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Kurzeja, Robert J.

Publications and source records attributed to Kurzeja, Robert J..

Realistic large eddy and dispersion simulation experiments during project sagebrush phase 1

Typical dispersion simulations use mesoscale models at grid spacing greater than 1 km to simulate pollutant transport. Advances in computing power have allowed Large Eddy Simulations (LES), (grid spacing less than 100 m) to be run with boundary conditions in the grayscale regime (grid size of 1 km–100 m). We used the WRF mesoscale/LES model and the HYSPLIT particle dispersion model to simulate SF 6 transport from Project Sagebrush Phase 1, using a grayscale-aware scheme with 4 nests of 3 km, 1 km, 200 m, 67 m. The WRF/LES simulation was in satisfactory agreement with meteorological observations but the HYSPLIT SF6 simulations indicated insufficient sub-grid turbulence kinetic energy, especially in the lowest 100 m. This resulted in over predictions of the surface SF6 concentration and insufficient vertical transport. Best agreement with the Sagebrush observations was obtained with the WRF/LES large-scale and sub-grid turbulence, enhanced with a HYSPLIT parameterized turbulence profile.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evaluation and Uncertainty of Radioxenon Transport with a Mesoscale Model after the February 2013 Underground Test in North Korea

Abstract The transport of radioxenon released from the February 2013 underground nuclear weapons test in North Korea was analyzed at two receptors—one at the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty site Rn58 in Russia (400 km downwind) and a second at Rn38 in Japan (1000 km downwind). Transport was modeled with two ensembles of mesoscale simulations, one generated with varying initial and lateral boundary conditions taken from the Global Forecasting System uncertainty ensemble, and a second created from different parameterizations and surface conditions. The wind variability was similar for the two ensembles and consistent with observations at 925 mb (1 mb = 1 hPa) but not at the surface. Biases in calculated surface winds and the radioxenon concentration in the ensembles were attributed mainly to poor simulation of the sea breeze at both locations and mountain lee affects at Rn38 in Japan. These wind regimes affected the timing of the surface radioxenon plume at Rn58 and its duration at Rn38. Surface wind variability induced by terrain and land–sea contrast (the sea breeze) also had a significant effect on the surface winds and plume dynamics, including blocking of flow approaching elevated terrain near Vladivostok and the west side of Japan. Increased plume uncertainty was seen at night because of surface wind variability. Measured surface chemical variability was larger than found in the first European Tracer Experiment in central Europe. The study found that horizontal model resolution contributes to uncertainty but not as much as vertical resolution, boundary layer parameterizations, and assimilation of surface meteorological data near the receptor.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Description of data on the Nimbus 7 LIMS map archive tape: Water vapor and nitrogen dioxide

Described is the process by which the analysis of the Limb Infrared Monitor of the Stratosphere (LIMS) experiment data were used to produce estimates of synoptic maps of water vapor and nitrogen dioxide. In addition to a detailed description of the analysis procedure, also discussed are several interesting features in the data which are used to demonstrate how the analysis procedure produced the final maps and how one can estimate the uncertainties in the maps. In addition, features in the analysis are noted that would influence how one might use, or interpret, the results. These include subjects such as smoothing and the interpretation of wave components.

Haggard, Kenneth V.↗