Engineering topics
Publications and source records attributed to Lorden, G..
Assortments analyzed for cost effectiveness and effects on system functionality. Eisenberger-Maiocco algorithm (EMA) is efficient Markov algorithm to aid in provision of spare parts. Two calculations performed: forecasting availability of system with given pool of spare parts and determining most cost-effective assortment of spares. EMA written in interpreter PC-BASIC.
At very low signal to noise ratios such as those that Voyager 2 will encounter at Uranus, the performance of the Reed-Solomon/Viterbi concatenated coding system could be seriously degraded by loss of node synchronization by the Viterbi decoder. This problem is described and now it can be almost completely avoided with a simple outboard hardware 'node synchronizer'. This device makes statistical decisions about node sync based on the hard quantized undecoded data stream. In a worst case Voyager-like environment, our method will detect and correct a true loss of node sync (thought to be a very rare event) within several hundred bits; many of these false alarms for our technique is on the order several years. Previously announced in STAR as N83-28028
At very low signal to noise ratios such as those that Voyager 2 will encounter at Uranus, the performance of the Reed-Solomon/Viterbi concatenated coding system could be seriously degraded by loss of node synchronization by the Viterbi decoder. This problem is described and now it can be almost completely avoided with a simple outboard hardware ""node synchronizer''. This device makes statistical decisions about node sync based on the hard quantized undecoded data stream. In a worst case Voyager-like environment, our method will detect and correct a true loss of node sync (thought to be a very rate event) within several hundred bits; many of these false alarms for our technique is on the order several years.
Simple method for life-cycle cost (LCC) estimation avoids pitfalls inherent in formulations requiring separate estimates of inflation and interest rates. Method depends for validity observation that interest and inflation rates closely track each other.
The data base collected during a six month demonstration of an automated Deep Space Station (DSS 13) run unattended and remotely controlled is summarized. During this period, DSS 13 received spacecraft telemetry data from Voyager, Pioneers 10 and 11, and Helios projects. Corrective and preventive maintenance are reported by subsystem including the traditional subsystems and those subsystems added for the automation demonstration. Operations and maintenance data for a comparable manned Deep Space Station (DSS 11) are also presented for comparison. The data suggests that unattended operations may reduce maintenance manhours in addition to reducing operator manhours. Corrective maintenance for the unmanned station was about one third of the manned station, and preventive maintenance was about one half.
A model is formulated to describe the effect of the time interval chosen for preventive maintenance upon the frequency of failure and frequency of total maintenance. Trade-offs between these two frequencies are determined by computation of an optimal interval in the case where the failure distribution is known. For unknown distributions, an adaptive statistical technique is developed that converges to an optimal preventive maintenance interval. A numerical illustration is given.
The maintenance data base collected for 15 weeks of recent unattended and automated operation of DSS 13 is summarized. During this period, DSS 13 was receiving spacecraft telemetry while being controlled remotely from JPL in Pasadena. Corrective and preventive maintenance manhours are reported by subsystem for DSS 13 including the equipment added for the automation demonstration. The corrective and preventive maintenance weekly manhours at DSS 13 averaged 22 and 40, respectively. The antenna hydraulic and electronic systems accounted for about half of the preventive and corrective maintenance manhours for a comparable attended DSN station, DSS 11.
A summary is given of the data base collected for nine weeks of Deep Space Station II. Life cycle cost parameters on efficiency and productivity ratios, costs, and telemetry were calculated from this data base.
The goals and data collection requirements to be used for the economic and performance evaluation indexes and life cycle cost parameters for the upcoming operations demonstration of an automated Deep Space Station (DSS) run unattended and controlled remotely from JPL are presented. These evaluation indexes compare the remote operation of telemetry at DSS 13 with the cost and performance of a comparable manned operation at DSS 11. A description is presented of the data that needs to be collected, how the data will be analyzed, and what can and cannot be learned from this operations demonstration.
The effect of projected interest and inflation rates on life cycle cost calculations is discussed and a method is proposed for making such calculations which replaces these rates by a single parameter. Besides simplifying the analysis, the method clarifies the roles of these rates. An analysis of historical interest and inflation rates from 1950 to 1976 shows that the proposed method can be expected to yield very good projections of life cycle cost even if the rates themselves fluctuate considerably.
A method is proposed to maintain cost-effective spares stockpiles for an entire DSN station or complex as new modules or subsystems are continuously added. Levels of spares are calculated individually for each new module type so as to conform to an established standard for the entire spares pool. Finding the spares levels is computationally simplified and in many cases is reduced to consulting a Down-Time Ratio Chart. A simple modification permits taking into account a criticality factor.
The history and methodology of life-cycle costing are presented and analyzed, contrasting the potential benefits of the technique with the difficulties of its application. Examples and a short survey of the literature are given.
Systematic detection policies and Monte Carlo experiments on increased failure rate