher Bedka

Publications and source records attributed to Kristopher Bedka.

30 records · Page 2
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Toward The Development of Hailstorm Climatologies Derived From Reanalyses and Infared/Passive Microwave Satellite Imagers

Geostationary satellite imagers, such as those of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) and Meteosat series, provide both historical and near-real-time observations of cloud top patterns that are commonly associated with severe convection. Environmental conditions favorable for severe weather are thought to be represented well by reanalyses. Predicting exactly where convection and costly storm hazards like hail will occur using models or satellite imagery alone, however, is extremely challenging. The multivariate combination of satellite-observed cloud patterns with reanalysis environmental parameters, linked to United States Next Generation Weather Radar- (NEXRAD-) estimated Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) using a deep neural network (DNN), enables estimation of potentially severe hail likelihood for any observed storm cell. These estimates are specifically designed to make hail likelihood distinctions based on satellite-indicated points of deep convection within environments favorable for storm development. We seek an approach that can be used to estimate climatological hailstorm frequency and risk throughout the historical satellite data record. This presentation demonstrates that statistical distributions of convective parameters from satellite and reanalysis show separation between non-severe/severe hailstorm classes for predictors including overshooting cloud top temperature and area characteristics, convective available potential energy, vertical wind shear, 500 hPa temperature, mid-level lapse rate, precipitable water, and convective inhibition. These complex, multivariate predictor relationships are exploited within a DNN to produce a hail likelihood metric with a critical success index of 0.504 and Heidke skill score of 0.403, which is exceptional among recent analogous hail studies. Furthermore, applications of the DNN to select case studies demonstrate good qualitative agreement between hail likelihood and MESH. These hail classifications are aggregated across an 11-year GOES-12/13 image database to derive a hail frequency and severity climatology, which denotes the Central Plains, the Midwest, and northwestern Mexico as being the most hail-prone regions within the domain studied. Opportunities for training and applying DNN-based hailstorm predictions to recently developed GOES-8/10/12/13/16 and Meteosat Second Generation convective storm detection and characterization climatologies over South America and South Africa, respectively, will also be presented.

Kristopher Bedka↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

AWP: NASA's Aerosol Wind Profiler Coherent Doppler Wind Lidar

A new airborne coherent Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) instrument has been implemented leveraging NASA's development of the 2-micron Wind-Space Pathfinder (Wind-SP) lidar transceiver. A technology development project, Wind-SP refined and demonstrated numerous components required for a coherent-detection space wind lidar instrument. Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) transitioned this transceiver into an airborne wind lidar capable of providing full 3-D wind vector retrievals. AWP operates with laser pulse energy and repetition rate combination required for high spatial and vertical resolution wind profiling from space. Operation from aircraft platforms will yield very strong signal return required for detailed process studies at <2km spatial and <100m vertical resolution under most conditions. AWP will serve as NASA’s wind calibration and validation instrument for future space-based wind observations over the coming decades, while also providing data supporting space wind lidar simulation studies. The AWP instrument is introduced and preliminary results from recent AWP demonstration flights are presented.

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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA’s Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) Coherent Doppler Wind LiDAR

NASA’s Langley Research Center recently completed development of the Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) suborbital, 2 µm coherent Doppler wind lidar (CDWL) instrument. The AWP instrument is presented, and the Jan 2023 flight demonstration configuration is described. Data from these demonstration flights are presented. AWP was developed with support from NASA’s Earth Science Technology Office, Earth Science Division, and LaRC Science Directorate.

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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Coherent Doppler Wind Lidar Suborbital and Orbital Activities at NASA Langley Research Center

NASA’s Langley Research Center recently completed development of the Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) suborbital coherent Doppler wind lidar (CDWL) instrument. Developed with support from NASA’s Earth Science Technology Office, Earth Science Division, and LaRC Science Directorate, the AWP project adapted the Wind-SP 2 µm transceiver for airborne use. AWP successfully completed demonstration and engineering test flights in January 2023. LaRC has been funded by a NOAA Joint Venture program Suborbital 3-D Wind Measurement Demonstration project to collect and provide AWP data. The first campaign collected > 50 hours of data during the October 2023 EcoDemonstrator campaign on the NASA DC-8, samples of which will be presented here. AWP implemented and demonstrated multiple technologies needed for a space CDWL transceiver, which have continued development towards miniaturization and ruggedization. A space-based CDWL study is being completed that leverages these recent developments, informing a vision for a relatively low-cost orbital CDWL mission that will also be introduced.

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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Long-Term GOES Satellite Overshooting Cloud Top and Anvil Cloud Climatology Over South America

The modern-era GOES satellite series began in 1994 with the GOES-8 satellite, and was augmented in 2018 with higher spatial resolution and more frequent imaging when GOES-16 became operational. GOES imagery has provided forecasters and researchers new perspectives into cloud top patterns associated with severe convection, and the ability to better forecast convection in regions without adequate ground-based weather radar coverage. While much attention has been given to convection over North America, convection over South America can be equally, if not more, intense and frequent. Recent studies have demonstrated that overshooting cloud tops (OT) and surrounding anvil clouds can be detected within infrared satellite imagery. Relative storm updraft intensity metrics such as the tropopause-relative infrared brightness temperature, the prominence of an OT relative to its surrounding anvil, and cloud top height can also be derived using automated methods combined with reanalysis data. These automated OT detection and intensity estimation methods have recently been applied to all GOES images collected over South America, in combination with the MERRA-2 reanalysis, from 1995 to 2022 at NASA Langley within a project supported by the NASA Applied Sciences Disasters program. Innovative aggregation methods have merged these products into daily, monthly, annual, and multi-annual composites, with hourly time bins, at ~4 km pixel spacing to enable researchers a new opportunity to study South American convective processes throughout the diurnal cycle. These products have recently become publicly available from NASA. This presentation will overview this new dataset, and novel insights into South American convection depicted by the data.

Kristopher Bedka↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Quantifying Tropopause-Overshooting Volume from Satellite and Radar Observations During the DCOTSS 2021 and 2022 Campaigns

Tropopause-overshooting cloud locations, their volume, and the percentage of anvil cloud occupied by overshooting were quantified from state-of-the-art merged NEXRAD radar and GOES-16/17 satellite products during the 2021 and 2022 Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) study periods. A novel method for defining and tracking large individual storms or storm outbreak objects in space and time was presented, which enabled improved understanding of the complex feature-specific biases among GOES- and GridRad-derived overshooting metrics. GOES overshooting cloud top height was estimated using a stratospheric lapse rate approach informed by GOES visible and IR measurements of shadows from OTs and calibrated based on previously observed maximum GridRad overshooting distribution. Total overshooting volumes derived over CONUS are higher for GOES than GridRad for both years, especially during 2021. Over all storm outbreak objects with observed overshooting, GOES observed higher overshooting percentages while GridRad observed relatively higher overshooting magnitudes. The greater spatial coverage of GOES overshooting, especially noticeable during the mature and dissipation stages of outbreaks due to inherent limitations of infrared satellite data which make it difficult to differentiate cold, high-altitude outflow from true updraft cores, outweighed differences in magnitude to yield higher GOES volume. Individual events, however, revealed that the higher overshooting magnitudes observed by GridRad produce higher overshooting volumes at times. Four-dimensional trajectories of tropopause-overshooting air parcels were compared 5 days after overshooting occurred to depict the envelope of convectively impacted air in the stratosphere. The generally good agreement in parcel plume area initiated from GOES and GridRad overshooting detections suggests that geostationary satellite data can be used to estimate where and how often overshooting impacts stratospheric composition in regions without a ground-based weather radar network to estimate climate impacts of overshooting convection.

Kristopher Bedka↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) Doppler Wind Lidar Airborne Observations During the NOAA Joint Venture 3-D Wind Measurement Demonstration and NASA Active-Passive Profiling Experiment (APEX)

The NASA Langley Research Center (LaRC) has recently completed development of the Aerosol Wind Profiler (AWP) airborne Doppler wind lidar (DWL) instrument. AWP was supported by the NASA Earth Science Technology Office and the Earth Science Division, a project that adapted the Wind-Space Pathfinder (Wind-SP) DWL transceiver onto a structure for flight aboard a variety of NASA research aircraft. AWP demonstrates many technologies required for a space DWL mission, including a coherent-detection, optical heterodyne laser transmitter with high pulse energy (up to ~55 mJ) and repetition rate (200 Hz), electronic control of the beam path allowing for multiple viewing angles (allowing vector wind measurements) with no moving parts, compact highly-stable and tunable reference lasers allowing for high-precision measurement of velocity at long ranges while mitigating the impact of satellite platform velocity, and many others. AWP represents NASA’s only currently operational airborne 3-D wind profiling sensor. NASA LaRC was selected by the NOAA Joint Venture (JV) program to conduct a suborbital 3-D Wind measurement campaign demonstrate how data from a coherent-detection DWL like AWP could serve NOAA’s weather analysis and forecasting needs. The NOAA JV program is designed to work with the private sector, academia and other federal agencies to explore the feasibility and capability of emerging technologies spacecraft and other mission-specific tools to meet NOAA’s mission requirements. AWP was initially demonstrated on the NASA DC-8 within this JV program in October 2023, piggybacking on the NASA EcoDemonstrator mission focused on in-situ sampling of jet aircraft emissions and contrail formation from Everett, Washington. The in-situ sampling resulted in very frequent and rapid aircraft attitude changes which unfortunately degraded AWP data quality. But, during times with level flight and AVAPS dropsonde operations, AWP demonstrated excellent precision (< 2 m/s RMS) with high vertical (< 100 meter) resolution and 2 km spacing between profiles. AWP will be flown again on the NASA LaRC Gulfstream-3 from mid-September to mid-October 2024 out of Hampton, VA to complete the NOAA JV 3-D wind demonstration. Additional AWP flights will occur in early November from southern California during the NASA Active-Passive Profiling Experiment (APEX), focused on underflights of the NASA ER-2 equipped with many atmospheric profiling sensors. This presentation will summarize AWP measurements collected during these two fall 2024 flight campaigns, and how the AWP data compares with AVAPS dropsonde, NOAA weather prediction model, and GOES atmospheric motion vector data.

Kristopher Bedka↗