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Lupo, Anthony R.

Publications and source records attributed to Lupo, Anthony R..

Special Issue: 10th Anniversary of Atmosphere: Climatology and Meteorology

During the last decade, the number of open access science journals has increased, and these have become an avenue for publishing quality science in a relatively fast and economical way. The Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) journal Atmosphere published its first volume in 2010, and recently celebrated 10 years with the publication of this special commemorative issue. Atmosphere is a peer reviewed, open access journal described as cross disciplinary. Furthermore, the journal attracts authorship from across the globe. During the first few years, the regular issue of Atmosphere was a quarterly publication, but, by 2019, was issued each month. Furthermore, the journal publishes research articles and notes, communications, review articles, and case studies, as well as timely Special Issues.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A diagnosis of the development of a winter anticyclone over North America

This paper examines the 48-h life cycle of a winter anticyclone occurring over North America from 18 to 20 January 1979 using Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres FGGE level 3b (SOP 1) global analyses on a 4 deg latitude by 5 deg longitude grid. Applying the relatively new methodology of the Zwack-Okossi equation, results show that anticyclonic vorticity advection and cold-air advection acted to develop the anticyclone, while adiabatic warming in the descending air opposed development. Other forcing processes made only small contributions to anticyclone changes. Vertical profiles of the development quantities reveal that vorticity and temperature advections, as well as the adiabatic warming, maximized in the 200-300-mb layer.

King, Melinda L.↗

Synoptic/planetary-scale interactions and blocking over the North Atlantic Ocean

The central theme of this project has been the diagnosis of blocking anticyclogenesis and the corresponding interactions with synoptic-scale circulations. To that end an extensive investigation of the dynamics and energetics of a major blocking anticyclone and two upstream cyclones, all of which occurred over the North Atlantic Ocean and the United States in January 1979, was undertaken. Data for the study were provided by Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) 4 LAT by 5 LON FGGE analyses. The methodology has primarily focused on the diagnosis of circulation forcing mechanisms using the modified forms (referred to as the extended forms) of the height tendency and Zwack-Okossi equations developed by our research group. Calculations use routine second-order finite differencing with boundary layer fraction and sensible heating and latent heat release represented as parameterized quantities. Of particular interest are the latent heat release estimates, which combine convectional parameterized values with estimates derived from satellite IR data. The latter were obtained using an algorithm derived by Dr. Franklin R. Robertson of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center. Results are contained in project reports, theses and publications identified in previous review summaries and reports, and publications listed at the end of this summary. Significant accomplishments in the past year are presented.

Smith, Phillip J.↗

A diagnosis of the explosive development of two extratropical cyclones

This paper examines the 24-h explosive development periods of two extratropical cyclones, the first occurring over the Gulf Stream off the coast of New England from 18 to 19 January 1979 and the second occurring over the southeastern United States from 20 to 21 January 1979. The data used in this study are the First GARP (Global Atmospheric Research Program) Global Experiment (FGGE) level IIIb (SOP I) global analyses on a 4 deg latitude x 5 deg longitude grid. The parameter used to diagnose development is the geostrophic relative vorticity tendency calculated using an extended form of the Zwack-Okossi development equation. This development equation is similar to the Petterssen-Sutcliffe development equation, but is shown to be more complete by explicitly coupling surface development with forcing at all levels above the surface. Cyclonic-vorticity advection, warm-air advection, and latent heat release act to develop the two cyclones, while adiabatic cooling in the ascending air opposes development. Further, vertical profiles of the development quantities for these two cases reveal that vorticity and temperature advection maximize in the 200-300-mb layer, while the latent heat release maximum is typically below 500 mb.

Lupo, Anthony R.↗

The diagnosis of a preblocking explosively-developing extratropical cyclone system

This paper presents the diagnosis of an extratropical cyclone that developed explosively from 18 to 19 January 1979 over the North Atlantic Ocean. The diagnosis applies data obtained from the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres FGGE SOP-1 level III-b global analyses on a 4 deg latitude by 5 deg longitude grid to the extended height tendency and the Zwack-Okossi development equations. The cyclone developed initially in response to cyclonic vorticity advection downstream from an upper air through, warm air advection in a strongly baroclinic region, and latent heat release in the cyclone domain. As development continued, thermal advection and latent heat release increased their role in forcing height falls in the cyclone domain, while the influence of vorticity advection decreased. Finally, development ceased when anticyclonic vorticity advection below 700 mb and adiabatic cooling in the ascending air combined to neutralize the influence of warm air advection and latent heat release.

Uhl, Mary A.↗

A comparison of synoptic-scale development characteristics for over-water and over-land cases of explosive cyclone development

The Zwack and Okossi (1986) equation is here demonstrated to be an effective tool for the diagnosis of synoptic-scale cyclone development, and is noted to indicate that cyclonic vorticity advection is the most consistent contributor to the explosive development of a given cyclone. Warm air advection and latent heat release also contributed to explosive development in varying degrees. The adiabatic temperature changes forced by vertical motion opposed the development of both over-water and over-land cyclone development.

Lupo, Anthony R.↗

Synoptic/planetary-scale interactions and blocking over the North Atlantic Ocean

One segment of work in the past year focused on the diagnosis of a major blocking anticyclone and its interacting synoptic scale circulations that occurred during January 1979 over the North Atlantic Ocean. Another segment focused on the diagnosis of a second explosive cyclone development that occurred over the southeastern United States during the time of block formation. The diagnoses were accomplished using the diagnostic relationship known as the Zwack-Okossi (Z-O) development equation. Results indicate that in both cyclone cases the development occurred as a result of the favorable influence of positive vorticity advection, warm air advection, and latent heat release and ceased when one or more of these influences diminished. The advantages of the Z-O equation are described.

Smith, Phillip J.↗

Synoptic/planetary-scale interactions and blocking over the North Atlantic Ocean

Work was completed on the height tendency diagnoses of two extratropical cyclones that occurred upstream from the blocking event studied previously. One developed explosively over water 60 to 36 hours before the block first appeared, while the second developed explosively over the southeastern United States during the time of block formation. In both cases, both vorticity and temperature advection were consistently important forcing mechanisms. This is in contrast to the block itself, in which vorticity advection was easily the dominant forcing mechanism. Latent heat release was also significant, accounting for about 50 percent of the total height falls in the cyclone below 850 mb. Estimates of latent heat release were greatly enhanced by coupling parameterized estimates with values derived from GOES IR data using an algorithm developed by Marshall's F. R. Robertson. Among the difficulties encountered in this work was the identification of an appropriate lower boundary condition for the solution of the height tendency equation. The zero value currently used tends to yield underestimates of the lower troposphere height tendencies. To address this problem a new diagnostic technique was developed in cooperation with Dr. Peter Zwack of the University of Quebec at Montreal. Based on an equation Dr. Zwack had previously developed (the Zwack-Okossi development equation), researchers now have a relationship that is completely consistent with the height tendency equation and provides estimates of lower boundary geostrophic vorticity or height tendencies. Finally, comparison of the SAT (satellite data) and NOSAT (no satellite data) analyses is progressing well. The present focus is on both the new diagnostic technique and the SAT/NOSAT comparisons. The former is being tested on the southeastern United States cyclone case previously mentioned and compared with the height tendency diagnoses already completed. The latter are being examined for the blocking case described in the publications cited in this summary. In addition to obtaining statistics that will allow general comparison of the two analyses, it will be possible to determine whether conclusions about the dynamics of the block development are influenced by the analysis set used.

Smith, Phillip J.↗