Accelerating Antarctic Research Amid Rapid Changes
We must prioritize diversity, scientific communication and team-based science to keep up with rapid Antarctic ice and climate change.
Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Lettie A. Roach.
We must prioritize diversity, scientific communication and team-based science to keep up with rapid Antarctic ice and climate change.
Antarctic sea ice extent was the lowest on record in 2023, with an annual mean of 9.81 million km 2 , beating the previous minimum of 2022. Arctic sea ice extent was also low, with an annual mean of 10.49 million km 2 , but did not break any records.
Here we investigate the role of the atmospheric circulation in AMOC by comparing a fully-coupled large ensemble, a forced-ocean simulation, and new experiments using a fully-coupled global climate model where winds above the boundary layer are nudged towards reanalysis. When winds are nudged north of 45°N, agreement with RAPID array observations of AMOC at 26.5°N improves across several metrics. The phasing of interannual variability is well-captured due to the response of the local Ekman component in both wind-nudging and forced-ocean simulations, however the variance remains underestimated. The mean AMOC strength is substantially reduced relative to the fully-coupled model large ensemble, which is biased high, due to the impact of winds on surface buoyancy fluxes over the subpolar gyre. Nudging winds towards observations also reduces the 1979-2016 trend in AMOC, suggesting that improvement in the representation of the high-latitude atmosphere is important for projecting long-term AMOC changes.
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