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Kung, Ernest C.

Publications and source records attributed to Kung, Ernest C..

Long range forecasts of the Northern Hemisphere anomalies with antecedent sea surface temperature patterns

The contract research has been conducted in the following three major areas: analysis of numerical simulations and parallel observations of atmospheric blocking, diagnosis of the lower boundary heating and the response of the atmospheric circulation, and comprehensive assessment of long-range forecasting with numerical and regression methods. The essential scientific and developmental purpose of this contract research is to extend our capability of numerical weather forecasting by the comprehensive general circulation model. The systematic work as listed above is thus geared to developing a technological basis for future NASA long-range forecasting.

Kung, Ernest C.

An analysis of simulated summer blocking episodes

A summer simulation using high-resolution Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres GCM with realistic ocean surface temperatures has been able to generate persistent blocking events in Eurasia and the eastern Pacific during the 46-day period from July 1 to August 15, 1979. The generation of summer blocking episodes appears to be due at least partly to heating at the surface boundary over both the oceanic and continental areas. A control run with the SST climatology failed to produce such blockings in the late portion of the simulation. It is shown that there is considerable forecast skill in the area of the blocking circulations, particularly in the confluence area downstream. It appears that, with updated SSTs, simulation of realistic summer blocking episodes in the Northern Hemisphere is possible at least for a one-and-a-half month period, with a high forecast skill when the blocking pattern develops or is reinforced.

Kung, Ernest C.

Energetics diagnosis of numerical simulation of atmospheric blocking

A series of systematic comprehensive diagnoses of Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) General Circulation Model (GCM) simulation experiments was performed in reference to predictability and energetics of the Northern Hemisphere blocking circulation. The simulation experiments were performed. The following subject areas are also covered: an analysis of simulated summer blocking episodes; energetics examination of winter blocking simulations in the Northern Hemisphere; normal mode energetic and error analysis of GLA GCM simulations with the different horizontal resolutions during a winter month; and simulations of winter blocking episodes using observed sea surface temperatures.

Kung, Ernest C.

Simulations of winter blocking episodes using observed sea surface temperatures

The formation of major Northern Hemisphere blockings during January 1979 is studied in numerical simulations of the global atmosphere with a sea surface temperature (SST) field updated with observations during the model integration. Both the standard 4 x 5 degrees latitude-longitude and high-resolution 2 x 2.5 degrees versions of the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres general circulation models (GCMs) are employed. The SST field is provided by a blend analysis of in situ and satellite-retrieved data. The simulations by the high-resolution GCM with a realistic SST field of the ocean surface are shown to be capable of producing two successive realistic major blockings in the Pacific and Atlantic through a one-month period. The skill in predicting the blocking formation as obtained in the simulations is due to improved skill in forecasting of ultralog waves. Although the results are encouraging, only one initial state is involved in this series of simulations; therefore, the results should not be generalized yet at this stage of investigation.

Kung, Ernest C.

Energetics examination of winter blocking simulations in the Northern Hemisphere

Four numerical simulations of the global atmosphere for January 1979 are analyzed to study the formation of blocking in terms of Northern Hemisphere energetics. The Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) 4 x 5 deg latitude-longitude grid general circulation model (GCM) and 2 x 2.5 deg grid GCM are employed with the GLA and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory initial datasets. Among four simulations, the simulations by the high resolution GCM produce realistically strong blockings with compatible spectral energetics as in the observed blockings episodes. The latitude-height cross sections of the energy variables of wavenumber 1 is presented to describe the dipole structure of blockings. Blocking development is also examined in time series of barotropic and baroclinic components of energy and associated conversions.

Kung, Ernest C.

Principal components of the North American summer temperature field and the antecedent oceanic and atmospheric conditions

The North American summer temperature field is evaluated in terms of the preceding patterns of the ocean and atmosphere. It is found that the planetary scale circulation associated with the thermal field over the western tropical Pacific and the ocean-atmosphere interaction over the central North Pacific-Aleutian region are important in determining the summer surface temperature pattern over North America. Also, evidence is presented for the possible impact of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the summer circulation pattern. It is suggested that by using the principal components, the predictability of regional circulation can be evaluated as a linear combination of independent sources of variability.

Park, Chung-Kyu

Spectral energetics of the observed and simulated Northern Hemisphere general circulation during blocking episodes

The spectral energetics of the Northern Hemisphere circulation during blocking episodes of the FGGE year is investigated with gridded analyses of observational data and parallel simulation experiments. The purpose of this study is to describe the energetics distinctions of the observed and simulated blockings in the context of the general circulation and to assess the capability of the model to simulate blockings. In the observed circulation a pronounced winter blocking is developed and maintained by the nonlinear wave-wave interaction L(1) from the kinetic energy source for n = 3-10, where L(n) is the transfer of eddy kinetic energy from all other wavenumbers to wavenumber n. In the case of the double blocking in the winter, both L(1) and L(2) support the blocking. The kinetic energy source of n = 10 for upscale input at n = 1 and 2 is supported by the baroclinic conversion at n = 3-10. The simulated winter circulation shows strong baroclinic conversion at all wavenumbers, including ultralong waves. However, the simulation fails to produce pronounced blocking for the absence of L(1), and the converted energy cascades down to shorter waves. The wave-mean transfer of kinetic energy from the large-scale disturbances to the zonal mean component further prevents the accumulation of the kinetic energy at the ultralong waves. In contrast to the winter situation, the summer blocking seems to be directly supported by both L(4) and baroclinic conversion at other planetary-scale waves. Consequently, the summer circulation is better simulated than the winter circulation.

Kung, Ernest C.

Energetics analysis of the observed and simulated general circulation using three-dimensional normal mode expansions

The energetics characteristics of the observed and simulated general circulation are analyzed using three-dimensional normal mode expansions. The data sets involved are the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) analysis and simulation data and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) analysis data. The spectral energy properties of the Rossby and gravity modes and energy transformations are presented. Significant influences of model characteristics and the assimilation techniques are observed in the barotropic energy spectrum, particularly for the gravity mode. Energy transformations of the zonal mean field in the GLA analysis and simulation are similar, but distinctly different from that in the GFDL analysis. However, overall, the energy generation in the baroclinic mode is largely balanced by the sink in the barotropic mode. The present study may demonstrate utilities of the three-dimensional normal mode energetics in the analysis of the general circulation.

Tanaka, Hiroshi

Comparative energetics diagnosis of the observed and simulated blockings in the Northern Hemisphere

The blocking phenomena, in particular winter blocking, are stuided using energetic diagnostics. Sequences of blockings during the FGGE winter and summer in observed and simulated circulations, and energy transformations associated with blockings are examined. It is observed that the simulation of the Northern Hemisphere circulation correlates better with the observed circulation during summer than during winter. It is noted that the observed winter blockings are maintained by the supply of kinetic energy to the ultralong waves from the shorter cyclone scales through nonlinear wave-wave interaction; in the simulated winter blocking, the energy converted at the cyclone scale cascades down to the shorter wave range; and the summer blockings are supported by the baroclinic conversion of long waves in both the observed and simulated circulations.

Kung, Ernest C.

Global energetics analysis using 3-dimensional normal mode decomposition

The Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheric Sciences (GLAS) analysis of the FGGE observations for a 25-day period in January 1979 is examined using the normal mode energetics scheme. The results from the energetics analysis are compared with the data of Tanaka (1985). Kinetic energy spectra of the barotropic mode in the meridional-mode and frequency domains, and the total diabatic process are studied. It is observed that there are significant differences between GLAS and GFDL analyses results in the barotropic energy of gravity modes and the normal energetics scheme is applicable as a diagnostic tool.

Tanaka, Hiroshi