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Mark S. Marley

Publications and source records attributed to Mark S. Marley.

Toward Complete Characterization: Prospects for Directly Imaging Transiting Exoplanets

High-contrast direct imaging of exoplanets can provide many important observables, including measurements of the orbit, spectra that probe the lower layers of the atmosphere, and phase variations of the planet, but cannot directly measure planet radius or mass. Our future understanding of directly imaged exoplanets will therefore rely on extrapolated models of planetary atmospheres and bulk composition, which need robust calibration. We estimate the population of extrasolar planets that could serve as calibrators for these models. Critically, this population of "standard planets" must be accessible to both direct imaging and the transit method, allowing for radius measurement. We show that the search volume of a direct imaging mission eventually overcomes the transit probability falloff with semimajor axis, so that as long as cold planets are not exceedingly rare, the population of transiting planets and directly imageable planets overlaps. Using current extrapolations of Kepler occurrence rates, we estimate that ~8 standard planets could be characterized shortward of 800 nm with an ambitious future direct imaging mission like LUVOIR-A and several dozen could be detected at the V band. We show the design space that would expand the sample size and discuss the extent to which ground- and space-based surveys could detect this small but crucial population of planets.

Christopher C. Stark↗

Imaging Earth-like Exoplanets with a Small Space Telescope

The Cen AB system represents a particularly attractive target for missions to directly image exoplanets. A potentially habitable planet can in theory be imaged in the system with a telescope as small as 40cm, provided it has a powerful enough starlight suppression system. Technology to enable this is rapidly maturing, and there have been several mission concept studies. This technology is relevant to missions like WFIRST, LUVOIR, and HabEx because it enables them to image binary stars. Small coronagraph mission concepts described here would also complement and synergize with all the above missions. We suggest that a stronger ongoing program is needed, perhaps building on the recent Small Sat concept study initiative, to support mission concept and proposal development for Small Sats ($35M), Missions of Opportunity ($75M) and possibly up through Explorer missions.

Ruslan Belikov↗

Exo-C: A Dedicated Probe-scale Space Mission for Coronagraphic Imaging and Spectroscopy of Exoplanetary Systems

"Exo-C", the Exoplanet Coronagraph, is a concept for a dedicated probe-scale (< $1B) space mission optimized for direct imaging of exoplanetary systems. It was the product of a detailed mission study carried in 2013-2015 under the sponsorship of the NASA Astrophysics Division. Exo-C was designed to be capable of spectrally characterizing 1-2 dozen nearby exoplanets in reflected visible light, discovering previously undetected planets, and imaging structure in hundreds of circumstellar disks. It would obtain unique science results on planets down to super-Earth size and serve as a technology pathfinder toward an eventual flagship-class mission to find and characterize habitable Earth-like exoplanets. Key design elements are an unobscured telescope aperture, an internal coronagraph with deformable mirrors for precise wavefront control, and an orbit and observatory design chosen for high thermal stability. ExoC’s telescope aperture, orbit, mission lifetime, and spacecraft bus are all comparable to those of the highly successful Kepler mission. Much of the needed technology development (precision pointing, wavefront sensing and correction, high contrast integral field spectroscopy, detector flight readiness) has been advanced by the WFIRST Coronagraph Instrument (CGI) project over the past several years. Mission performance, mass, power, and cost estimates have also benefited from detailed work by the WFIRST CGI team. A Cost and Technical Evaluation (CATE) was performed in 2015 by the Aerospace Corporation. Today Exo-C is a backup option to WFIRST CGI. It could nominally be implemented within seven years from project start. This white paper summarizes the study final report, with updates on performance and technical readiness as of spring 2019.

Karl R. Stapelfeldt↗

Measuring the D/H Ratios of Exoplanets and Brown Dwarfs

The relative abundance of deuterium and hydrogen is a potent tracer of planet formation and evolution. Jupiter and Saturn have protosolar atmospheric D/H ratios, a relic of substantial gas accretion from the nebula, while the atmospheres of Neptune and Uranus are enhanced in D by accretion of ices into their envelopes. For terrestrial planets, D/H ratios are used to determine the mechanisms of volatile delivery and subsequent atmosphere loss over the lifetime of the planet. Planets and brown dwarfs more massive than ~13 M(J) quickly fuse their initial D reservoir. Here, we simulate spectra for giant exoplanets and brown dwarfs (2 M(Neptune) to ~10 M(Jupiter)) from T(eff) = 200–1800 K including both CH3D and HDO to determine the observability of these dominant deuterium isotopologues in mid-infrared thermal emission spectra. Colder objects have stronger molecular features in their spectra, due to the temperature dependence of molecular cross sections. CH3D is easier to observe than HDO at all temperatures considered, due to the strength of its absorption bands and locations of features at wavelengths with few other strong absorption features. We predict that for nearby cool brown dwarfs, the CH3D abundance can be measured at high signal to noise with the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST); for objects from 200 to 800 K closer than 10 pc, a protosolar D/H ratio would be readily observable in 2.5 hr. Moderately young Jupiter-mass planets (100–300 Myr) and young Neptunes (10 Myr) may be discovered with JWST and provide the best targets for detecting deuterium on an exoplanet in the coming decade. Future telescope designs should consider the importance of isotopes for understanding the formation and evolution of planetary atmospheres.

Caroline V. Morley↗