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Marshall, William B.J.

Publications and source records attributed to Marshall, William B.J..

15 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Comparative Analysis of Confidence Metrics for Nuclear Criticality Safety

Nuclear criticality safety standards provide guidance on the requirements and recommendations to establish confidence in computerized model results used to support operation with fissionable materials. By design, the guidance is not prescriptive, leaving the analysts free to determine how various sources of uncertainties are to be statistically aggregated. This report compares the analyses and key assumptions behind four notable methodologies documented in the nuclear criticality safety literature: the parametric, nonparametric, Whisper, and TSURFER methodologies. Because of the involved use of statistics entangled with heuristic recipes, the results of these methodologies are often difficult to interpret. Also, they are augmented by additional large administrative margins, eliminating the incentive to understand their differences. With the new resurgent wave of advanced nuclear systems focused on economizing operation—including advanced reactors, fuel cycles, and fuel concepts—there is a strong need to develop a clear understanding of uncertainties and their fusion methodologies to reduce uncertainties in a scientifically defensible manner. This report offers a deep dive into the various assumptions of the four noted methodologies, their adequacy, and their limitations, to provide guidance on developing confidence for the emergent nuclear systems. These systems are expected to be challenged by the scarcity of experimental data.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Preliminary Design of Critical Experiments Involving Commercially Available B 4 C Neutron Absorber Plates with Low-Enriched UO 2 Fuel

The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) is an initiative to provide high-quality benchmark data in a standardized format for criticality safety analysts to use to validate calculational tools and nuclear data. In the last released 2022 version, the ICSBEP handbook contains over 5,000 critical experiment descriptions, results, and associated models. This paper describes the critical configurations proposed and calculations performed as part of the conceptual design phase of Integral Experiment Request (IER) 554 (IER-554). The goal of IER-554 is to add to the benchmark experiments available to the criticality safety community by designing critical experiments that can analyze how adding commercially available Boralcan plates to an assembly of low-enriched UO2 fuel rods affects the effective neutron multiplication factor (k eff ). Boralcan, a neutron absorber product developed by Rio Tinto, is made of B4C in an Al 1100 matrix and is commonly used for criticality suppression in fuel storage pools. In the current version of the ICSBEP handbook, only a few dated critical experiments involve B4C materials, and none involve Boralcan in a thin plate shape. The experiments designed as part of IER-554 are intended to be performed at the Sandia Pulsed Reactor Facility/Critical Experiments (SPRF/CX) apparatus at Sandia National Laboratories. SPRF/CX is a well-characterized assembly considered trustworthy by the benchmarking community because of the numerous high-quality evaluations with very low experimental uncertainties included in the ICSBEP handbook. Figure 1 illustrates the assembly for a particular configuration from LCT-078, one of the published benchmarks in the ICSBEP handbook. The experiments will be moderated and reflected by light water at ambient atmospheric pressure. Before the plates are inserted in the critical assembly, they will be characterized with x-ray computed tomography (XCT) to identify the sizes and distribution of the B 4 C powder particles inside the plates. The preliminary design calculations were performed with SCALE 6.3.0 using the KENO V.a sequence for the criticality calculations, the CE-TSUNAMI-3D sequence for the sensitivity and uncertainty studies, and the ENDF/B-VII.1 Continuous Energy cross section library. All the calculation results presented have 10 pcm statistical uncertainties. A set of critical experiments with Boralcan plates could increase the confidence of the criticality safety community in its modeling methods when using this type of neutron absorber material. Experiments would also help validate k eff calculations, and the industry could use these validations to change the B loading credit limits from the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission standard review plan for dry cask storage of spent nuclear fuel. This paper summarizes only part of the analysis documented in the preliminary design report.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Critical Experiments in Support of Current Reactors and Advanced Reactor Deployment [Slides]

Limited, specific needs exist to support current reactor fleet and fuel cycle. Primarily, MOX experiments representative of low burnup LWR fuel are needed. LEU+ power distribution measurements may also be useful. Advanced reactors present many challenges and opportunities. New fuel forms and associated processes lack validation. Initial core criticality calculations can be validated with appropriate, highly similar experiments. Transportation of LEU+/HALEU material will be essential, and will rely on new experiments to support validation

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Performance of the Initial Implementation of the Shift Monte Carlo Code in SCALE 6.3

The Shift Monte Carlo code will be introduced in SCALE 6.3 as an alternative to the KENO V.a, KENO-VI, and Monaco codes. Calculations were performed to establish the performance of Shift for criticality safety analyses within the criticality safety analyses sequence (CSAS) based on models in the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data (VALID). This test suite contains over 600 critical experiment models covering a broad range of fissile materials and neutron energy spectra. The comparisons presented include calculated k eff values and runtime performance for serial calculations and a selection of parallel calculations. Comparisons are presented for multigroup (MG) and continuous-energy (CE) calculations for KENO V.a and KENO-VI models. Results generated with a beta version of SCALE 6.3 indicate excellent agreement in k eff values between KENO and Shift. The largest differences in the average k eff value calculated for the 15 categories of KENO V.a models are 0.00020 ± 0.00011 Δ k for MG calculations and 0.00011 ± 0.00005 Δ k for CE calculations. Similar comparisons in three categories using KENO-VI result in the largest differences for MG calculations: as 0.00004 ± 0.00003 Δ k , and -0.00002 ± 0.00003 Δ k for CE. The preliminary results also indicate that Shift is faster than KENO on a per particle basis, especially for fast spectrum systems. The uncertainty per history is also higher, however, so the Monte Carlo figure of merit is higher for KENO for thermal and intermediate spectrum systems. As expected, Shift generally has better speedup than KENO for parallel calculations, regardless of neutron energy spectrum.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Multigroup Examination of Nickel-Reflected HEU System

Critical configurations of HEU-MET-FAST-003 (HMF-003) from the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project Handbook were modeled for addition into the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data maintained at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. HMF-003 contains models of a highly enriched uranium sphere with a spherical metal reflector of natural uranium, tungsten carbide, or nickel. For these simple models, good agreement is expected between the k eff calculated with continuous-energy (CE) and multigroup (MG) transport. However, using the CSAS5 sequence of the SCALE 6.2.4 package, the 8 in. thick nickel reflector model resulted in a difference of around 1.2 % Δ k . Results presented a clear indication of poor performance for the SCALE 252-group based on ENDF/B-VII.1 cross section library for this model. The bias was investigated over a range of nickel thickness and then compared with other MG libraries available in SCALE 6.2.4. As the nickel thickness increases, the MG k eff deviates from the CE result, confirming a performance issue with the MG calculation. Additionally, the reactions were compared between the two libraries to help determine the cause of k eff bias. Finally, additional MG libraries within SCALE 6.3 and based on ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII were reviewed. The 302-group and 1597-group result in significant improvements compared with the 252-group library. Nickel cross sections were modified from ENDF/B-VII.1 to ENDF/B-VIII. For the ENDF/B-VIII library, the deviation between the CE libraries and MG libraries is less pronounced than for ENDF/VII.1, except for the 1597-group. This examination clearly indicates the importance of validating calculations with applicable benchmark experiments and caution when using MG libraries.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Impact of Increased Latent Generations on Sensitivity Calculations with SCALE

Analyses of cross section sensitivity data from systems with fissile material allow analysts to associate an importance for each material, nuclide, reaction, and neutron energy by simulating real world criticality scenarios. Although criticality safety validation efforts can be guided by the cross-section sensitivity and uncertainty data generated for a particular system, these calculations can often be computationally expensive and sometimes cumbersome without proper guidance. The TSUNAMI suite within the SCALE code package has several methods for generating sensitivity data, including multigroup and continuous energy (CE) capabilities. The release of SCALE 6.3 has three different CE methods for generating cross section sensitivity data: (1) the Iterated Fission Probability (IFP) method with the KENO Monte Carlo transport solver, (2) the IFP method with the Shift Monte Carlo transport solver, and (3) the Contributon-Linked eigenvalue sensitivity/Uncertainty estimation via Tracklength importance CHaracterization (CLUTCH) method with the KENO Monte Carlo transport solver. Although the CLUTCH method has additional parameters for generating sensitivity data files relative to the IFP method, all three methods use latent generations, which are the generations between an event (i.e., fission) and the assessment of importance based on the asymptotic population of progeny neutrons. Increasing the number of latent generations in a calculation leads to increased discrimination of the sensitivity coefficients but at the cost of the increased uncertainty associated with those generated values. Analysts must balance the accuracy of the sensitivity calculations and its uncertainty with the associated computational cost involved in generating the values. This paper discusses the impact of adjusting the latent generation parameter for a range of sensitivity values and how these changes compare with the direct perturbation values obtained from a change of ±0.5% Δ k in both benchmark and safety application models. Two benchmarks from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments and the MPC-32 dual purpose canister for spent nuclear fuel are used for analysis.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Multi-group Examination of Nickel-Reflected HEU System [Slides]

Researchers noted an unusually large bias for 8-in. nickel reflected HEU sphere in HMF-003 between the 252- group library and the CE library in SCALE 6.2.4. The bias was investigated by reviewing reactions that $k_{eff}$ is sensitive to using TSUNAMI and collecting reaction rate data using tools within SCALE. For this system, bias is primarily due to the elastic scattering in nickel. Researchers compared new multigroup structures in SCALE 6.3. For this system, reduction in CE-to-MG bias seen in the 302-group and further improved in the 1597-group structure. When researchers compared ENDF/B-VIII.0 in SCALE 6.3, library showed improved results with new nickel evaluation. However, the MG-to-CE bias can still be large as large biases can occur in any system. This example highlights the importance of validating results with measured systems.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Impact of Increased Latent Generations on Sensitivity Calculations with SCALE [Slides]

Depending on the system, energy, and/or nuclide, altering the number of latent generations can significantly impact generated sensitivity coefficients. In general, as the number of latent generations increases, the accuracy of the generated sensitivity value compared with the DP value increases and there is a significant increase in the uncertainty with generated sensitivity values. IFP generated sensitivities appear to be more stable than those with CLUTCH. Complex systems, even with IFP and increased latent generations can still produce poor results (i.e., MPC- 32). This reiterates the importance of performing DPs to confirm sensitivities. IFP-Shift and CLUTCH can take advantage of parallel computing abilities. Work continues in this area as additional parameters and calculational methods are examined to provide analysts insights to successfully generating sensitivity coefficients for confirmatory analyses and validation efforts.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Expanded Validation of Uranium Systems with the KENO Monte Carlo Codes and SCALE 6.2.4

The development of accident-tolerant fuel and advanced reactors fueled with high-assay low-enriched uranium has created an increased focus on systems with uranium enrichments between 5 and 20 wt % 235 U. SCALE criticality safety validation reports generated at Oak Ridge National Laboratory contain very few benchmark experiments in this range. The work presented herein is an initial investigation of expanded validation of the entire range of enrichments for uranium-fueled systems, including consideration of over 300 newly developed KENO models. The vast majority of the new models are between 4.4 wt % and 37.5 wt % enrichment and include a variety of thermal, intermediate, and mixed neutron spectra. This work finds no strong evidence of an enrichment-dependent bias, but there are indications of a spectrum-dependent bias. There are, however, only a limited number of independent experiments included at this time to distinguish intermediate enrichment effects from intermediate spectrum effects. Further work in this area is ongoing for intermediate enrichment systems. In the long run, the addition of these models to the Verified, Archived Library and Inputs and Data is planned, as funding and staff availability allow.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cumulative $\chi^2$ Metric for VALID for ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 in SCALE 6.3b9

Nuclear data testing is generally performed in a manner similar to validation: a series of critical benchmark experiments is modeled, and the differences between calculated and expected results are examined to understand the performance of a code and cross section set. This process is repeated for multiple sets of experiments with different transport codes and sometimes with different datasets. Occasionally, data processing differences are also important in understanding the differences in calculated results. Relevant experts then meet periodically to compare results and set priorities for improvement in the next round of data updates. This process has been largely effective, despite the confounding factors of different benchmark sets, application areas, sponsors, nationalities, and the resulting different priorities.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Validation of KENO Delayed Neutron Fraction Capabilities

The delayed neutron fraction, which is necessary for the safe operation of reactors, varies by fissionable material and neutron spectrum. A prompt fission neutron spectrum has been included in the SCALE 6.2 release to account for the removal of delayed neutrons from precursor materials from the neutron balance. This paper describes how experimental measurements from criticality safety benchmarks were used to validate the SCALE calculational procedure for the delayed neutron fraction. Additionally, the effect of nuclear data uncertainty on the KENO calculation of β eff was examined with the SAMPLER sequence.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Sensitivity Calculations for Systems with Polyethylene Reflector Materials Using CLUTCH

The SCALE 6.2.4 code package contains four sequences for calculating $k_{eff}$ sensitivity coefficients. Two of these sequences use deterministic transport solvers: a one-dimensional (1D) capability based on XSDRN, and a two-dimensional (2D) capability based on NEWT. These sequences are restricted to the multigroup (MG) treatment of neutron energy. The three-dimensional (3D) sequences use the KENO V.a or KENO-VI Monte Carlo transport codes and can be used to calculate sensitivity coefficients with either MG or continuous-energy (CE) transport. The 3D sensitivities are ultimately reported in an MG structure, regardless of the method used in the transport calculations. If desired, the sensitivity coefficients can be reported with very fine energy resolution from a CE calculation, but they are calculated only in the MG library structure in the MG mode. CE TSUNAMI methods are available in SCALE starting in SCALE version 6.2. Sensitivity coefficients were generated using the 3D sequences as part of the generation of the SCALE 6.2.2 Validation Report; difficulties encountered when using the CLUTCH method for thick, fissionable-material reflectors were discussed and investigated as documented in a previous paper. This paper discusses the difficulties encountered in generating accurate sensitivity coefficients using the CLUTCH technique for polyethylene reflectors for two fast spectrum benchmarks. Direct perturbation (DP) calculations were performed to confirm the accuracy of the total sensitivity coefficient for important isotopes with large sensitivities in the system. Discrepancies were detected for CLUTCH-calculated sensitivity coefficients in the reflector of a critical experiment with a radial polyethylene reflector. A simple polyethylene-reflected plutonium sphere was then used to further investigate the discrepancy. Calculations performed using the iterated fission probability (IFP) method generated accurate sensitivity coefficients in both cases. The results of this study emphasize the need to confirm CLUTCH sensitivity results with DP calculations. IFP calculations are generally less efficient but more reliable than CLUTCH calculations. Improvements to the CLUTCH methodology that retain the greater efficiency but address identified difficulties are therefore potentially useful to analysts.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Discovery of AMPX Thermal Scattering Law Processing Issue for Solid Moderators

The 2020 edition of The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook includes a newly produced plastic-moderated evaluation, identified as PU-MET-MIXED-002 and referred to as PMM002. The 2021 edition should include another new plastic-moderated experiment, HEU-MET-THERM-004, referred to as HMT-004. These evaluations are of particular interest, as PMM-002 is moderated with polyethylene, and HMT-004 is moderated with polymethyl methacrylate (Lucite), allowing for investigation of the differences in the thermal scattering laws (TSLs) available for these materials. ENDF/B-VIII.0 includes newly produced data for 1 H-based scattering materials, including Lucite and yttrium hydride. Other available 1 H TSLs include polyethylene, light water, zirconium hydride. The unbound 1 H (free-gas) cross sections were also used. ENDF/B-VIII.0 also includes revisions made to the ENDF/B-VII.1 light water and polyethylene evaluations. Zirconium hydride was unchanged from ENDF/B-VII.1. As of this writing, there are no benchmarks included in the Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data (VALID) that are primarily moderated with any solid moderator, so validation that includes the PMM-002 and HMT-004 evaluations would expand the coverage to two new moderators. A study was undertaken at Oak Ridge National Laboratory with two purposes: to provide validation data based on systems that are primarily moderated with polyethylene and Lucite, and to demonstrate the reactivity changes that can result from use of different 1 H TSLs in these plastic-moderated systems. The first objective was mainly to test data and code for SCALE and AMPX, whereas the second objective was to provide useful data for practitioners on the potential variability of predicted $k_{eff}$ based on TSL changes. The use of an exactly correct TSL is often not possible given the materials involved (e.g., lubricants), but this study was intended to provide some indication of the magnitude of the changes among similar materials that can manifest through application of different TSLs in hydrogenous systems over a range of different neutron energy spectra. Unfortunately, the nominal $k_{eff}$ results exposed deviations between SCALE and Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP). Some of the results using different TSLs were also unexpected and difficult to explain. An investigation revealed a processing issue in AMPX that was caused by an ambiguous description of the data for incoherent elastic scattering in the ENDF manual. This issue is discussed in detail in a SCALE User Notification, and it affects some solid moderators, but it does not apply to 1 H bound in water. This issue highlights the importance of validating all TSLs used in safety analysis calculations. The remainder of this paper provides a more detailed examination of the results that triggered the investigation and a summary of the findings of that investigation.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗