Bayesian modeling reveals metabolite‐dependent ultrasensitivity in the cyanobacterial circadian clock
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59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Engineering topics
Matthews, Charles
Publications and source records attributed to Matthews, Charles.
Umbrella sampling: a powerful method to sample tails of distributions
We present the umbrella sampling (US) technique and show that it can be used to sample extremely low-probability areas of the posterior distribution that may be required in statistical analyses of data. In this approach sampling of the target likelihood is split into sampling of multiple biased likelihoods confined within individual umbrella windows. We show that the US algorithm is efficient and highly parallel and that it can be easily used with other existing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers. The method allows the user to capitalize on their intuition and define umbrella windows and increase sampling accuracy along specific directions in the parameter space. Alternatively, one can define umbrella windows using an approach similar to parallel tempering. We provide a public code that implements US as a standalone PYTHON package. We present a number of tests illustrating the power of the US method in sampling low-probability areas of the posterior and show that this ability allows a considerably more robust sampling of multimodal distributions compared to standard sampling methods. We also present an application of the method in a real world example of deriving cosmological constraints using the supernova type Ia data. We show that US can sample the posterior accurately down to the approximate to 15 sigma credible region in the Omega(m) - Omega(Lambda) plane, while for the same computational effort the affine-invariant MCMC sampling implemented in the emcee code samples the posterior reliably only to approximate to 3 sigma.
cosmology: cosmological parameters↗
Efficient molecular dynamics using geodesic integration and solvent–solute splitting
We present an approach to Langevin dynamics in the presence of holonomic constraints based on decomposition of the system into components representing geodesic flow, constrained impulse and constrained diffusion. We show that a particular ordering of the components results in an integrator that is an order of magnitude more accurate for configurational averages than existing alternatives. Moreover, by combining the geodesic integration method with a solvent–solute force splitting, we demonstrate that stepsizes of at least 8 fs can be used for solvated biomolecules with high sampling accuracy and without substantially altering diffusion rates, approximately increasing by a factor of two the efficiency of molecular dynamics sampling for such systems. The methods described in this article are easily implemented using the standard apparatus of modern simulation codes.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗