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Misty D. Davies

Publications and source records attributed to Misty D. Davies.

Assessing the use of UAS-related terms in ASRS using Seed Topic Modeling

Context: The NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) is a voluntary confidential aviation safety reporting system. The ASRS receives reports from pilots, air traffic controllers, flight attendants and other involved in aviation operations. The reports are de-identified and coded by ASRS expert safety analysts. The de-identified reports are then disseminated to the aviation community in a number of ways including entry into an online database. Augmenting the discovery of topics of user interest in this online database would therefore be beneficial to the community it serves. Aim: We propose and execute an experiment to assess the use of seed term topic modeling using the database narratives to identify UAS reports. The use of seed term topic modeling would enable users to identify groups of related narratives associated to a topic of their interest. Method: We use a newly curated field in ASRS reports which identify UAS from non-UAS reports in combination of different set of UAS related terms to assess if seed topic modeling can be used in ASRS.

LDA↗

The In-time Aviation Safety Management System Concept for Part 135 Operators

Transformations of the National Airspace System, such as envisioned with Advanced Air Mobility, will enable improvements for managing and assuring safety for Part 135 transportation of passengers and cargo. The purpose of this paper is to describe the In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) Concept of Operations (ConOps) and how its innovations such as using predictive analytics could benefit operators for risk management and safety assurance. The National Academies recommended development of an IASMS ConOps to secure a safe future NAS. Part 135 operators are currently not required to have a formal safety management system.

Kyle K. Ellis↗

Visualizing Corridors in Terminal Airspace using Trajectory Clustering

Context: Advances in battery and automation technology have made routine air taxi and cargo transport in urban areas a business model that can be attained by emerging aviation innovators. The community vision and work to enable these novel operations is discussed using the term ‘Urban Air Mobility’ or UAM. Small, piloted, airspace vehicles that fly with a few passengers do operate in urban areas today, and these vehicles can be studied as an early proxy for this future UAM traffic. Aim: We seek to identify corridors already in daily operation and their properties. Method: We applied DBSCAN and HDBSCAN to Dallas Forth-Worth TRACON flight data to identify corridors in use, their density, and devised a method to annotate landing sites used in these corridors with site metadata. Results: While DBSCAN was unable to group similar trajectories, we we were able to successfully identify corridors using HDBSCAN, measure their density and annotate them. Conclusion: The applied method can successfully identify corridors in daily operation with additional metadata to help domain expert understand the intent of UAM corridors.

UAM, Trajectory, TRACON, Clustering, DBSCAN, HDBSC↗

Assessing the Use of UAS-Related Terms in ASRS Using Seed Topic Modeling

Context: The NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) is a voluntary confidential system that disseminates reports received from personnel involved in aviation operations after de-identifying them. These reports are used by the community to improve overall aviation system safety. Aim: We propose and execute an experiment to assess the use of seed term topic modeling over the database narratives to identify Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) reports. The use of seed term topic modeling enables users to identify groups of conceptually similar narratives associated to a topic of their interest. Method: We use a collection of narratives, expert-selected words, and report metadata that separates UAS from non-UAS reports to assess if seed topic modeling can be used to improve ASRS searches. Results: For simpler queries, seed topic search observes a higher recall and lower precision than the existing DBOL (DataBase OnLine) search in operation. However, the best results are obtained when seed topic search is used as a search suggestion system to be executed on the DBOL. Conclusion: Utilizing a combination of both the existing method and the proposed method, users can expand their search vocabulary about subjects of interest while improving the quality of results.

Text Mining↗

A Grounded Theory of UAS Reported Accidents

Context: The manufacture and operation of sUAS are not as regulated as today’s commercial operation, and their widespread use introduces new risks and hazards to the general public. Aim: Our intent is to understand the various processes that prevent or portend sUAS incidents or accidents and the influence that pilots’ expectations and training have on these processes. Method: We use classic grounded theory on sUAS reported accidents (and incidents). Results: We identified three categories, Control Interference, Reviewing and Reporting, which describe various processes surrounding UAS accidents based on the dataset analyzed. Conclusion: The use of grounded theory can offer a different perspective in the analysis of UAS accidents. In addition, the traceability between data sources and the method results facilitate result validation, and navigation. While the results are preliminary, the concepts can be expanded through the use of other accident datasets or used as basis for UAS accident surveys.

Carlos Paradis↗

Evaluating Faulty State Occurrence in Wildfire UAS Missions Using Markov Chains

As autonomous technology advances, unmanned aircraft systems are increasingly integrated into emergency response missions, such as wildfire response. These systems must be be safe with less risk than non-autonomous counter parts, yet quantifying the risk associated with present-day and future systems conventionally relies solely on expert opinion and little data. Instead, combining narrative mishap reports with probabilistic analysis can provide a method for evolutionary and timely risk analysis. In this paper, we present a framework for a data-driven probabilistic risk assessment style analysis, where hazard events and rates originate from documented UAS mishaps. The framework is applied to a UAS mapping mission in wildfire response, including a fault tree analysis, event tree analysis, and probabilistic analysis using Markov Chains. The analysis provides an enumeration of hazards in the system, hazard events that can lead to faults, the probability of a mission experiencing any fault, the probability of experiencing a specific fault, and the expected time spent until faulty states occur in present-day operations.

risk analysis↗

A Grounded Theory of UAS Reported Accidents

Context: The manufacture and operation of sUAS are not as regulated as today’s commercial operation, and their widespread use introduces new risks and hazards to the general public. Aim: Our intent is to understand the various processes that prevent or portend sUAS incidents or accidents and the influence that pilots’ expectations and training have on these processes. Method: We use classic grounded theory on sUAS reported accidents (and incidents). Results: We identified three categories, Control Interference, Reviewing and Reporting, which describe various processes surrounding UAS accidents based on the dataset analyzed. Conclusion: The use of grounded theory can offer a different perspective in the analysis of UAS accidents. In addition, the traceability between data sources and the method results facilitate result validation, and navigation. While the results are preliminary, the concepts can be expanded through the use of other accident datasets or used as basis for UAS accident surveys.

Carlos Paradis↗