On the Determination of the Radiation Doses at Hiroshima [Slides]
Essentially all knowledge regarding the chronic effects of radiation exposure is derived from statistical analyses of the survivors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. However, we were then, and are now, uncertain about the exposures. That is: We know the effects through observations and statistical analyses, but we can only estimate the doses. Other complications include the fact that Little Boy was truly unique. It was never tested, measurements of yield were ambiguous, calculations of yield were not consistent, and calibration measurements were not made, could not be made.