Engineering topics

Ladd-Lively, Jennifer

Publications and source records attributed to Ladd-Lively, Jennifer.

7 records

DOE OSTI2024

Physics-Based Machine Learning Methods for U-235 Forensics Signatures

Signatures of low-intensity U-235 sources have been recently studied by utilizing a variety of machine learning (ML) classifiers using features derived from gamma spectral measurements collectedunder structured campaigns. Several ML classifiers, such as ensemble of tress and classification trees, revealed misleadingly-optimistic training error due to over-fitting, and furthermore,their performance is not directly relatable to the physical properties due to their data-driven, opaque designs. We present a regression-based ML method that first estimates the inverse distanceto the source and then utilizes a threshold to infer its presence, by representing the background as a source located at an infinite distance. For the inverse distance estimation, we study the ensembleof trees and Gaussian process regression methods, and a hyper parameter auto-tuning and selection method that employs five regression estimators. These methods avoid the over-fittingobserved in several ML classifiers, while providing the classification error nearly comparable to them based on independent test data. Their error is directly related to estimates of the inversephysical distance to source, and the precision of error determines the seperability property that determines the false alarm and missed detection rates. The property of monotonic decrease of thesource strength with increasing detector distance combined with Poisson distribution of measurements is utilized to analytically validate these methods by deriving the generalization equations ofunderlying regression methods.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2024

Physics-Based Machine Learning Methods for U-235 Forensics Signatures

Signatures of low-intensity U-235 sources have been recently studied by utilizing a variety of machine learning (ML) classifiers using features derived from gamma spectral measurements collected under structured campaigns. Several ML classifiers, such as ensemble of tress and classification trees, revealed misleadingly-optimistic training error due to over-fitting, and furthermore, their performance is not directly relatable to the physical properties due to their data-driven, opaque designs. We present a regression-based ML method that first estimates the inverse distance to the source and then utilizes a threshold to infer its presence, by representing the background as a source located at an infinite distance. For the inverse distance estimation, we study the ensemble of trees and Gaussian process regression methods, and a hyper parameter auto-tuning and selection method that employs five regression estimators. These methods avoid the over-fitting observed in several ML classifiers, while providing the classification error nearly comparable to them based on independent test data. Their error is directly related to estimates of the inverse physical distance to source, and the precision of error determines the seperability property that determines the false alarm and missed detection rates. The property of monotonic decrease of the source strength with increasing detector distance combined with Poisson distribution of measurements is utilized to analytically validate these methods by deriving the generalization equations of underlying regression methods.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2023

Classification Analytics of Pu-239 and U-235 Source Signatures Using Gamma Spectral Regions

Machine learning detection methods using gamma signatures from spectral measurements of low-intensity Pu-239 and U-235 sources are studied. NaI detectors located at different distances fromthe source have been used to collect the training and independent testing data sets. The source is introduced via a shielded conduit into the facility where it is surrounded by 21 NaI detectors deployed over 6 x 6 meters area in the formation of two concentric circles and a spiral. The counts in gamma spectral regions associated with these two sources are estimated at 1 second intervals for each NaI detector, and are used as classifier features for detecting the source presence. Eight different classifiers with five basic properties — namely, smooth, non-smooth, statistical, structural, and hyper-parameter tuning — are trained and tested using the background and source measurements collected over multiple experimental runs. While the overall classifier performance improved as detectors closer to the source are used, some identically produced detectors under-performed but differently between two sources. Some classifiers achieved lower training error but their testing error based on independent measurements is higher for both sources. Overall, these results indicate significant over-fitting by these methods, and illustrate the complexity of training and selecting the machine learning methods to solve these detection problems.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2023

Selection of Training Sets for 235U Source Detection Classifiers Using Gamma Signatures

The machine learning methods for classifiers to detect low level radiation sources are of interest when suitable training data sets are available. Their application and performance assessment, however, involves the aspects of over-fitting and training data selection that are somewhat uncommon in other existing methods for this task.We study U-235 gamma signatures using data sets collected by 21 NaI detectors under controlled conditions. The gamma spectra are collected by the detectors located at different distances from the source, and we study their choice as training sets for classifiers to detect a source. The detectors form the near, middle and outer groups based on the distance to source. The classifiers based on the outer group are susceptible to over-fitting, that is, they achieve low training error but incur much higher testing error in independent tests. The other two groups achieve lower training error and comparable testing error, and the near group achieves the overall lowest error. In detecting a source at an unknown distance, the farther detectors in the middle group achieve the overall lowest testing error with limited over-fitting, thereby indicating the complex dependencies between the training and classifier performance.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2022

On Feature, Classifier and Detector Fusers for 235U Signatures Using Gamma Spectral Counts

Three types of information fusion strategies are studied to assess the performance of classifiers for detecting low-level 235 U radiation sources, using features obtained from gamma spectra of NaI detectors. These three strategies are based on using two spectral region features, fusing eight classifiers of diverse designs, and fusing multiple detectors located at different positions around the source. The inner, middle and outer groups of detectors, within a formation of two concentric circles and a spiral of 21 detectors, are identified based on their distance to the source, which is located at the center. This study provides two main qualitative insights into this classification task. First, the fusion of detectors leads to an overall improved classification performance, least in the inner group, most in the outer group, and in between for the middle group. Second, several classifiers and fusers achieve lower training error which does not translate to lower generalization error, indicating their over-fitting to training data.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2022

On Feature, Classifier and Detector Fusers for U-235 Signatures Using Gamma Spectral Counts

Three types of information fusion strategies are studied to assess the performance of classifiers for detecting low-level U-235 radiation sources, using features obtained from gamma spectra of NaI detectors. These three strategies are based on using two spectral region features, fusing eight classifiers of diverse designs, and fusing multiple detectors located at different positions around the source. The inner, middle and outer groups of detectors, within a formation of two concentric circles and a spiral of 21 detectors, are identified based on their distance to the source, which is located at the center. This study provides two main qualitative insights into this classification task. First,the fusion of detectors leads to an overall improved classification performance, least in the inner group, most in the outer group, and in between for the middle group. Second, several classifiers and fusers achieve lower training error which does not translate to lower generalization error, indicating their over-fitting to training data.

Rao, Nageswara↗

DOE OSTI2022

Study of Classifiers for U-235 Source Signatures Using Gamma Spectral Measurements

Signatures associated with low-level U-235 sources are studied from a classification analytics perspective, using NaI gamma-ray spectral measurements from detectors located at various distances from the source. Data sets collected at a shielded facility are utilized, wherein the source is introduced via a conduit into a formation of 21 NaI detectors deployed over 6 x 6 meters area in a formation of two concentric circles and one spiral. The activity levels in the spectral regions associated with potential U-235 signatures are estimated as counts at 1 second intervals, and are used as features to train classifiers for detecting the presence of the source. Eight different classifiers are trained and tested using the background and source measurements collected over multiple experimental runs. As expected, the classifier performance improved overall as measurements from the detectors closer to source are used, but also revealed unexpectedly low performance by two detectors that are identically produced and configured as others. Six of eight classifiers have an overall comparable performance, for example, three of them achieved zero training error and 99% detection at 4% false alarm rate for a detector located 1.3 meters away from the source. Also, larger training sets led to improved classification performance across all classifiers, and interestingly, the classifiers with the minimum training error did not necessarily achieve the highest classification performance on test data.

Rao, Nageswara↗