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Liu, Joseph J. F.

Publications and source records attributed to Liu, Joseph J. F..

NORAD satellite tracking

NORAD routinely tracks about 6000 orbiting objects. During the last 30 days of orbital time, prior to reentry, special perturbations are used in the orbital update procedure. Besides routine orbit determination, NORAD does special tasks such as predicting satellite orbit conjunctions within 20 km, ephimerides of weather satellites, satellite decay predictions and other studies. Since their mission is operational, they do not store the data from their analyses. The ballistic coefficient is not known for most of the orbiting objects. If a ballistic coefficient were derived that was consistent with one density model, it might give erroneous results if used with a different density model. Given the ballistic coefficient, density values could, in principle, be obtained from their tracking data. The densities would represent an integrated mean over the orbital path near perigee. They would be model dependent and would not necessarily represent the real density. In summary, the primary need is for reliable forecasts of solar flux (F10.7) and geomagnetic activity (Ap) in the 1 to 4 week time scale. Forecasts over longer time spans would also be useful for special projects.

Liu, Joseph J. F.

NORAD/SPACECMD comments concerning the atmospheric density models

Recent models do not produce more accurate neutral densities (although they require more computer time), regardless of the level of solar activity. This implies that there has been no measurable improvement of the calculation of neutral density since the early 60s. With known solar flux and geomagnetic activity (Ap) inputs, the density evaluation needs improvement. For highly eccentric orbits which span low to high altitude, the accuracy generated which has an altitude limitation of 1000 km remains comparable with those obtained by more recent models. This implies that either the density at 1000 km and above is insignificant or that the values provided by the recent models at high altitudes may not be reliable or both. Prediction accuracies obtained through the use of precision data from the Defense Mapping Agency are generally comparable to those obtained by using operational sensor data. This implies that the prediction accuracy problem is not necessarily caused by less accurate observations. The definition of the mean solar flux F10.7 is not universal.

Liu, Joseph J. F.