Engineering topics

Mirocha, J. D.

Publications and source records attributed to Mirocha, J. D..

3 records

DOE OSTI2023

Using Satellite‐Derived Fire Arrival Times for Coupled Wildfire‐Air Quality Simulations at Regional Scales of the 2020 California Wildfire Season

Abstract Wildfire frequency has increased in the Western US over recent decades, driven by climate change and a legacy of forest management practices. Consequently, human structures, health, and life are increasingly at risk due to wildfires. Furthermore, wildfire smoke presents a growing hazard for regional and national air quality. In response, many scientific tools have been developed to study and forecast wildfire behavior, or test interventions that may mitigate risk. In this study, we present a retrospective analysis of 1 month of the 2020 Northern California wildfire season, when many wildfires with varying environments and behavior impacted regional air quality. We simulated this period using a coupled numerical weather prediction model with online atmospheric chemistry, and compare two approaches to representing smoke emissions: an online fire spread model driven by remotely sensed fire arrival times and a biomass burning emissions inventory. First, we quantify the differences in smoke emissions and timing of fire activity, and characterize the subsequent impact on estimates of smoke emissions. Next, we compare the simulated smoke to surface observations and remotely sensed smoke; we find that despite differences in the simulated smoke surface concentrations, the two models achieve similar levels of accuracy. We present a detailed comparison between the performance and relative strengths of both approaches, and discuss potential refinements that could further improve future simulations of wildfire smoke. Finally, we characterize the interactions between smoke and meteorology during this event, and discuss the implications that increases in regional smoke may have on future meteorological conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multiscale Framework Simulates Utility-Scale Wind Plant in Its Natural Environment. First-ever simulation could lead to a vital understanding of wind plant performance

Wind plant performance depends on local environmental conditions—and understanding those conditions is crucial to research on wind plant dynamics. Factors such as sloping terrain, surface type and cover, atmospheric heating and cooling, and weather events all play a role in determining the winds that turbines convert into power. However, most models used for wind plant design and operation do not sufficiently account for environmental effects. This can limit our understanding of wind plant dynamics and, thus, our ability to design, site, and operate wind plants for maximum power production and reliability. To meet this challenge, Arthur and other LLNL researchers partnered with scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research; the University of California, Berkeley; the University of Colorado, Boulder; and Texas Tech University to develop and demonstrate a novel, mesoscale-tomicroscale wind plant modeling framework.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Large-Eddy Simulations of Idealized Atmospheric Boundary Layers Using Nalu-Wind

Accurate prediction of wind-plant performance relies, in part, on properly characterizing the turbulent atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) flow in which wind turbines operate. Large-eddy simulation (LES) is a powerful tool for simulating ABLs because it resolves the largest, most energetic scales of three-dimensional turbulent motions. Yet LES predictions are well known to depend on modeling choices such as grid resolution, numerical discretization schemes, and closures for unresolved scales of turbulence. Here, we evaluate how these choices influence predictions of ABL winds using Nalu-Wind, a wind-specific fork of the open-source, generalized, unstructured, massively parallel flow solver NaluCFD/Nalu.

17 WIND ENERGY↗