Mamun, Md Osman G. | Search NASA

DOE OSTI2021

Incorporating historical data and past analyses for improved tensile property prediction of 9% Cr steel

Data-driven analytical clustering and visualization techniques were applied to the dataset of 9% Cr experimental alloy data generated through the eXtremeMAT project. Techniques and results were compared with the resulting clusters obtained through similar analytical techniques on previous and reduced versions of the dataset. The principal components were generated in order to reduce the dimensionality of the complex dataset and to visualize the underlying trends in the data. Partitioning around medoids was performed on the resulting principal components to determine relevant clusters. Domain knowledge labels were further applied to the principal components to compare the labels with the trends identified through the clustering methods. The resulting clusters show the addition of the new data into the dataset, and show where alignment between the domain knowledge labels and partitioning around medoids (PAM) clusters show where the labels are appropriate. The clusters can be used to compare the tensile properties of the alloys, and to reduce the variation in the dataset.

Alloy design, Mechanical Properties, data analysis↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine Learning Augmented Predictive and Generative Model for Rupture Life in Ferritic and Austenitic Steels

The Larson-Miller parameter (LMP) offers an efficient and fast scheme to estimate the creep rupture life of alloy materials for high temperature applications. However, owing to poor generalizability and dependence on the constant C, which is typically not known a-priori, estimations using the Larson-Miller parameter often result in suboptimal performance for a wide range of materials. At best it is useful in comparing alloys of similar composition. In this work, three machine learning (ML) schemes were developed for rupture life prediction for 9-12% Cr ferritic-martensitic steels and austenitic stainless steels, i.e., a hierarchical model to parameterize LMP using the LMP constant C to compute rupture life, a hierarchical model to parameterize both C and LMP to compute rupture life, and a direct prediction of rupture life. Specifically, we show that the third scheme, using a gradient boosting algorithm, can be used to train ML models for very accurate prediction of rupture life in a variety of alloys (Pear-son Correlation Coefficient > 0.9 for 9-12% Cr and > 0.8 for austenitic stainless steels). In addition, the Shapley value was used to quantify feature importance, making the model interpretable by identifying the effect of various features on the model performance. Furthermore, a variational autoencoder-based generative model was built by conditioning on the experimental dataset to sample hypothetical synthetic candidate alloys from the learnt joint distribution not existing in both 9-12 % Cr ferritic-martensitic steel and austenitic stainless steel datasets. Finally, based on the predictive and generative model, a reinforcement learning strategy has been proposed to guide experimentalists into designing better heat resistant alloys.

Mamun, Md Osman G.↗