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Mann, Margaret K

Publications and source records attributed to Mann, Margaret K.

Impact of Li-Ion Battery Recycling on the Supply Chain

With the increasing demand of the lithium ion batteries (LIB), it is expected that supply of some critical metals used in Li-ion batteries such as cobalt and lithium will fall short in the near-term, or their prices could increase significantly in response to the high demand. Besides increasing mining and production activities, we believe that a closed-loop system with recycling at the end-of-life provides a pathway to lower environmental impacts and a source of high value materials that can be used in producing new batteries. This presentation reviews the current state of the LIB manufacturing supply chain, discuses evolution and supply chain issues for cathode and anode materials, addresses some issues associated with battery end-of-life, and sheds light on the importance of LIB recycling from the environmental and value chain perspectives. This presentation also discusses the expected benefits of recycling on the global LIB supply chain.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Battery Recycling Supply Chain Analysis

Fiscal year 2019 accomplishments and progress for NREL's battery recycling supply chain analysis project, presented at the 2019 Vehicle Technologies Office Annual Merit Review.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Manufacturing Competitiveness Analysis for PEM and Alkaline Water Electrolysis Systems

To examine the factors that drive regional competitiveness in the manufacturing of water electrolysis systems, bottom-up manufacturing cost analysis was developed for PEM and alkaline stacks and systems. Results show that alkaline electrolyzer stack tends to have a lower cost in ($/kW) basis, but this comes with lower power density and lower hydrogen production capacities for alkaline electrolyzers making PEM more economic at the long run.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Economics and Challenges of Li-Ion Battery Recycling from End-of-Life Vehicles

This study sheds the lights on current and future recycling methods for spent Li-ion batteries from retired vehicles. The demands of Li-ion batteries for automotive applications and power electronics are expected to increase significantly in the next 15-20 years. Recycling cathode materials from the end of life batteries is not only providing a sustainable source of materials, but also offers an economic alternative to some of the high value elements such as cobalt and nickel. Insights and directions for future R&D will be presented in this paper based on the results of the supply chain and techno-economic analyses made for end-of-life li-ion batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Emerging Manufacturing Technologies for Fuel Cells and Electrolyzers

Fuel cells have emerged as viable solutions in areas such as stationary and backup power systems, material handling equipment (MHE), and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV). Persistent challenges for fuel cells and electrolyzers include high initial cost and the availability of hydrogen infrastructure to support FCEV and MHE fleets. Cost of fuel cells are still high compared to other power generation systems such as diesel and natural gas generators. This, however, can be linked to two facts: first is low production volumes generally and second is emerging manufacturing technologies currently in R&D that need to be scaled up to factory production volumes. This study investigates current manufacturing processes used in production of fuel cells (e.g., spray coating and manual assembly) and emerging manufacturing technologies (e.g., roll-to-roll catalyst coating) to investigate key cost drivers and potential cost reductions in manufacturing of fuel cells and electrolyzers. In particular, we focus on how cost reductions for advance manufacturing technologies may be more significant at scale than existing technologies.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Cost Modelling for Energy Efficient Window Replacements

This paper detailed data collection and cost-modeling efforts to understand the hardware and non-hardware (soft) cost of residential, energy efficient window replacements. NREL created a bottom-up cost model that details costs associated with window materials, installation labor, company overhead, and administrative costs. NREL did not find a single cost area for improvement but observed several non-cost barriers to increased window replacements. The non-cost barriers associated with window replacements are consumer education, lack of communication of the value of window replacement to consumers, and difficulty for consumers to identify quality products and installation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

2018 Research Highlight in Manufacturing: Global Value Chain and Manufacturing Analysis on Geothermal Power Plant Turbines

Currently, geothermal project developers customize the size of the power plant to fit the resource being developed. The turbine is designed and sized to optimize efficiency and resource utilization for electricity production; most often, other power plant components are then chosen to complement the turbine design. These custom turbine designs demand one-off manufacturing processes, which result in higher manufacturing setup costs, longer lead-times, and higher capital costs overall in comparison to larger-volume line manufacturing processes. In contrast, turbines produced in standard increments, manufactured in larger volumes, could result in lower costs per turbine. In this study, we developed a manufacturing cost model to identify requirements for equipment, facilities, raw materials, and labor. Then we used discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to calculate the minimum sustainable price (MSP). We analyzed three different cases 1) 1 MWe geothermal ORC turboexpander 2) 5 MWe ORC turboexpander and 3) 20 MWe geothermal steam turbine, and calculated the cost of manufacturing the major components, such as the impellers/blades, shaft/rotor, nozzles, inlet guide lanes, disks, and casings. The results showed that MSP could highly vary between 893 $/kW and 30 $/kW based on turbine size, standardization and volume of manufacturing. The analysis also showed that the economy of scale applies both to the size of the turbine and the number manufactured in a single run. As an example, the unit price of a 5 MW standard design turbine could be 150 $/W cheaper than the custom design. Sensitivity analysis indicated that these savings come largely from reduced labor costs for design and engineering and manufacturing setup. In addition to manufacturing cost savings, there is a delivery time saving up to 10 months, which could have a positive effect to construction financing operation time. Another advantage of these standard turbines is their adaptability to different geothermal systems by operating at off-design conditions. We also modeled off-design turbine efficiencies within the commercially-favorable operating range of a standard ORC compared to custom-designed ORC equipment. Than we used these performance calculations and power output capacities in a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis of plant operations and financing, thereby creating representative techno economic models of a total geothermal power plant. I this scope we used NREL's System Advisor model (SAM) and performed DCF analysis of standard and custom design turbines using results from IPSEpro over range of temperatures of interest. In this scope 63 different off-design cases were analyzed. This helped us to answer the question; 'Can today`s capital cost savings compensate the future revenue losses due to lower electricity generation?' The results showed that, the net capital cost savings for the modeled 5 MW case study may reach up to +$1,298,672. Also, the difference between NPV of standard design and custom design turbine could reach up to +$733,940. To sum up, when all the things mentioned above are taken into consideration, it can be said that, the standard turbines are competitive over a wide range of temperatures and flow rates and the give positive NPV differences for certain cases near their design point.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

SiC Power Electronics in Medium Voltage Motor Drives: Trade and Manufacturing Analysis

Wide bandgap (WBG) semiconductor devices are increasingly being considered for use in certain power electronics applications, where they can improve efficiency, performance, footprint, and, potentially, total system cost compared to systems using traditional silicon (Si) devices. Silicon carbide (SiC) devices in particular -- which are currently more mature than other WBG devices -- are poised for growth in the coming years. Today, the manufacturing of SiC wafers is concentrated in the United States, and chip production is split roughly equally between the United States, Japan, and Europe. Established contract manufacturers located throughout Asia typically carry out manufacturing of WBG power modules. We seek to understand how global manufacturing of SiC components may evolve over time by illustrating the regional cost drivers along the supply chain and providing an overview of other factors that influence where manufacturing is sited. We conduct this analysis for a particular case study where SiC devices are used in a medium-voltage motor drive.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Regional Manufacturing Cost Structures and Supply Chain Considerations for Medium Voltage Silicon Carbide Power Applications

Bottoms-up cost analysis has been a mainstay of commoditized industry and manufacturing processes for years, however a holistic objective supply chain analysis to inform research and investment in the development of early stage technologies has not. The potential for rapid adoption of wide bandgap (WBG) semiconductors, specifically silicon carbide (SiC), highlights a need to understand the drivers of location-specific manufacturing cost, global supply chains, and plant location decisions. Further, ongoing research and investment, necessitates analytical analysis to help inform the roadmap of SiC technologies. In collaboration with PowerAmerica the project explores the bottoms-up cost analysis of wafers, devices, modules, and motor drives at the anticipated manufacturing levels. Leveraging these models, it outlines how the cost reduction potential of proposed research advances can be quantified.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A Techno-Economic Look at SiC WBG from Wafer to Motor Drive

Techno-economic analysis helps benchmark and deliver supply chain and manufacturing insights that can be leveraged by decision-makers to inform investment strategies, policy, and other decisions to promote economic growth and competitiveness. Silicon Carbide (SiC) wide-band gap (WBG) technologies is poised to be an integral contributor to the clean energy economy. We use bottoms-up regional manufacturing cost models to show SiC power electronics, manufactured in volume, could result in final product cost parity with those manufactured with silicon. The models are further leveraged to show innovation pathways to lower cost and potentially expanded technology adoption.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Regional Manufacturing Cost Structures and Supply Chain Considerations for SiC Power Electronics in Medium Voltage Motor Drives

With the growth in wide bandgap (WBG) semiconductors, specifically Silicon Carbide (SiC), the technology has matured enough to highlight a need to understand the drivers of manufacturing cost, regional manufacturing costs, and plant location decisions. Further, ongoing research and investment, necessitates analytical analysis to help inform development of wide bandgap technologies. The paper explores the anticipated device, module, and motor drive cost at volume manufacturing. It additional outlines the current regional contributors to the supply chain and proposes how the base models can be used to evaluate the cost reduction potential of proposed research advances.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Global Value Chain and Manufacturing Analysis on Geothermal Power Plant Turbines: Preprint

The global geothermal electricity market has significantly grown over the last decade and is expected to reach a total installed capacity of 18.4 GWe in 2021 (GEA, 2016). Currently, geothermal project developers customize the size of the power plant to fit the resource being developed. In particular, the turbine is designed and sized to optimize efficiency and resource utilization for electricity production; most often, other power plant components are then chosen to complement the turbine design. These custom turbine designs demand one-off manufacturing processes, which result in higher manufacturing setup costs, longer lead-times, and higher capital costs overall in comparison to larger-volume line manufacturing processes. In contrast, turbines produced in standard increments, manufactured in larger volumes, could result in lower costs per turbine. This study focuses on analysis of the global supply chain and manufacturing costs for Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) turboexpanders and steam turbines used in geothermal power plants. In this study, we developed a manufacturing cost model to identify requirements for equipment, facilities, raw materials, and labor. We analyzed three different cases 1) 1 MWe geothermal ORC turboexpander 2) 5 MWe ORC turboexpander and 3) 20 MWe geothermal steam turbine, and calculated the cost of manufacturing the major components, such as the impellers/blades, shaft/rotor, nozzles, inlet guide lanes, disks, and casings. Then we used discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to calculate the minimum sustainable price (MSP). MSP is the minimum price that a company must sell its product for in order to pay back the capital and operating expenses during the plant lifetime (CEMAC, 2017). The results showed that MSP could highly vary between 893 dollar/kW and 30 dollar/kW based on turbine size, standardization and volume of manufacturing. The analysis also showed that the economy of scale applies both to the size of the turbine and the number manufactured in a single run. Sensitivity analysis indicated these savings come largely from reduced labor costs for design and engineering and manufacturing setup.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Global Value Chain and Manufacturing Analysis on Geothermal Power Plant Turbines

The global geothermal electricity market has significantly grown over the last decade and is expected to reach a total installed capacity of 18.4 GWe in 2021 (GEA, 2016). Currently, geothermal project developers customize the size of the power plant to fit the resource being developed. In particular, the turbine is designed and sized to optimize efficiency and resource utilization for electricity production; most often, other power plant components are then chosen to complement the turbine design. These custom turbine designs demand one-off manufacturing processes, which result in higher manufacturing setup costs, longer lead-times, and higher capital costs overall in comparison to larger-volume line manufacturing processes. In contrast, turbines produced in standard increments, manufactured in larger volumes, could result in lower costs per turbine. This study focuses on analysis of the global supply chain and manufacturing costs for Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) turboexpanders and steam turbines used in geothermal power plants. In this study, we developed a manufacturing cost model to identify requirements for equipment, facilities, raw materials, and labor. We analyzed three different cases 1) 1 MWe geothermal ORC turboexpander 2) 5 MWe ORC turboexpander and 3) 20 MWe geothermal steam turbine, and calculated the cost of manufacturing the major components, such as the impellers/blades, shaft/rotor, nozzles, inlet guide lanes, disks, and casings. Then we used discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis to calculate the minimum sustainable price (MSP). MSP is the minimum price that a company must sell its product for in order to pay back the capital and operating expenses during the plant lifetime (CEMAC, 2017). The results showed that MSP could highly vary between 893 dollar/kW and 30 dollar/kW based on turbine size, standardization and volume of manufacturing. The analysis also showed that the economy of scale applies both to the size of the turbine and the number manufactured in a single run. Sensitivity analysis indicated these savings come largely from reduced labor costs for design and engineering and manufacturing setup.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗